These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 11, 2014. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/9
Brigham Young 2 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 51
10/10
Fresno State 13 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 62
NEW MEXICO pick 'em over San Diego State; total 51
STANFORD 15 over Washington State; total 53
10/11
UTAH STATE 3 over Air Force; total 52
Alabama 7 over ARKANSAS; total 62
Arkansas State 14 over GEORGIA STATE; total 61
Auburn 1 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 58
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7 over Boston College; total 56
Bowling Green State 2 over OHIO; total 64
Buffalo 7 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 64
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Central Michigan; total 50
MIAMI, FLORIDA 10 over Cincinnati; total 61
NEVADA 2 over Colorado State; total 55
TULANE 7 over Connecticut; total 49
GEORGIA TECH 8 over Duke; total 55
East Carolina 14 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 57
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 3 over Florida International; total 43
Florida State 16 over SYRACUSE; total 53
MISSOURI 1 over Georgia; total 62
MEMPHIS 13 over Houston; total 49
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 30 over Idaho; total 65
WISCONSIN 16 over Illinois; total 56
IOWA 3 over Indiana; total 49
FLORIDA 3 over Louisiana State; total 51
KENTUCKY 14 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 46
Louisville pick 'em over CLEMSON; total 54
KENT 6 over Massachusetts; total 56
AKRON 17 over Miami, Ohio; total 47
Michigan State 15 over PURDUE; total 59
MARSHALL 18 over Middle Tennessee State; total 69
Mississippi 4 over TEXAS A&M; total 57
New Mexico State 4 over TROY; total 62
NOTRE DAME 27 over North Carolina; total 61
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 6 over North Texas; total 64
MINNESOTA 5 over Northwestern; total 39
Oklahoma State 13 over KANSAS; total 52
Old Dominion pick 'em over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 67
UCLA 9 over Oregon; total 66
Penn State 4 over MICHIGAN; total 37
Rice 4 over ARMY; total 63
ARIZONA 8 over Southern California; total 61
Oklahoma 14 over Texas; total 50
BAYLOR 7 over Texas Christian; total 60
Toledo 4 over IOWA STATE; total 64
TEMPLE 16 over Tulsa; total 59
CALIFORNIA 7 over Washington; total 79
West Virginia 8 over TEXAS TECH; total 69
Western Michigan 1 over BALL STATE; total 55
Wyoming 4 over HAWAII; total 42
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2014 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-18 | .684 | 215-74 | .744 |
| Against the spread | 26-29-2 | .474 | 125-156-7 | .446 |
| Over-under | 31-23-3 | .570 | 144-137-7 | .512 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-5 | .444 | 21-27-2 | .440 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 251-38 |
| Percentage | .86851 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.48616 |
| Mean error | 10.4983 |
| Mean square error | 174.778 |
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