These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of November 19, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/15
MIAMI, OHIO 14 over Bowling Green State; total 63
AKRON 4 over Ohio; total 47
11/16
TOLEDO 13 over Northern Illinois; total 57
11/19
NEW MEXICO 20 over Air Force; total 63
AUBURN 1 over Alabama; total 37
TEXAS-EL PASO 21 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 56
ARMY 4 over Arkansas State; total 46
Boston College 1 over MARYLAND; total 44
STANFORD 3 over California; total 51
Central Florida 18 over RICE; total 63
BALL STATE pick 'em over Central Michigan; total 54
SOUTH FLORIDA 20 over Cincinnati; total 46
SOUTH CAROLINA 4 over Clemson; total 49
Colorado State 13 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 52
NORTH CAROLINA 25 over Duke; total 51
MARSHALL 7 over East Carolina; total 47
Eastern Michigan 8 over BUFFALO; total 38
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 26 over Fresno State; total 62
MIAMI, FLORIDA 17 over Georgia Tech; total 39
BOISE STATE 29 over Idaho; total 57
GEORGIA 28 over Kentucky; total 56
Louisiana State 13 over MISSISSIPPI; total 34
Louisiana-Monroe 3 over NORTH TEXAS; total 48
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 13 over Memphis; total 56
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 13 over Middle Tennessee State; total 37
IOWA 2 over Minnesota; total 53
ARKANSAS 12 over Mississippi State; total 41
Missouri 2 over KANSAS STATE; total 59
Nevada 9 over UTAH STATE; total 57
SAN JOSE STATE 12 over New Mexico State; total 55
Northwestern 19 over ILLINOIS; total 62
Ohio State pick 'em over MICHIGAN; total 42
TEXAS TECH 10 over Oklahoma; total 62
BAYLOR 6 over Oklahoma State; total 44
OREGON 23 over Oregon State; total 56
Penn State 15 over MICHIGAN STATE; total 58
INDIANA pick 'em over Purdue; total 57
HOUSTON 17 over Southern Methodist; total 47
NOTRE DAME 32 over Syracuse; total 49
NAVY 33 over Temple; total 59
Tulsa 14 over TULANE; total 57
BRIGHAM YOUNG 13 over Utah; total 58
TENNESSEE 13 over Vanderbilt; total 48
Virginia Tech 10 over VIRGINIA; total 44
WASHINGTON pick 'em over Washington State; total 57
SAN DIEGO STATE 7 over Wyoming; total 46
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.
ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:
ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:
| The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2005 season: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 33-19 | .635 | 383-159 | .707 |
| Against the spread | 23-27-2 | .462 | 251-279-12 | .474 |
| Over-under | 21-10-2 | .667 | 189-201-7 | .485 |
| ARGH Early Bird Picks | 0-2-1 | .167 | 25-18-2 | .578 |
| ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks | 0-0 | NA | 8-4 | .667 |
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 451-91 |
| Percentage | .83210 |
| Bias toward home team | 1.44280 |
| Mean error | 10.1264 |
| Mean square error | 168.584 |
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