These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 10, 2018. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-5-18
11/6
BUFFALO 28 over Kent State; total 60
11/7
Ohio 5 over MIAMI, OHIO; total 63
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 2 over Toledo; total 57
11/8
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 17 over Wake Forest; total 66
11/9
Fresno State 4 over BOISE STATE; total 54
SYRACUSE 30 over Louisville; total 71
11/10
EASTERN MICHIGAN 7 over Akron; total 46
Appalachian State 20 over TEXAS STATE; total 49
COASTAL CAROLINA 5 over Arkansas State; total 61
GEORGIA 14 over Auburn; total 48
IOWA STATE 13 over Baylor; total 56
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 6 over Bowling Green; total 56
Brigham Young 6 over MASSACHUSETTS; total 62
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 6 over California; total 48
MARSHALL 8 over Charlotte; total 43
Clemson 18 over BOSTON COLLEGE; total 62
NEVADA 20 over Colorado State; total 66
TULANE 15 over East Carolina; total 53
Florida International 11 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 51
NOTRE DAME 25 over Florida State; total 51
LOUISIANA 18 over Georgia State; total 68
NEBRASKA 7 over Illinois; total 70
KANSAS STATE 5 over Kansas; total 45
Kentucky 9 over TENNESSEE; total 41
VIRGINIA 17 over Liberty; total 61
Louisiana State 21 over ARKANSAS; total 50
Louisiana-Monroe 7 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 62
Maryland 2 over INDIANA; total 54
Miami, Florida 3 over GEORGIA TECH; total 58
Michigan 30 over RUTGERS; total 46
Middle Tennessee State 18 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 47
TEXAS A&M 12 over Mississippi; total 69
ALABAMA 17 over Mississippi State; total 52
CENTRAL FLORIDA 33 over Navy; total 65
SAN DIEGO STATE 21 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 53
AIR FORCE 10 over New Mexico; total 61
DUKE 21 over North Carolina; total 51
North Texas 24 over OLD DOMINION; total 65
IOWA 7 over Northwestern; total 46
Ohio State 1 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 54
OKLAHOMA 28 over Oklahoma State; total 81
UTAH 11 over Oregon; total 59
STANFORD 25 over Oregon State; total 67
Purdue 10 over MINNESOTA; total 61
LOUISIANA TECH 26 over Rice; total 53
UTAH STATE 39 over San Jose State; total 70
FLORIDA 6 over South Carolina; total 56
CINCINNATI 17 over South Florida; total 52
Southern Methodist 20 over CONNECTICUT; total 69
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 14 over Southern Mississippi; total 40
HOUSTON 6 over Temple; total 71
TEXAS TECH 2 over Texas; total 71
WEST VIRGINIA 15 over Texas Christian; total 53
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 3 over Troy; total 49
MEMPHIS 15 over Tulsa; total 64
ARIZONA STATE 14 over UCLA; total 52
MISSOURI 10 over Vanderbilt; total 59
PITTSBURGH 7 over Virginia Tech; total 58
Washington State 10 over COLORADO; total 63
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 21 over Western Kentucky; total 56
PENN STATE 10 over Wisconsin; total 57
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2018 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-18 | .705 | 386-147 | .724 |
| Against the spread | 30-29-2 | .508 | 258-263-12 | .495 |
| Over-under | 22-39 | .361 | 269-259-5 | .509 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-9 | .250 | 30-40-2 | .431 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 442-91 |
| Percentage | .82927 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.11445 |
| Mean error | 10.4517 |
| Mean square error | 174.825 |
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