This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 5, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/3

Texas 4 over IOWA STATE; total 55
UTAH 1 over UCLA; total 66
Western Kentucky 2 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 55

10/4

UTAH STATE 6 over Brigham Young; total 49
Nevada 1 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 57

10/5

NAVY 23 over Air Force; total 63
Arizona State 7 over Notre Dame; total 62
FLORIDA 14 over Arkansas; total 42
BOSTON COLLEGE 8 over Army; total 47
Ball State 1 over VIRGINIA; total 53
Central Florida 9 over MEMPHIS; total 45
MIAMI, OHIO 2 over Central Michigan; total 54
Cincinnati 19 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 52
Clemson 11 over SYRACUSE; total 62
East Carolina 7 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 60
BUFFALO 13 over Eastern Michigan; total 58
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 7 over Florida Atlantic; total 61
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 5 over Florida International; total 50
Fresno State 25 over IDAHO; total 68
Georgia 11 over TENNESSEE; total 68
ALABAMA 42 over Georgia State; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 6 over Georgia Tech; total 55
NEBRASKA 8 over Illinois; total 67
OKLAHOMA STATE 17 over Kansas State; total 57
SOUTH CAROLINA 22 over Kentucky; total 49
Louisiana State 6 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 58
TEXAS-EL PASO 6 over Louisiana Tech; total 55
Louisville 23 over TEMPLE; total 50
FLORIDA STATE 14 over Maryland; total 57
BOWLING GREEN STATE 25 over Massachusetts; total 43
IOWA 5 over Michigan State; total 43
MICHIGAN 12 over Minnesota; total 56
AUBURN 2 over Mississippi; total 50
Missouri 4 over VANDERBILT; total 61
NEW MEXICO 19 over New Mexico State; total 64
VIRGINIA TECH 16 over North Carolina; total 47
North Carolina State 1 over WAKE FOREST; total 44
North Texas 2 over TULANE; total 55
Northern Illinois 9 over KENT; total 60
Ohio 9 over AKRON; total 55
Ohio State 4 over NORTHWESTERN; total 65
Oregon 28 over COLORADO; total 68
Penn State 5 over INDIANA; total 63
Rice 1 over TULSA; total 56
Rutgers 8 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 57
San Jose State 4 over HAWAII; total 48
TROY 5 over South Alabama; total 65
OKLAHOMA 15 over Texas Christian; total 50
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 2 over Texas State; total 54
Texas Tech 14 over KANSAS; total 45
MARSHALL 14 over Texas-San Antonio; total 63
STANFORD 5 over Washington; total 55
Washington State 7 over CALIFORNIA; total 61
BAYLOR 17 over West Virginia; total 60
TOLEDO 21 over Western Michigan; total 50


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up36-12.750175-48.785
Against the spread25-22-1.531114-106-3.518
Over-under28-19-1.594115-106-2.520
ARGH Picks8-5.61522-15.595

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record204-19
Percentage.91480
Bias toward home team-1.43834
Mean error9.7343
Mean square error154.068

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