These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the weekend of December 7, 2013. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
12/5
Louisville 6 over CINCINNATI; total 48
12/6
Northern Illinois 6 over Bowling Green State; total 59
12/7
Central Florida 21 over SOUTHERN METHODIST; total 63
Florida State 24 over Duke; total 64
Louisiana-Lafayette 4 over SOUTH ALABAMA; total 62
RICE 2 over Marshall; total 63
Memphis 5 over CONNECTICUT; total 43
Ohio State 6 over Michigan State; total 53
Missouri 1 over Auburn; total 62
OKLAHOMA STATE 13 over Oklahoma; total 55
RUTGERS 13 over South Florida; total 49
ARIZONA STATE 5 over Stanford; total 58
BAYLOR 22 over Texas; total 75
FRESNO STATE 4 over Utah State; total 64
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2013 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 40-19 | .678 | 537-158 | .773 |
| Against the spread | 30-28-1 | .517 | 356-331-7 | .518 |
| Over-under | 34-25 | .576 | 358-329-7 | .521 |
| ARGH Picks | 3-5-1 | .389 | 61-40-1 | .603 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 594-101 |
| Percentage | .85468 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.18058 |
| Mean error | 10.6626 |
| Mean square error | 181.722 |
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