These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of December 3, 2016. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 11-27-16
12/2
Western Michigan 22 over Ohio; total 57
Washington 4 over Colorado; total 55
12/3
NAVY 4 over Temple; total 63
Clemson 15 over Virginia Tech; total 58
Alabama 15 over Florida; total 37
Arkansas State 15 over TEXAS STATE; total 54
Wisconsin 4 over Penn State; total 50
WEST VIRGINIA 15 over Baylor; total 59
IDAHO 11 over Georgia State; total 50
Kansas State pick 'em over TEXAS CHRISTIAN; total 52
WESTERN KENTUCKY 14 over Louisiana Tech; total 77
Louisiana-Lafayette 1 over LOUISIANA-MONROE; total 59
SOUTH ALABAMA 9 over New Mexico State; total 58
OKLAHOMA 10 over Oklahoma State; total 76
WYOMING pick 'em over San Diego State; total 69
Troy 12 over GEORGIA SOUTHERN; total 55
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2016 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-21 | .656 | 506-196 | .721 |
| Against the spread | 33-25-3 | .566 | 349-336-17 | .509 |
| Over-under | 26-35 | .426 | 354-343-5 | .508 |
| ARGH Picks | 4-0 | 1.000 | 52-51-2 | .505 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 566-136 |
| Percentage | .80627 |
| Bias toward home team | -0.18554 |
| Mean error | 11.5816 |
| Mean square error | 217.505 |
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