These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 13, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-11-18
10/9
Appalachian State 3 over ARKANSAS STATE; total 60
10/11
Georgia Southern 19 over TEXAS STATE; total 50
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 5 over Texas Tech; total 68
10/12
SAN DIEGO STATE 11 over Air Force; total 45
UTAH 11 over Arizona; total 50
South Florida 13 over TULSA; total 59
10/13
BUFFALO 11 over Akron; total 57
Alabama-Birmingham 19 over RICE; total 53
Army 23 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 58
Ball State 2 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 45
TEXAS 17 over Baylor; total 64
Boise State 10 over NEVADA; total 61
Central Florida 14 over MEMPHIS; total 71
Colorado 1 over SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; total 53
Duke 7 over GEORGIA TECH; total 60
Florida 9 over VANDERBILT; total 46
Georgia 5 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 50
BRIGHAM YOUNG 2 over Hawaii; total 55
Houston 14 over EAST CAROLINA; total 67
Iowa 4 over INDIANA; total 49
MIAMI, OHIO 13 over Kent State; total 56
Louisiana Tech 9 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 49
COASTAL CAROLINA 16 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 68
BOSTON COLLEGE 19 over Louisville; total 61
Marshall 9 over OLD DOMINION; total 60
Miami, Florida 9 over VIRGINIA; total 53
PENN STATE 12 over Michigan State; total 62
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 4 over MidState; total 62
OHIO STATE 22 over Minnesota; total 60
Mississippi 12 over ARKANSAS; total 75
ALABAMA 27 over Missouri; total 74
NORTHWESTERN 15 over Nebraska; total 54
UTAH STATE 25 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 72
New Mexico 5 over COLORADO STATE; total 75
LOUISIANA 11 over New Mexico State; total 68
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 3 over Ohio; total 58
Oklahoma State 8 over KANSAS STATE; total 62
NOTRE DAME 26 over Pittsburgh; total 55
Purdue 2 over ILLINOIS; total 56
MARYLAND 23 over Rutgers; total 55
NORTH TEXAS 13 over Southern Mississippi; total 56
Temple 3 over NAVY; total 59
AUBURN 13 over Tennessee; total 44
SOUTH CAROLINA 3 over Texas A&M; total 53
Toledo 2 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 72
Troy 13 over LIBERTY; total 68
CALIFORNIA 9 over UCLA; total 52
Virginia Tech 11 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 58
Washington 9 over OREGON; total 57
West Virginia 7 over IOWA STATE; total 53
CHARLOTTE 3 over Western Kentucky; total 45
Western Michigan 21 over BOWLING GREEN; total 76
MICHIGAN 9 over Wisconsin; total 52
FRESNO STATE 17 over Wyoming; total 45
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 37-19 | .661 | 223-86 | .722 |
| Against the spread | 23-30-3 | .438 | 152-148-9 | .506 |
| Over-under | 27-28-1 | .491 | 162-143-4 | .531 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-5-1 | .214 | 16-19-2 | .459 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 267-42 |
| Percentage | .86408 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.04612 |
| Mean error | 10.3439 |
| Mean square error | 167.827 |
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