This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 9, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/5

Bowling Green State 21 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 40
BUFFALO 1 over Ohio; total 54

11/6

BALL STATE 26 over Central Michigan; total 60

11/7

BAYLOR 13 over Oklahoma; total 70
Oregon 4 over STANFORD; total 62
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 17 over Troy; total 72

11/8

NEW MEXICO 7 over Air Force; total 68
Louisville 29 over CONNECTICUT; total 49

11/9

MARSHALL 26 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 70
GEORGIA 50 over Appalachian State; total 71
Arizona State 6 over UTAH; total 67
MISSISSIPPI 19 over Arkansas; total 52
LOUISIANA-MONROE 2 over Arkansas State; total 50
Auburn 11 over TENNESSEE; total 54
Boston College 23 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 60
WISCONSIN 2 over Brigham Young; total 52
WASHINGTON 24 over Colorado; total 62
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 26 over Florida International; total 51
Florida State 25 over WAKE FOREST; total 50
Fresno State 18 over WYOMING; total 75
NAVY 24 over Hawaii; total 56
CENTRAL FLORIDA 5 over Houston; total 61
INDIANA 15 over Illinois; total 79
Iowa 13 over PURDUE; total 41
OKLAHOMA STATE 30 over Kansas; total 54
TEXAS TECH 12 over Kansas State; total 61
ALABAMA 20 over Louisiana State; total 55
TEXAS A&M 16 over Mississippi State; total 72
Missouri 24 over KENTUCKY; total 56
MICHIGAN 9 over Nebraska; total 67
COLORADO STATE 8 over Nevada; total 66
DUKE 17 over North Carolina State; total 50
Notre Dame 5 over PITTSBURGH; total 49
Old Dominion 23 over IDAHO; total 81
MINNESOTA 8 over Penn State; total 57
SAN JOSE STATE 12 over San Diego State; total 57
Southern California 20 over CALIFORNIA; total 52
CINCINNATI 15 over Southern Methodist; total 67
LOUISIANA TECH 17 over Southern Mississippi; total 48
MARYLAND 4 over Syracuse; total 50
Texas 10 over WEST VIRGINIA; total 53
Texas Christian 8 over IOWA STATE; total 54
NORTH TEXAS 33 over Texas-El Paso; total 59
Tulane pick 'em over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 54
EAST CAROLINA 25 over Tulsa; total 55
ARIZONA 2 over UCLA; total 55
Utah State 10 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 58
FLORIDA 10 over Vanderbilt; total 46
NORTH CAROLINA 13 over Virginia; total 53
MIAMI, FLORIDA 8 over Virginia Tech; total 44
Western Kentucky 6 over ARMY; total 57
EASTERN MICHIGAN 7 over Western Michigan; total 60


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted on the ARGH Power Ratings Facebook page

2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up38-11.776370-109.772
Against the spread24-25.490238-235-5.503
Over-under24-24-1.500242-232-4.510
ARGH Picks3-3.50048-31.608

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record423-56
Percentage.88309
Bias toward home team-0.01618
Mean error10.0110
Mean square error160.273

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