These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of October 31, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
10/27
East Carolina 4 over MEMPHIS; total 48
10/29
VIRGINIA TECH 14 over North Carolina; total 42
10/30
SOUTH FLORIDA 2 over West Virginia; total 51
10/31
Air Force 4 over COLORADO STATE; total 42
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 14 over Akron; total 45
TEXAS-EL PASO 10 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 60
LOUISVILLE 1 over Arkansas State; total 46
California 1 over ARIZONA STATE; total 52
BOSTON COLLEGE 1 over Central Michigan; total 49
Cincinnati 20 over SYRACUSE; total 54
VIRGINIA 5 over Duke; total 49
ARKANSAS 32 over Eastern Michigan; total 58
Florida 18 over Georgia; total 50
Georgia Tech 12 over VANDERBILT; total 43
NEVADA 18 over Hawaii; total 64
IOWA 20 over Indiana; total 42
TEXAS A&M 1 over Iowa State; total 58
TEXAS TECH 3 over Kansas; total 66
OKLAHOMA 13 over Kansas State; total 42
IDAHO 9 over Louisiana Tech; total 55
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 1 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 60
TROY 7 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 59
Miami, Florida 5 over WAKE FOREST; total 50
Michigan 10 over ILLINOIS; total 52
MINNESOTA 2 over Michigan State; total 47
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 2 over Middle Tennessee State; total 61
Mississippi pick 'em over AUBURN; total 51
KENTUCKY 9 over Mississippi State; total 50
Missouri 3 over COLORADO; total 49
Nebraska 5 over BAYLOR; total 41
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 30 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 54
SAN DIEGO STATE 20 over New Mexico; total 52
OHIO STATE 21 over New Mexico State; total 36
FLORIDA STATE 10 over North Carolina State; total 63
Notre Dame 21 over Washington State; total 54
Ohio 11 over BALL STATE; total 49
Penn State 12 over NORTHWESTERN; total 44
WISCONSIN 12 over Purdue; total 56
CONNECTICUT 4 over Rutgers; total 45
BOISE STATE 29 over San Jose State; total 52
TENNESSEE 1 over South Carolina; total 41
OREGON 3 over Southern California; total 47
TULSA 10 over Southern Methodist; total 55
HOUSTON 14 over Southern Mississippi; total 64
NAVY 11 over Temple; total 47
Texas 10 over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 58
Toledo 13 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 60
LOUISIANA STATE 24 over Tulane; total 42
OREGON STATE 7 over UCLA; total 48
FRESNO STATE 18 over Utah State; total 60
NORTH TEXAS 17 over Western Kentucky; total 65
KENT 2 over Western Michigan; total 48
UTAH 14 over Wyoming; total 39
11/1
CENTRAL FLORIDA 3 over Marshall; total 38
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This week's picks are:
ARGH Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-13 | .778 | 295-103 | .737 |
| Against the spread | 29-27 | .463 | 200-193-5 | .507 |
| Over-under | 26-30 | .454 | 193-201-4 | .494 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-2 | .333 | 17-18-2 | .500 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 338-60 |
| Percentage | .84925 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.40389 |
| Mean error | 9.6225 |
| Mean square error | 155.412 |
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