These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 4, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-2-17
10/31
KENT 3 over Bowling Green State; total 51
OHIO 13 over Miami, Ohio; total 59
11/1
WESTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Central Michigan; total 61
11/2
EASTERN MICHIGAN 13 over Ball State; total 48
TROY 16 over Idaho; total 44
Navy 11 over TEMPLE; total 50
TOLEDO 6 over Northern Illinois; total 57
11/3
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 3 over Marshall; total 57
Memphis 20 over TULSA; total 77
UCLA 1 over UTAH; total 65
11/4
Appalachian State 9 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 64
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 12 over Arizona; total 72
Army pick 'em over AIR FORCE; total 64
Auburn 7 over TEXAS A&M; total 54
KANSAS 2 over Baylor; total 66
FRESNO STATE 14 over Brigham Young; total 38
Central Florida 14 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 76
OLD DOMINION 11 over Charlotte; total 50
TULANE 8 over Cincinnati; total 54
Clemson 10 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 51
ARKANSAS 29 over Coastal Carolina; total 66
ARIZONA STATE 5 over Colorado; total 53
WYOMING 2 over Colorado State; total 50
HOUSTON 23 over East Carolina; total 59
Florida 3 over MISSOURI; total 62
Georgia State 13 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 50
Georgia Tech 4 over VIRGINIA; total 49
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 9 over Hawaii; total 65
PURDUE 12 over Illinois; total 43
Iowa State 6 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 63
TEXAS TECH 8 over Kansas State; total 65
ALABAMA 20 over Louisiana State; total 48
SOUTH ALABAMA 7 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 59
MISSISSIPPI STATE 31 over Massachusetts; total 57
MICHIGAN 10 over Minnesota; total 40
KENTUCKY 13 over Mississippi; total 63
BOISE STATE 25 over Nevada; total 58
New Mexico State 9 over TEXAS STATE; total 50
North Texas pick 'em over LOUISIANA TECH; total 73
Northwestern 3 over NEBRASKA; total 55
Ohio State 9 over IOWA; total 54
OKLAHOMA STATE 4 over Oklahoma; total 72
WASHINGTON 18 over Oregon; total 57
CALIFORNIA 17 over Oregon State; total 60
Penn State 10 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 47
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 16 over Rice; total 51
Maryland 7 over Rutgers; total 58
San Diego State 25 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 49
GEORGIA 18 over South Carolina; total 46
South Florida 20 over CONNECTICUT; total 62
TENNESSEE 2 over Southern Mississippi; total 44
Stanford pick 'em over WASHINGTON STATE; total 55
Syracuse pick 'em over FLORIDA STATE; total 47
TEXAS CHRISTIAN 12 over Texas; total 46
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 18 over Texas-El Paso; total 45
Texas-San Antonio pick 'em over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 44
Utah State 2 over NEW MEXICO; total 57
MIAMI, FLORIDA 2 over Virginia Tech; total 46
NOTRE DAME 17 over Wake Forest; total 56
VANDERBILT 6 over Western Kentucky; total 50
Wisconsin 20 over INDIANA; total 50
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-15 | .727 | 354-124 | .741 |
| Against the spread | 25-29-1 | .464 | 231-237-9 | .494 |
| Over-under | 26-29 | .473 | 219-256-2 | .461 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-5 | .444 | 38-41-1 | .481 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 400-78 |
| Percentage | .83682 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.25994 |
| Mean error | 10.6240 |
| Mean square error | 178.613 |
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