These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 12, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-7-16
11/8
Eastern Michigan 4 over BALL STATE; total 59
Western Michigan 26 over KENT; total 56
11/9
AKRON 22 over Bowling Green State; total 72
Toledo 14 over NORTHERN ILLINOIS; total 68
11/10
GEORGIA SOUTHERN 10 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 48
North Carolina 11 over DUKE; total 54
Utah 4 over ARIZONA STATE; total 63
11/11
FLORIDA STATE 19 over Boston College; total 53
11/12
TROY 4 over Appalachian State; total 50
Auburn 13 over GEORGIA; total 48
OKLAHOMA 12 over Baylor; total 73
Boise State 23 over HAWAII; total 63
WASHINGTON STATE 22 over California; total 85
CENTRAL FLORIDA 11 over Cincinnati; total 45
Colorado 21 over ARIZONA; total 52
AIR FORCE 4 over Colorado State; total 53
VIRGINIA TECH 13 over Georgia Tech; total 54
Idaho 9 over TEXAS STATE; total 62
WISCONSIN 18 over Illinois; total 40
Iowa State 1 over KANSAS; total 53
TENNESSEE 15 over Kentucky; total 61
Louisiana State 2 over ARKANSAS; total 47
GEORGIA STATE 4 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 54
Miami, Florida 16 over VIRGINIA; total 55
Miami, Ohio 8 over BUFFALO; total 42
Michigan 25 over IOWA; total 51
Middle Tennessee State 15 over MARSHALL; total 73
NEBRASKA 5 over Minnesota; total 54
TEXAS A&M 17 over Mississippi; total 69
ALABAMA 36 over Mississippi State; total 59
New Mexico 2 over UTAH STATE; total 64
ARKANSAS STATE 13 over New Mexico State; total 60
North Carolina State 2 over SYRACUSE; total 53
WESTERN KENTUCKY 19 over North Texas; total 63
Northwestern 9 over PURDUE; total 54
Army 2 over Notre Dame; total 49
Ohio State 23 over MARYLAND; total 60
UCLA 8 over Oregon State; total 50
Penn State 11 over INDIANA; total 58
CLEMSON 33 over Pittsburgh; total 67
CHARLOTTE 16 over Rice; total 65
MICHIGAN STATE 6 over Rutgers; total 56
San Diego State 19 over NEVADA; total 46
FLORIDA 10 over South Carolina; total 34
MEMPHIS 1 over South Florida; total 76
WASHINGTON 17 over Southern California; total 60
EAST CAROLINA 3 over Southern Methodist; total 57
OLD DOMINION 6 over Southern Mississippi; total 62
Stanford 8 over OREGON; total 59
OKLAHOMA STATE 19 over Texas Tech; total 86
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 1 over Texas-El Paso; total 55
LOUISIANA TECH 9 over Texas-San Antonio; total 68
HOUSTON 22 over Tulane; total 57
NAVY 2 over Tulsa; total 75
Vanderbilt 1 over MISSOURI; total 48
LOUISVILLE 20 over Wake Forest; total 55
West Virginia 8 over TEXAS; total 60
Wyoming 16 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 68
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2015 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 46-13 | .780 | 386-139 | .735 |
| Against the spread | 31-27-1 | .534 | 264-251-10 | .512 |
| Over-under | 41-18 | .695 | 267-253-5 | .513 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-0-1 | .917 | 43-42-2 | .506 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 438-87 |
| Percentage | .83429 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.41571 |
| Mean error | 10.7995 |
| Mean square error | 189.632 |
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