This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 3. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Revised 9-28-15

10/1

Miami, Florida 6 over CINCINNATI; total 66

10/2

BRIGHAM YOUNG 14 over Connecticut; total 41
Memphis 16 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 66

10/3

NAVY 7 over Air Force; total 58
GEORGIA 4 over Alabama; total 58
STANFORD 9 over Arizona; total 65
UCLA 22 over Arizona State; total 55
TENNESSEE 7 over Arkansas; total 55
PENN STATE 23 over Army; total 49
Baylor 12 over Texas Tech; total 84
DUKE 5 over Boston College; total 41
Bowling Green State 2 over BUFFALO; total 63
TULANE 7 over Central Florida; total 47
UTAH STATE 1 over Colorado State; total 48
East Carolina 9 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 67
LOUISIANA STATE 41 over Eastern Michigan; total 65
Florida International pick 'em over MASSACHUSETTS; total 55
Florida State 14 over WAKE FOREST; total 46
SAN DIEGO STATE 3 over Fresno State; total 61
Georgia Southern 7 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 53
BOISE STATE 17 over Hawaii; total 51
Houston 6 over TULSA; total 72
ARKANSAS STATE 16 over Idaho; total 66
WISCONSIN 8 over Iowa; total 48
IOWA STATE 16 over Kansas; total 56
OKLAHOMA STATE 3 over Kansas State; total 51
LOUISIANA TECH 13 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 65
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 13 over Louisville; total 54
KENT 7 over Miami, Ohio; total 51
Michigan 12 over MARYLAND; total 48
NORTHWESTERN 6 over Minnesota; total 34
Mississippi 5 over FLORIDA; total 61
TEXAS A&M 7 over Mississippi State; total 55
ILLINOIS 4 over Nebraska; total 60
NEVADA 4 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
NEW MEXICO 17 over New Mexico State; total 66
GEORGIA TECH 5 over North Carolina; total 62
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 19 over North Texas; total 63
Northern Illinois 7 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 49
Notre Dame 4 over CLEMSON; total 56
Ohio 4 over AKRON; total 46
Ohio State 18 over INDIANA; total 61
MARSHALL 17 over Old Dominion; total 56
COLORADO 4 over Oregon; total 72
VIRGINIA TECH 6 over Pittsburgh; total 58
MICHIGAN STATE 27 over Purdue; total 60
AUBURN 11 over San Jose State; total 54
TROY 4 over South Alabama; total 59
MISSOURI 6 over South Carolina; total 43
Temple 21 over CHARLOTTE; total 47
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 23 over Texas; total 70
TEXAS-EL PASO 13 over Texas-San Antonio; total 66
Toledo 9 over BALL STATE; total 56
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 4 over Vanderbilt; total 55
CALIFORNIA 22 over Washington State; total 63
OKLAHOMA 6 over West Virginia; total 56
Western Kentucky 11 over RICE; total 69
APPALACHIAN STATE 28 over Wyoming; total 54


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page. Picks found to be against incorrectly posted lines will be removed.

2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up43-9.808154-40.782
Against the spread28-23-1.60693-96-4.472
Over-under30-21-1.423101-91-1.504
ARGH Picks5-3.62520-15.571

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record183-11
Percentage.94330
Bias toward home team-1.11211
Mean error9.9394
Mean square error163.246

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