ARGH Game Predictions (Games of 12-3-05)

These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of December 3, 2005. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

12/1

Northern Illinois 9 over Akron; total 48

12/2

FRESNO STATE 20 over Louisiana Tech; total 55

12/3

Navy 5 over Army; total 51
Texas 25 over Colorado; total 57
Louisiana State 2 over Georgia; total 43
Louisville 8 over CONNECTICUT; total 63
Middle Tennessee State 2 over FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL; total 41
San Diego State 2 over HAWAII; total 55
CENTRAL FLORIDA 5 over Tulsa; total 56
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 31 over UCLA; total 75
Virginia Tech 19 over Florida State; total 51
West Virginia 2 over SOUTH FLORIDA; total 45

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread. Picks against early spreads (basically the first spread available after I complete these ratings) are the ARGH Early Bird Picks, and are listed below. Picks against spreads (generally Wednesday or later during the season) that have moved to a favorable number are ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks, and will be posted when available.

ARGH Early Bird Picks this week are:

• San Diego State-Hawaii under 65.5
• Southern California -20.5

ARGH Buzzer Beater Picks this week are:

• Louisville-Connecticut over 52

ARGH Retrodictive standings
Record	510-114
Percentage	.81731
Bias toward home team	1.54247
Mean error	10.4287
Mean square error	178.994

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