This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 22, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/18
ARKANSAS STATE 2 over Florida International; total 49

10/20

Central Florida 17 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 39
UCLA 3 over ARIZONA; total 61

10/21

Rutgers 10 over LOUISVILLE; total 36
West Virginia 9 over SYRACUSE; total 60

10/22

BOISE STATE 39 over Air Force; total 68
Arkansas 18 over MISSISSIPPI; total 57
VANDERBILT 14 over Army; total 48
LOUISIANA STATE 24 over Auburn; total 53
VIRGINIA TECH 22 over Boston College; total 44
BALL STATE 12 over Central Michigan; total 56
Cincinnati pick 'em over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 60
TEXAS-EL PASO 9 over Colorado State; total 55
NAVY 8 over East Carolina; total 62
NEVADA 12 over Fresno State; total 57
Georgia Tech 2 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 62
Illinois 9 over PURDUE; total 49
IOWA 22 over Indiana; total 54
Kansas State 19 over KANSAS; total 67
UTAH STATE 8 over Louisiana Tech; total 65
Louisiana-Lafayette 16 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 53
Louisiana-Monroe 1 over NORTH TEXAS; total 49
HOUSTON 22 over Marshall; total 56
FLORIDA STATE 14 over Maryland; total 57
TULANE 13 over Memphis; total 56
TOLEDO 20 over Miami, Ohio; total 48
Middle Tennessee State 6 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 56
Nebraska 27 over MINNESOTA; total 59
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 41 over New Mexico; total 64
HAWAII 11 over New Mexico State; total 59
CLEMSON 14 over North Carolina; total 54
VIRGINIA 8 over North Carolina State; total 56
Northern Illinois 8 over BUFFALO; total 63
Ohio 13 over AKRON; total 53
Oklahoma State 15 over MISSOURI; total 68
Oregon 32 over COLORADO; total 67
WASHINGTON STATE 12 over Oregon State; total 58
Penn State 13 over NORTHWESTERN; total 42
NOTRE DAME 7 over Southern California; total 53
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI pick 'em over Southern Methodist; total 57
Temple 12 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 49
ALABAMA 28 over Tennessee; total 50
Texas A&M 18 over IOWA STATE; total 66
OKLAHOMA 31 over Texas Tech; total 68
Tulsa 7 over RICE; total 59
Utah 1 over CALIFORNIA; total 49
Wake Forest 7 over DUKE; total 57
STANFORD 22 over Washington; total 62
Western Michigan 4 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 53
Wisconsin 1 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 47



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up35-15.700254-86.747
Against the spread25-25.500164-167-7.496
Over-under19-31.380164-172-1.488
ARGH Picks1-1.50010-6-1.618

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record294-46
Percentage.86471
Bias toward home team-0.09412
Mean error9.7485
Mean square error156.937

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