These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 3, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-1-18
10/30
BOWLING GREEN 4 over Kent State; total 72
BUFFALO 14 over Miami, Ohio; total 49
10/31
TOLEDO 20 over Ball State; total 68
11/1
Northern Illinois pick 'em over AKRON; total 36
WESTERN MICHIGAN 7 over Ohio; total 73
CENTRAL FLORIDA 15 over Temple; total 54
11/2
Colorado pick 'em over ARIZONA; total 58
VIRGINIA 9 over Pittsburgh; total 51
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 21 over Western Kentucky; total 50
11/3
ARMY 18 over Air Force; total 54
Alabama 2 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 59
Appalachian State 8 over COASTAL CAROLINA; total 62
Boston College 6 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 63
BOISE STATE 11 over Brigham Young; total 51
WASHINGTON STATE 14 over California; total 57
EASTERN MICHIGAN 15 over Central Michigan; total 44
TENNESSEE 11 over Charlotte; total 50
TULSA 7 over Connecticut; total 57
MIAMI, FLORIDA 6 over Duke; total 51
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 13 over Florida Atlantic; total 64
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 11 over Florida State; total 50
Fresno State 30 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 62
Georgia 1 over KENTUCKY; total 43
Georgia Southern 13 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 51
Georgia Tech 11 over NORTH CAROLINA; total 62
Houston 13 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 77
Iowa 4 over PURDUE; total 48
Iowa State 12 over KANSAS; total 50
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 7 over Kansas State; total 48
Liberty pick 'em over MASSACHUSETTS; total 76
TROY 13 over Louisiana; total 68
MISSISSIPPI STATE 11 over Louisiana Tech; total 40
CLEMSON 39 over Louisville; total 56
Marshall 3 over SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI; total 44
Memphis 10 over EAST CAROLINA; total 65
Michigan State pick 'em over MARYLAND; total 48
Minnesota 8 over ILLINOIS; total 62
FLORIDA 14 over Missouri; total 60
CINCINNATI 23 over Navy; total 55
OHIO STATE 28 over Nebraska; total 70
Notre Dame 11 over NORTHWESTERN; total 48
Oklahoma 10 over TEXAS TECH; total 80
Oklahoma State 5 over BAYLOR; total 73
MICHIGAN 12 over Penn State; total 58
WISCONSIN 23 over Rutgers; total 48
San Diego State 9 over NEW MEXICO; total 51
WYOMING 10 over San Jose State; total 48
ARKANSAS STATE 13 over South Alabama; total 63
South Carolina 3 over MISSISSIPPI; total 69
Southern California 13 over OREGON STATE; total 72
WASHINGTON 5 over Stanford; total 40
Syracuse 11 over WAKE FOREST; total 78
AUBURN 2 over Texas A&M; total 44
GEORGIA STATE 8 over Texas State; total 52
RICE 9 over Texas-El Paso; total 50
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 19 over Texas-San Antonio; total 39
SOUTH FLORIDA 12 over Tulane; total 58
OREGON 11 over UCLA; total 61
Utah 6 over ARIZONA STATE; total 48
Utah State 16 over HAWAII; total 75
West Virginia 1 over TEXAS; total 57
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 34-21 | .618 | 343-129 | .727 |
| Against the spread | 28-26-1 | .518 | 228-234-10 | .494 |
| Over-under | 33-22 | .600 | 247-220-5 | .529 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-2 | .600 | 27-31-2 | .467 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 396-76 |
| Percentage | .83898 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.21557 |
| Mean error | 10.3872 |
| Mean square error | 167.464 |
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