These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 28, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 10-27-17
10/26
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 9 over Eastern Michigan; total 38
GEORGIA STATE pick 'em over South Alabama; total 46
Stanford 27 over OREGON STATE; total 64
Toledo 25 over BALL STATE; total 62
10/27
BOSTON COLLEGE 1 over Florida State; total 45
MEMPHIS 16 over Tulane; total 67
SOUTHERN METHODIST 20 over Tulsa; total 75
10/28
COLORADO STATE 14 over Air Force; total 68
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 14 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54
Appalachian State 16 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 55
MISSISSIPPI 4 over Arkansas; total 70
Arkansas State 3 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 65
Boise State 8 over UTAH STATE; total 56
AKRON 6 over Buffalo; total 50
COLORADO 1 over California; total 51
VIRGINIA TECH 13 over Duke; total 44
Georgia 17 over Florida; total 47
Florida Atlantic 4 over WESTERN KENTUCKY; total 58
MARSHALL 12 over Florida International; total 39
TROY 24 over Georgia Southern; total 46
CLEMSON 17 over Georgia Tech; total 51
SOUTH FLORIDA 13 over Houston; total 54
MARYLAND 2 over Indiana; total 59
Kansas State 14 over KANSAS; total 60
Louisiana Tech 12 over RICE; total 47
Louisiana-Monroe 3 over IDAHO; total 68
WAKE FOREST 5 over Louisville; total 62
Miami, Florida 25 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 55
Michigan State 4 over NORTHWESTERN; total 42
IOWA 7 over Minnesota; total 42
Mississippi State 1 over TEXAS A&M; total 55
Missouri 4 over CONNECTICUT; total 72
PURDUE 7 over Nebraska; total 49
FRESNO STATE 23 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 58
WYOMING 4 over New Mexico; total 45
NOTRE DAME 10 over North Carolina State; total 61
Oklahoma State 9 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 72
NORTH TEXAS 20 over Old Dominion; total 69
Penn State 6 over OHIO STATE; total 59
MICHIGAN 13 over Rutgers; total 40
San Diego State 16 over HAWAII; total 55
BRIGHAM YOUNG 7 over San Jose State; total 44
Southern California 4 over ARIZONA STATE; total 59
KENTUCKY 7 over Tennessee; total 45
Texas 19 over BAYLOR; total 60
Texas Christian 10 over IOWA STATE; total 52
COASTAL CAROLINA 5 over Texas State; total 53
OKLAHOMA 18 over Texas Tech; total 73
Texas-San Antonio 18 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 46
WASHINGTON 19 over UCLA; total 63
OREGON 4 over Utah; total 57
SOUTH CAROLINA 12 over Vanderbilt; total 46
Virginia 2 over PITTSBURGH; total 51
Washington State 8 over ARIZONA; total 63
Wisconsin 26 over ILLINOIS; total 47
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 41-15 | .732 | 314-109 | .742 |
| Against the spread | 22-33-1 | .402 | 206-208-8 | .498 |
| Over-under | 25-31 | .446 | 193-227-2 | .460 |
| ARGH Picks | 0-4 | .000 | 34-36-1 | .486 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 359-64 |
| Percentage | .84870 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.28960 |
| Mean error | 10.4929 |
| Mean square error | 175.226 |
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