These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 20, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-19-18
10/18
ARKANSAS STATE 8 over Georgia State; total 51
Stanford 2 over ARIZONA STATE; total 48
10/19
Air Force 5 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 59
BOISE STATE 21 over Colorado State; total 58
10/20
Akron 9 over KENT STATE; total 55
Alabama 24 over TENNESSEE; total 63
UCLA 3 over Arizona; total 54
Auburn pick 'em over MISSISSIPPI; total 62
OHIO 21 over Bowling Green; total 79
Buffalo 5 over TOLEDO; total 71
California 5 over OREGON STATE; total 69
Central Florida 26 over EAST CAROLINA; total 60
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 10 over Charlotte; total 54
Cincinnati 7 over TEMPLE; total 49
Coastal Carolina 2 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 81
WASHINGTON 7 over Colorado; total 48
SOUTH FLORIDA 30 over Connecticut; total 70
Eastern Michigan 3 over BALL STATE; total 50
MARSHALL 5 over Florida Atlantic; total 66
Fresno State 15 over NEW MEXICO; total 60
Georgia Southern 16 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 55
Houston 12 over NAVY; total 71
WISCONSIN 18 over Illinois; total 52
TEXAS TECH 23 over Kansas; total 66
APPALACHIAN STATE 22 over Louisiana; total 72
IOWA 9 over Maryland; total 50
MISSOURI 9 over Memphis; total 71
ARMY 13 over Miami, Ohio; total 46
Michigan 8 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 51
Minnesota 10 over NEBRASKA; total 56
LOUISIANA STATE 7 over Mississippi State; total 43
HAWAII 7 over Nevada; total 70
SYRACUSE 22 over North Carolina; total 62
CLEMSON 14 over North Carolina State; total 50
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 1 over North Texas; total 50
Northwestern 16 over RUTGERS; total 49
Ohio State 18 over PURDUE; total 64
Oklahoma 8 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 64
WESTERN KENTUCKY 1 over Old Dominion; total 55
WASHINGTON STATE 3 over Oregon; total 71
Penn State 7 over INDIANA; total 61
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 26 over Rice; total 60
SAN DIEGO STATE 26 over San Jose State; total 49
UTAH 4 over Southern California; total 45
TULANE 5 over Southern Methodist; total 62
LOUISIANA-MONROE 15 over Texas State; total 57
LOUISIANA TECH 26 over Texas-El Paso; total 47
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 9 over Texas-San Antonio; total 43
ARKANSAS 4 over Tulsa; total 59
Utah State 16 over WYOMING; total 57
KENTUCKY 14 over Vanderbilt; total 44
DUKE 9 over Virginia; total 44
FLORIDA STATE 3 over Wake Forest; total 60
Western Michigan 14 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN; total 56
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 39-15 | .722 | 262-101 | .722 |
| Against the spread | 21-33 | .389 | 173-181-9 | .489 |
| Over-under | 30-24 | .556 | 192-167-4 | .534 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-3 | .571 | 20-22-2 | .477 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 307-56 |
| Percentage | .84573 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.01033 |
| Mean error | 10.5227 |
| Mean square error | 173.111 |
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