These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of October 27, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/23LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 8 over Arkansas State; total 62
10/25
Clemson 16 over WAKE FOREST; total 59
10/26
LOUISVILLE 6 over Cincinnati; total 51
Nevada 3 over AIR FORCE; total 69
10/27
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 13 over Akron; total 72
Alabama-Birmingham 6 over TULANE; total 57
Ball State 21 over ARMY; total 71
IOWA STATE 13 over Baylor; total 72
Boise State 21 over WYOMING; total 44
Brigham Young 7 over GEORGIA TECH; total 50
UTAH 2 over California; total 44
Central Florida 7 over MARSHALL; total 76
OREGON 54 over Colorado; total 72
FLORIDA STATE 22 over Duke; total 62
BOWLING GREEN STATE 20 over Eastern Michigan; total 48
Florida 18 over Georgia; total 54
Fresno State 5 over NEW MEXICO; total 57
Hawaii 1 over COLORADO STATE; total 56
ILLINOIS pick 'em over Indiana; total 61
NORTHWESTERN 8 over Iowa; total 45
RUTGERS 17 over Kent; total 45
MISSOURI 13 over Kentucky; total 49
Louisiana Tech 38 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 85
Maryland 7 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 45
VANDERBILT 28 over Massachusetts; total 45
SOUTHERN METHODIST 20 over Memphis; total 50
Michigan 2 over NEBRASKA; total 61
WISCONSIN 5 over Michigan State; total 33
ARKANSAS 1 over Mississippi; total 59
ALABAMA 18 over Mississippi State; total 48
EAST CAROLINA 1 over Navy; total 45
SAN DIEGO STATE 26 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 68
NORTH CAROLINA 5 over North Carolina State; total 52
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 2 over North Texas; total 50
Northern Illinois 14 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 56
Notre Dame 7 over OKLAHOMA; total 42
Ohio 16 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 63
Ohio State 6 over PENN STATE; total 54
Oregon State 13 over WASHINGTON; total 44
Purdue 1 over MINNESOTA; total 52
LOUISIANA-MONROE 24 over South Alabama; total 57
Southern California 6 over ARIZONA; total 65
RICE 11 over Southern Mississippi; total 61
SOUTH FLORIDA 1 over Syracuse; total 50
PITTSBURGH 3 over Temple; total 47
SOUTH CAROLINA 23 over Tennessee; total 61
Texas 25 over KANSAS; total 64
Texas A&M 19 over AUBURN; total 53
OKLAHOMA STATE 7 over Texas Christian; total 63
SAN JOSE STATE 19 over Texas State; total 55
KANSAS STATE 13 over Texas Tech; total 61
HOUSTON 11 over Texas-El Paso; total 53
Toledo 22 over BUFFALO; total 60
Troy 13 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 48
ARIZONA STATE 5 over UCLA; total 55
Utah State 11 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 47
STANFORD 27 over Washington State; total 47
Western Kentucky 19 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 62
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-13 | .768 | 300-99 | .752 |
| Against the spread | 31-24-1 | .563 | 225-171-3 | .568 |
| Over-under | 25-30-1 | .455 | 193-201-3 | .490 |
| ARGH Picks | 8-5 | .500 | 31-20 | .608 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 354-45 |
| Percentage | .88722 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.01003 |
| Mean error | 9.9348 |
| Mean square error | 154.268 |
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