This Week's ARGH Game Predictions

These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 26, 2011. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

11/22
OHIO 13 over Miami, Ohio; total 48

11/24

TEXAS A&M 3 over Texas; total 55

11/25

WESTERN MICHIGAN 32 over Akron; total 58
LOUISIANA STATE 22 over Arkansas; total 57
MIAMI, FLORIDA 14 over Boston College; total 39
Bowling Green State 2 over BUFFALO; total 52
ARIZONA STATE 5 over California; total 51
UTAH 21 over Colorado; total 46
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 16 over Eastern Michigan; total 68
Houston 11 over TULSA; total 75
NEBRASKA 9 over Iowa; total 57
TEMPLE 11 over Kent; total 34
SOUTH FLORIDA 5 over Louisville; total 41
WEST VIRGINIA 11 over Pittsburgh; total 60
CENTRAL FLORIDA 6 over Texas-El Paso; total 48
Toledo 7 over BALL STATE; total 75

11/26

Air Force 10 over COLORADO STATE; total 56
Alabama 19 over AUBURN; total 48
Alabama-Birmingham 11 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 51
Cincinnati 8 over SYRACUSE; total 57
SOUTH CAROLINA 8 over Clemson; total 60
NORTH CAROLINA 18 over Duke; total 53
MARSHALL 5 over East Carolina; total 56
Florida International 14 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE; total 54
Florida State 1 over FLORIDA; total 46
Georgia 4 over GEORGIA TECH; total 61
Illinois 13 over MINNESOTA; total 45
OKLAHOMA 24 over Iowa State; total 58
Louisiana-Lafayette 1 over ARIZONA; total 67
NORTH CAROLINA STATE 16 over Maryland; total 52
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 34 over Memphis; total 54
Michigan State 10 over NORTHWESTERN; total 52
MISSISSIPPI STATE 17 over Mississippi; total 46
Missouri 20 over KANSAS; total 62
Nevada 1 over UTAH STATE; total 66
LOUISIANA TECH 20 over New Mexico State; total 60
STANFORD 12 over Notre Dame; total 62
MICHIGAN 15 over Ohio State; total 43
OREGON 32 over Oregon State; total 61
WISCONSIN 5 over Penn State; total 44
Purdue 14 over INDIANA; total 59
SOUTHERN METHODIST 11 over Rice; total 51
Rutgers 9 over CONNECTICUT; total 41
San Diego State 18 over NEVADA-LAS VEGAS; total 54
FRESNO STATE 4 over San Jose State; total 61
Tennessee 5 over KENTUCKY; total 41
BAYLOR 20 over Texas Tech; total 78
WESTERN KENTUCKY 10 over Troy; total 52
HAWAII 21 over Tulane; total 61
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 18 over UCLA; total 54
WAKE FOREST 5 over Vanderbilt; total 53
Virginia Tech 7 over VIRGINIA; total 42
WASHINGTON 11 over Washington State; total 66
BOISE STATE 28 over Wyoming; total 61



ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football. This affected the Louisville-Connecticut game on 11-19

ARGH Picks this week are:


More picks may be added later as lines change. Very late picks may be posted at Twitter

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2010 season (includes late picks posted on Twitter):

Last WeekOverall
Straight-up38-18.679437-171.719
Against the spread31-24-1.563307-286-13.517
Over-under29-26-1.527286-317-2.475
ARGH Picks1-1.50020-17-3.538

Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record498-110
Percentage.81908
Bias toward home team-0.34745
Mean error10.4013
Mean square error177.836

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