These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 5, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-4-16
11/1
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 16 over Bowling Green State; total 69
Western Michigan 26 over BALL STATE; total 61
11/2
Toledo 8 over AKRON; total 69
11/3
GEORGIA STATE pick 'em over Arkansas State; total 42
OHIO 18 over Buffalo; total 48
Oklahoma 26 over IOWA STATE; total 69
COLORADO 15 over UCLA; total 50
11/4
Central Michigan 6 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 48
BOISE STATE 28 over San Jose State; total 55
Temple 12 over CONNECTICUT; total 46
11/5
ARMY 4 over Air Force; total 50
Alabama 14 over LOUISIANA STATE; total 50
WASHINGTON STATE 22 over Arizona; total 63
Brigham Young 6 over CINCINNATI; total 47
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 19 over Charlotte; total 63
TULSA 17 over East Carolina; total 71
Florida 8 over ARKANSAS; total 49
RICE 10 over Florida Atlantic; total 61
WESTERN KENTUCKY 27 over Florida International; total 66
Florida State 5 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 59
COLORADO STATE 19 over Fresno State; total 52
KENTUCKY 5 over Georgia; total 55
MISSISSIPPI 11 over Georgia Southern; total 61
NORTH CAROLINA 6 over Georgia Tech; total 55
SAN DIEGO STATE 20 over Hawaii; total 58
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE pick 'em over Idaho; total 55
Indiana 8 over RUTGERS; total 54
PENN STATE 12 over Iowa; total 53
WEST VIRGINIA 27 over Kansas; total 50
Louisiana Tech 5 over NORTH TEXAS; total 66
Louisville 19 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 60
OLD DOMINION 16 over Marshall; total 66
MICHIGAN 30 over Maryland; total 58
TROY 26 over Massachusetts; total 55
Memphis 2 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 61
ILLINOIS 2 over Michigan State; total 52
SOUTH CAROLINA 3 over Missouri; total 49
Navy 7 over Notre Dame; total 63
OHIO STATE 11 over Nebraska; total 54
NEW MEXICO 16 over Nevada; total 62
Oklahoma State 1 over KANSAS STATE; total 56
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 19 over Oregon; total 74
STANFORD 11 over Oregon State; total 40
MIAMI, FLORIDA 5 over Pittsburgh; total 64
MINNESOTA 21 over Purdue; total 59
South Alabama 8 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 55
CLEMSON 31 over Syracuse; total 57
TEXAS TECH 4 over Texas; total 87
Texas A&M 21 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 62
BAYLOR 15 over Texas Christian; total 62
APPALACHIAN STATE 25 over Texas State; total 53
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 12 over Texas-San Antonio; total 65
CENTRAL FLORIDA 11 over Tulane; total 54
WYOMING 13 over Utah State; total 56
AUBURN 15 over Vanderbilt; total 42
WAKE FOREST 11 over Virginia; total 43
Virginia Tech 12 over DUKE; total 52
Washington 27 over CALIFORNIA; total 79
Wisconsin 7 over NORTHWESTERN; total 37
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 34-18 | .654 | 340-126 | .730 |
| Against the spread | 23-28-1 | .452 | 233-224-9 | .510 |
| Over-under | 30-22 | .577 | 226-235-5 | .490 |
| ARGH Picks | 1-6-1 | .188 | 38-42-1 | .475 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 387-79 |
| Percentage | .83047 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.42811 |
| Mean error | 10.4469 |
| Mean square error | 176.373 |
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