These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of December 1, 2012. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
11/29RUTGERS 7 over Louisville; total 43
11/30
Northern Illinois 5 over Kent; total 60
STANFORD 12 over UCLA; total 50
12/1
Alabama 7 over Georgia; total 52
Boise State 12 over NEVADA; total 59
TULSA 2 over Central Florida; total 55
Cincinnati 7 over CONNECTICUT; total 36
Florida State 21 over Georgia Tech; total 67
WEST VIRGINIA 28 over Kansas; total 68
Louisiana-Lafayette 12 over FLORIDA ATLANTIC; total 57
ARKANSAS STATE 11 over Middle Tennessee State; total 61
TEXAS STATE 18 over New Mexico State; total 56
Oklahoma 7 over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 55
Oklahoma State 6 over BAYLOR; total 87
Pittsburgh 5 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 48
HAWAII 3 over South Alabama; total 52
KANSAS STATE 17 over Texas; total 62
Nebraska 8 over Wisconsin; total 51
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 46-11 | .807 | 510-170 | .750 |
| Against the spread | 31-24-2 | .561 | 374-296-10 | .557 |
| Over-under | 33-23-1 | .588 | 328-343-7 | .489 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-2 | .667 | 44-34 | .564 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 580-100 |
| Percentage | .85294 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.04816 |
| Mean error | 10.2044 |
| Mean square error | 169.740 |
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