These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 20, 2007. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/18
South Florida 9 over RUTGERS; total 52
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 3 over Utah; total 37
10/19
CONNECTICUT 12 over Louisville; total 64
Northwestern 8 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 58
10/20
Arkansas 5 over MISSISSIPPI; total 55
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 3 over Arkansas State; total 53
GEORGIA TECH 17 over Army; total 41
LOUISIANA STATE 10 over Auburn; total 44
Ball State 3 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 69
Boise State 16 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 55
KENT 1 over Bowling Green State; total 59
Buffalo 3 over SYRACUSE; total 56
California 1 over UCLA; total 60
CLEMSON 17 over Central Michigan; total 63
Cincinnati 16 over PITTSBURGH; total 54
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 7 over Colorado State; total 47
KENTUCKY 4 over Florida; total 71
Florida Atlantic 14 over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE; total 60
LOUISIANA-MONROE 14 over Florida International; total 49
Houston 6 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 64
NEW MEXICO STATE 17 over Idaho; total 58
PURDUE 10 over Iowa; total 42
Kansas 7 over COLORADO; total 55
Kansas State pick 'em over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 56
RICE 4 over Memphis; total 61
FLORIDA STATE 8 over Miami, Florida; total 38
Miami, Ohio 7 over TEMPLE; total 46
ILLINOIS 5 over Michigan; total 45
OHIO STATE 23 over Michigan State; total 51
WEST VIRGINIA 19 over Mississippi State; total 54
Nevada 11 over UTAH STATE; total 72
New Mexico 9 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 49
EAST CAROLINA 18 over North Carolina State; total 58
TROY 31 over North Texas; total 67
WISCONSIN 24 over Northern Illinois; total 47
Ohio 1 over TOLEDO; total 69
Oklahoma 34 over IOWA STATE; total 58
Oregon 13 over WASHINGTON; total 63
Penn State 4 over INDIANA; total 55
FRESNO STATE 14 over San Jose State; total 55
Southern California 14 over NOTRE DAME; total 44
ARIZONA 6 over Stanford; total 55
ALABAMA 4 over Tennessee; total 60
Texas 15 over BAYLOR; total 55
NEBRASKA 1 over Texas A&M; total 57
MISSOURI 7 over Texas Tech; total 73
SOUTHERN METHODIST 7 over Tulane; total 52
CENTRAL FLORIDA 2 over Tulsa; total 79
SOUTH CAROLINA 15 over Vanderbilt; total 40
Virginia 1 over MARYLAND; total 43
Wake Forest pick 'em over NAVY; total 65
AIR FORCE 4 over Wyoming; total 38
10/21
Southern Mississippi 12 over MARSHALL; total 53
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2007 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-16 | .709 | 265-95 | .736 |
| Against the spread | 27-26-1 | .509 | 180-172-4 | .511 |
| Over-under | 25-29 | .463 | 169-181-6 | .483 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-2-1 | .500 | 17-13-1 | .565 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 308-52 |
| Percentage | .85556 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.03889 |
| Mean error | 10.1479 |
| Mean square error | 164.200 |
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