These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of September 28, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
9/26
TULSA 8 over Iowa State; total 52
GEORGIA TECH 5 over Virginia Tech; total 48
9/27
BRIGHAM YOUNG 6 over Middle Tennessee State; total 50
Utah State 4 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 53
9/28
NEVADA 13 over Air Force; total 61
BOWLING GREEN STATE 21 over Akron; total 56
VANDERBILT 16 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 61
WASHINGTON 8 over Arizona; total 54
MISSOURI 21 over Arkansas State; total 62
OREGON 36 over California; total 71
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 14 over Central Michigan; total 52
OREGON STATE 21 over Colorado; total 69
BUFFALO 8 over Connecticut; total 53
NORTH CAROLINA 5 over East Carolina; total 54
Florida 11 over KENTUCKY; total 44
RICE 12 over Florida Atlantic; total 55
Florida State 12 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 50
Fresno State 17 over HAWAII; total 63
Houston 3 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 57
MINNESOTA 9 over Iowa; total 55
Kent 5 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 48
Louisiana State pick 'em over GEORGIA; total 65
Army 2 over Louisiana Tech; total 46
Miami, Florida 24 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 52
ILLINOIS 20 over Miami, Ohio; total 54
ALABAMA 17 over Mississippi; total 58
Navy 4 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 62
NEW MEXICO pick 'em over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
Northern Illinois 8 over PURDUE; total 61
Oklahoma 1 over NOTRE DAME; total 48
Oklahoma State 15 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 51
San Diego State 10 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 61
TENNESSEE 16 over South Alabama; total 59
CENTRAL FLORIDA pick 'em over South Carolina; total 53
ARIZONA STATE 1 over Southern California; total 49
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 14 over Southern Methodist; total 55
BOISE STATE 26 over Southern Mississippi; total 55
Temple 4 over IDAHO; total 51
Texas A&M 6 over ARKANSAS; total 64
COLORADO STATE 10 over Texas-El Paso; total 54
BALL STATE 7 over Toledo; total 60
DUKE 12 over Troy; total 67
LOUISIANA-MONROE 11 over Tulane; total 56
PITTSBURGH 7 over Virginia; total 61
CLEMSON 19 over Wake Forest; total 49
Stanford 8 over Washington State; total 49
OHIO STATE 13 over Wisconsin; total 58
Wyoming 1 over TEXAS STATE; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-4 | .909 | 139-36 | .794 |
| Against the spread | 22-21-1 | .511 | 89-84-2 | .514 |
| Over-under | 25-18-1 | .580 | 87-87-1 | .500 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-3 | .400 | 14-10 | .583 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 164-11 |
| Percentage | .93714 |
| Bias toward home team | -2.26857 |
| Mean error | 9.1971 |
| Mean square error | 152.678 |
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