These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of November 18, 2017. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-16-17
11/14
Central Michigan 14 over KENT; total 51
Ohio 7 over AKRON; total 57
11/15
MIAMI, OHIO pick 'em over Eastern Michigan; total 45
Toledo 23 over BOWLING GREEN STATE; total 65
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 8 over Western Michigan; total 58
11/16
Buffalo 14 over BALL STATE; total 59
SOUTH FLORIDA 24 over Tulsa; total 65
11/17
WESTERN KENTUCKY pick 'em over Middle Tennessee State; total 46
Nevada-Las Vegas pick 'em over NEW MEXICO; total 57
11/18
BOISE STATE 20 over Air Force; total 62
FLORIDA 6 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 53
OREGON pick 'em over Arizona; total 75
Arizona State 18 over OREGON STATE; total 63
Army 4 over NORTH TEXAS; total 62
Boston College 16 over CONNECTICUT; total 55
STANFORD 15 over California; total 54
Central Florida 22 over TEMPLE; total 59
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 19 over Charlotte; total 41
Cincinnati 5 over EAST CAROLINA; total 60
IDAHO 15 over Coastal Carolina; total 59
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 16 over Florida International; total 59
WYOMING 1 over Fresno State; total 37
Georgia Tech 4 over DUKE; total 46
UTAH STATE 16 over Hawaii; total 61
Houston 6 over TULANE; total 51
OHIO STATE 35 over Illinois; total 58
Iowa State 20 over BAYLOR; total 55
OKLAHOMA STATE 22 over Kansas State; total 69
GEORGIA 20 over Kentucky; total 50
Louisiana State 9 over TENNESSEE; total 42
Louisiana Tech 21 over TEXAS-EL PASO; total 52
AUBURN 38 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 70
Marshall 3 over TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO; total 41
MICHIGAN STATE 15 over Maryland; total 57
BRIGHAM YOUNG 4 over Massachusetts; total 49
WISCONSIN 13 over Michigan; total 44
NORTHWESTERN 9 over Minnesota; total 47
Mississippi State 15 over ARKANSAS; total 60
Missouri 4 over VANDERBILT; total 67
NOTRE DAME 22 over Navy; total 63
PENN STATE 27 over Nebraska; total 57
SAN DIEGO STATE 23 over Nevada; total 56
New Mexico State 1 over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE; total 69
WAKE FOREST 1 over North Carolina State; total 63
Oklahoma 41 over KANSAS; total 70
VIRGINIA TECH 17 over Pittsburgh; total 48
IOWA 9 over Purdue; total 41
OLD DOMINION 14 over Rice; total 52
INDIANA 4 over Rutgers; total 49
COLORADO STATE 32 over San Jose State; total 63
South Alabama 13 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 45
MEMPHIS 14 over Southern Methodist; total 77
LOUISVILLE 9 over Syracuse; total 70
WEST VIRGINIA 5 over Texas; total 58
Texas A&M 3 over MISSISSIPPI; total 70
Texas Christian 14 over TEXAS TECH; total 59
ARKANSAS STATE 22 over Texas State; total 52
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 21 over UCLA; total 73
WASHINGTON 15 over Utah; total 45
MIAMI, FLORIDA 23 over Virginia; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-16 | .729 | 439-159 | .734 |
| Against the spread | 28-28-3 | .500 | 289-293-15 | .497 |
| Over-under | 21-37-1 | .364 | 277-316-4 | .467 |
| ARGH Picks | 2-1-1 | .625 | 43-44-2 | .494 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 493-105 |
| Percentage | .82441 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.25627 |
| Mean error | 10.5004 |
| Mean square error | 175.310 |
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