ARGH Game Predictions (Weekend of October 14, 2006)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 14, 2006. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

Please note that effective immediately I will no longer be able to comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

10/12

AIR FORCE 3 over Colorado State; total 41
Clemson 38 over Temple; total 52
BOSTON COLLEGE 5 over Virginia Tech; total 45

10/13

Pittsburgh 9 over CENTRAL FLORIDA; total 46

10/14

Alabama-Birmingham 1 over RICE; total 48
Arizona 3 over STANFORD; total 38
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 27 over Arizona State; total 52
MEMPHIS 4 over Arkansas State; total 44
CONNECTICUT 4 over Army; total 46
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 19 over Ball State; total 62
TEXAS 20 over Baylor; total 44
California 1 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 53
LOUISVILLE 24 over Cincinnati; total 47
BOWLING GREEN STATE 19 over Eastern Michigan; total 49
Florida 4 over AUBURN; total 35
MIAMI, FLORIDA 18 over Florida International; total 34
Florida State 17 over DUKE; total 35
Hawaii 3 over FRESNO STATE; total 55
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 8 over Houston; total 45
LOUISIANA TECH 5 over Idaho; total 56
Iowa 14 over INDIANA; total 49
OKLAHOMA 18 over Iowa State; total 51
LOUISIANA STATE 19 over Kentucky; total 51
TROY 7 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 36
SOUTHERN METHODIST 8 over Marshall; total 50
Maryland pick 'em over VIRGINIA; total 38
BUFFALO 6 over Miami, Ohio; total 47
Michigan 10 over PENN STATE; total 44
WISCONSIN 11 over Minnesota; total 47
ALABAMA 14 over Mississippi; total 37
TEXAS A&M pick 'em over Missouri; total 48
Nebraska 6 over KANSAS STATE; total 46
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS pick 'em over New Mexico; total 37
WESTERN MICHIGAN 3 over Northern Illinois; total 50
ILLINOIS 1 over Ohio; total 42
Ohio State 18 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 48
KANSAS 2 over Oklahoma State; total 54
WASHINGTON 11 over Oregon State; total 47
Purdue 9 over NORTHWESTERN; total 54
Rutgers pick 'em over NAVY; total 43
South Florida 5 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 46
WEST VIRGINIA 21 over Syracuse; total 50
Texas Tech 15 over COLORADO; total 41
KENT 10 over Toledo; total 50
TEXAS-EL PASO 13 over Tulane; total 62
Tulsa 6 over EAST CAROLINA; total 47
OREGON 6 over UCLA; total 51
Utah 6 over WYOMING; total 39
SAN JOSE STATE 16 over Utah State; total 44
GEORGIA 13 over Vanderbilt; total 37
Wake Forest pick 'em over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 34

10/15

Boise State 28 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 58



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season:

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up37-18.673228-70.770
Against the spread29-22-4.564148-136-14.524
Over-under28-27.509136-146-4.483
ARGH Picks5-2-1.68814-8-2.625

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record259-39
Percentage0.86913
Bias toward home team0.87164
Mean error10.2827
Mean square error172.048

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