This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 10, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/6
TOLEDO 13 over Ball State; total 70

11/7

OHIO 5 over Bowling Green State; total 43

11/8

Florida State 15 over VIRGINIA TECH; total 54
ARKANSAS STATE 5 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 67

11/9

Pittsburgh 5 over CONNECTICUT; total 38

11/10

SAN DIEGO STATE 14 over Air Force; total 64
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 9 over Arizona State; total 64
SOUTH CAROLINA 23 over Arkansas; total 53
RUTGERS 26 over Army; total 48
OKLAHOMA 30 over Baylor; total 75
Boise State 25 over HAWAII; total 49
Central Florida 17 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 48
Central Michigan 7 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 66
Cincinnati 14 over TEMPLE; total 54
ARIZONA 41 over Colorado; total 73
WESTERN KENTUCKY 18 over Florida Atlantic; total 47
Fresno State 6 over NEVADA; total 71
Georgia 23 over AUBURN; total 52
NORTH CAROLINA 16 over Georgia Tech; total 67
BRIGHAM YOUNG 29 over Idaho; total 45
TEXAS 9 over Iowa State; total 57
TEXAS TECH 27 over Kansas; total 52
Kansas State 18 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 58
Kent 12 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 60
Louisiana Tech 24 over TEXAS STATE; total 80
FLORIDA 27 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 48
Louisville 12 over SYRACUSE; total 56
Marshall 3 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 82
CLEMSON 27 over Maryland; total 53
AKRON 22 over Massachusetts; total 64
Miami, Florida 8 over VIRGINIA; total 54
Minnesota 6 over ILLINOIS; total 49
LOUISIANA STATE 9 over Mississippi State; total 43
TENNESSEE 1 over Missouri; total 64
Navy 7 over TROY; total 54
Nevada-Las Vegas 1 over COLORADO STATE; total 53
MICHIGAN 8 over Northwestern; total 48
Notre Dame 27 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 40
Oregon 32 over CALIFORNIA; total 71
STANFORD 2 over Oregon State; total 39
NEBRASKA 9 over Penn State; total 55
IOWA 4 over Purdue; total 49
San Jose State 26 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 53
NORTH TEXAS 10 over South Alabama; total 43
SOUTHERN METHODIST 22 over Southern Mississippi; total 56
ALABAMA 24 over Texas A&M; total 59
Tulane 1 over MEMPHIS; total 54
Tulsa 11 over HOUSTON; total 69
UCLA 23 over WASHINGTON STATE; total 55
WASHINGTON 3 over Utah; total 43
Vanderbilt 1 over MISSISSIPPI; total 48
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 7 over Wake Forest; total 46
OKLAHOMA STATE 17 over West Virginia; total 81
Western Michigan 2 over BUFFALO; total 58
Wisconsin 7 over INDIANA; total 53
NEW MEXICO 10 over Wyoming; total 59


ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up42-14.750381-132.743
Against the spread30-25-1.545284-224-5.558
Over-under32-23-1.580251-256-4.495
ARGH Picks4-3.57139-27.591

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record450-63
Percentage.87719
Bias toward home team0.14474
Mean error10.1321
Mean square error167.097

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