These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 13, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/11Arizona State 27 over COLORADO; total 57
TULSA 28 over Texas-El Paso; total 58
Western Kentucky 4 over TROY; total 50
10/12
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 3 over Navy; total 56
10/13
WYOMING 2 over Air Force; total 63
OHIO 34 over Akron; total 70
Alabama 16 over MISSOURI; total 46
HOUSTON 6 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 63
MISSISSIPPI 6 over Auburn; total 48
FLORIDA STATE 28 over Boston College; total 57
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 22 over Buffalo; total 61
California 9 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 53
SAN DIEGO STATE 24 over Colorado State; total 57
VIRGINIA TECH 1 over Duke; total 57
Florida 13 over VANDERBILT; total 38
LOUISIANA-MONROE 22 over Florida Atlantic; total 54
BOISE STATE 14 over Fresno State; total 53
TEXAS STATE 16 over Idaho; total 56
MICHIGAN 21 over Illinois; total 51
MICHIGAN STATE 8 over Iowa; total 33
Kansas State 2 over IOWA STATE; total 50
Kent 14 over ARMY; total 60
ARKANSAS 3 over Kentucky; total 55
Texas A&M 13 over Louisiana Tech; total 79
Louisville 10 over PITTSBURGH; total 46
Maryland 2 over VIRGINIA; total 47
EAST CAROLINA 16 over Memphis; total 45
BOWLING GREEN STATE 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 50
Middle Tennessee State pick 'em over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 61
Nevada 24 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 68
New Mexico 9 over HAWAII; total 63
MIAMI, FLORIDA 1 over North Carolina; total 67
Northwestern 1 over MINNESOTA; total 51
Ohio State 27 over INDIANA; total 62
Oklahoma State 25 over KANSAS; total 68
BRIGHAM YOUNG 1 over Oregon State; total 33
ARKANSAS STATE 17 over South Alabama; total 48
South Carolina 7 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 44
Southern California 8 over WASHINGTON; total 51
Southern Methodist 14 over TULANE; total 47
CENTRAL FLORIDA 21 over Southern Mississippi; total 52
NOTRE DAME 12 over Stanford; total 42
RUTGERS 15 over Syracuse; total 40
CONNECTICUT 5 over Temple; total 40
MISSISSIPPI STATE 14 over Tennessee; total 60
Oklahoma 1 over Texas; total 64
BAYLOR 1 over Texas Christian; total 70
Texas-San Antonio 12 over RICE; total 59
Toledo 24 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 56
UCLA 7 over Utah; total 52
SAN JOSE STATE 3 over Utah State; total 39
TEXAS TECH 1 over West Virginia; total 75
BALL STATE 4 over Western Michigan; total 67
PURDUE 3 over Wisconsin; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-14 | .741 | 215-74 | .744 |
| Against the spread | 31-23 | .574 | 161-126-2 | .561 |
| Over-under | 22-32 | .407 | 134-151-2 | .470 |
| ARGH Picks | 6-2 | .750 | 17-9 | .654 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 253-36 |
| Percentage | .87543 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.04239 |
| Mean error | 9.5415 |
| Mean square error | 145.176 |
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