These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 8, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/6OREGON 18 over California; total 70
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 17 over Western Kentucky; total 56
10/7
Boise State 27 over FRESNO STATE; total 59
10/8
NOTRE DAME 16 over Air Force; total 55
Arizona 5 over OREGON STATE; total 56
Arizona State 1 over UTAH; total 51
Arkansas State 3 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 49
Army 7 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 46
ARKANSAS 6 over Auburn; total 63
CLEMSON 25 over Boston College; total 48
WESTERN MICHIGAN 12 over Bowling Green State; total 57
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 10 over Central Michigan; total 60
STANFORD 30 over Colorado; total 55
WEST VIRGINIA 16 over Connecticut; total 53
HOUSTON 21 over East Carolina; total 69
TOLEDO 11 over Eastern Michigan; total 51
LOUISIANA STATE 14 over Florida; total 50
NORTH TEXAS 7 over Florida Atlantic; total 55
Florida International 15 over AKRON; total 53
Florida State 4 over WAKE FOREST; total 53
TENNESSEE 1 over Georgia; total 58
Illinois 20 over INDIANA; total 51
PENN STATE 8 over Iowa; total 46
BAYLOR 10 over Iowa State; total 67
OKLAHOMA STATE 38 over Kansas; total 77
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 10 over Kent; total 60
SOUTH CAROLINA 19 over Kentucky; total 48
Louisiana Tech 1 over IDAHO; total 57
NORTH CAROLINA 13 over Louisville; total 43
CENTRAL FLORIDA 9 over Marshall; total 41
GEORGIA TECH 21 over Maryland; total 66
RICE 18 over Memphis; total 58
VIRGINIA TECH 11 over Miami, Florida; total 44
Michigan 16 over NORTHWESTERN; total 51
PURDUE 16 over Minnesota; total 50
Mississippi State 16 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 49
KANSAS STATE 4 over Missouri; total 50
NEVADA 19 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 59
Ohio 12 over BUFFALO; total 45
NEBRASKA 5 over Ohio State; total 50
RUTGERS 6 over Pittsburgh; total 50
BRIGHAM YOUNG 12 over San Jose State; total 45
Southern Mississippi 4 over NAVY; total 55
Syracuse 9 over TULANE; total 55
Temple 4 over BALL STATE; total 49
Oklahoma 8 over Texas; total 53
TEXAS TECH 2 over Texas A&M; total 63
SAN DIEGO STATE 1 over Texas Christian; total 63
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 8 over Troy; total 66
ALABAMA 22 over Vanderbilt; total 43
UCLA 3 over Washington State; total 63
Wyoming 1 over UTAH STATE; total 62
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 34-19 | .642 | 176-62 | .739 |
| Against the spread | 26-26-1 | .500 | 113-117-6 | .492 |
| Over-under | 27-25-1 | .519 | 118-116-1 | .504 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-1 | .500 | 6-3-1 | .650 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 214-24 |
| Percentage | .89916 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.16597 |
| Mean error | 9.5284 |
| Mean square error | 151.428 |
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