These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 7, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-5-17
10/4
Arkansas State 7 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 55
10/5
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 3 over Louisville; total 65
10/6
Boise State 8 over BRIGHAM YOUNG; total 45
Memphis 16 over CONNECTICUT; total 65
10/7
NAVY 15 over Air Force; total 60
Alabama 22 over TEXAS A&M; total 59
COLORADO 7 over Arizona; total 52
SOUTH CAROLINA 5 over Arkansas; total 50
Army 12 over RICE; total 44
AKRON 7 over Ball State; total 54
MIAMI, OHIO 17 over Bowling Green State; total 52
WASHINGTON 21 over California; total 56
Central Florida 10 over CINCINNATI; total 54
OHIO 16 over Central Michigan; total 63
Colorado State 3 over UTAH STATE; total 63
Duke 4 over VIRGINIA; total 50
TOLEDO 9 over Eastern Michigan; total 58
Florida Atlantic 3 over OLD DOMINION; total 51
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 3 over Florida International; total 45
Fresno State 16 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 61
Georgia 13 over VANDERBILT; total 41
Georgia State 6 over COASTAL CAROLINA; total 53
Hawaii 7 over NEVADA; total 62
IOWA 13 over Illinois; total 41
OKLAHOMA 25 over Iowa State; total 64
TEXAS 4 over Kansas State; total 54
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 13 over Kent; total 46
FLORIDA 9 over Louisiana State; total 49
Louisiana Tech 9 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 63
IDAHO 10 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 72
Louisiana-Monroe 9 over TS STATE; total 57
Marshall 21 over CHARLOTTE; total 50
OHIO STATE 17 over Maryland; total 64
Miami, Florida 1 over FLORIDA STATE; total 51
MICHIGAN 14 over Michigan State; total 45
Minnesota 2 over PURDUE; total 50
AUBURN 20 over Mississippi; total 54
KENTUCKY 16 over Missouri; total 53
APPALACHIAN STATE 9 over New Mexico State; total 51
Notre Dame 17 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 62
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 30 over Oregon State; total 65
Penn State 17 over NORTHWESTERN; total 53
SYRACUSE 6 over Pittsburgh; total 60
San Diego State 17 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 58
HOUSTON 5 over Southern Methodist; total 60
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 7 over Southern Mississippi; total 50
Stanford 1 over UTAH; total 56
Temple 5 over EAST CAROLINA; total 60
Texas Tech 23 over KANSAS; total 74
TULANE 7 over Tulsa; total 64
Virginia Tech 8 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 46
CLEMSON 15 over Wake Forest; total 47
Washington State 3 over OREGON; total 72
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 20 over West Virginia; total 67
Western Kentucky 15 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 53
Western Michigan 3 over BUFFALO; total 50
Wisconsin 14 over NEBRASKA; total 54
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-13 | .755 | 191-60 | .761 |
| Against the spread | 26-27 | .491 | 121-126-4 | .490 |
| Over-under | 25-27-1 | .481 | 122-127-2 | .490 |
| ARGH Picks | 9-7 | .563 | 29-28-1 | .509 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 227-24 |
| Percentage | .90438 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.98406 |
| Mean error | 10.1225 |
| Mean square error | 166.004 |
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