These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of November 30, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/26
NORTHERN ILLINOIS 45 over Western Michigan; total 65
11/28
Mississippi 2 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 53
TEXAS 10 over Texas Tech; total 67
11/29
LOUISIANA STATE 26 over Arkansas; total 53
BUFFALO pick 'em over Bowling Green State; total 51
East Carolina 4 over MARSHALL; total 71
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 16 over Eastern Michigan; total 62
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 27 over Florida International; total 46
Fresno State 20 over SAN JOSE STATE; total 71
NEBRASKA 3 over Iowa; total 48
OHIO 20 over Massachusetts; total 42
Miami, Florida 2 over PITTSBURGH; total 56
BALL STATE 39 over Miami, Ohio; total 54
OREGON 27 over Oregon State; total 70
CENTRAL FLORIDA 28 over South Florida; total 47
HOUSTON 23 over Southern Methodist; total 66
TROY 9 over Texas State; total 62
Toledo 12 over AKRON; total 55
WASHINGTON 14 over Washington State; total 63
11/30
COLORADO STATE 21 over Air Force; total 64
Alabama 9 over AUBURN; total 52
ARIZONA STATE 16 over Arizona; total 60
WESTERN KENTUCKY 3 over Arkansas State; total 53
Army 2 over HAWAII; total 57
Baylor 25 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 67
Boston College 1 over SYRACUSE; total 48
Brigham Young 17 over NEVADA; total 55
SOUTH CAROLINA 2 over Clemson; total 61
UTAH 18 over Colorado; total 62
NORTH CAROLINA pick 'em over Duke; total 59
Florida State 25 over FLORIDA; total 51
GEORGIA TECH 6 over Georgia; total 68
NEW MEXICO STATE 2 over Idaho; total 73
WEST VIRGINIA 11 over Iowa State; total 57
Kansas State 14 over KANSAS; total 50
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO 16 over Louisiana Tech; total 44
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 19 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 58
Maryland 4 over NORTH CAROLINA STATE; total 49
MICHIGAN STATE 13 over Minnesota; total 41
BOISE STATE 31 over New Mexico; total 74
North Texas 12 over TULSA; total 50
ILLINOIS 2 over Northwestern; total 60
STANFORD 12 over Notre Dame; total 44
Ohio State 21 over MICHIGAN; total 68
WISCONSIN 21 over Penn State; total 50
INDIANA 31 over Purdue; total 69
Rutgers 14 over CONNECTICUT; total 58
NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 2 over San Diego State; total 59
South Alabama 20 over GEORGIA STATE; total 54
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM 29 over Southern Mississippi; total 67
MEMPHIS 13 over Temple; total 44
Tennessee 6 over KENTUCKY; total 51
MISSOURI 22 over Texas A&M; total 77
MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 28 over Texas-El Paso; total 60
RICE 8 over Tulane; total 48
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 5 over UCLA; total 50
Virginia Tech 14 over VIRGINIA; total 45
VANDERBILT 13 over Wake Forest; total 44
UTAH STATE 23 over Wyoming; total 59
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 43-12 | .782 | 497-139 | .781 |
| Against the spread | 30-24-1 | .555 | 326-303-6 | .518 |
| Over-under | 32-23 | .582 | 324-304-7 | .516 |
| ARGH Picks | 5-2 | .714 | 58-35 | .624 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 546-90 |
| Percentage | .85849 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.03656 |
| Mean error | 10.4642 |
| Mean square error | 174.702 |
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