These are the ARGH system predictions for games of the 2012-13 bowl season. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
12/15
Arizona 18 over Nevada; total 80
Utah State 10 over Toledo; total 54
12/20
Brigham Young pick 'em over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 48
12/21
Central Florida 3 over Ball State; total 66
12/22
Louisiana-Lafayette 7 over East Carolina; total 64
Boise State 5 over Washington; total 38
12/24
Fresno State 15 over Southern Methodist; total 59
12/26
Western Kentucky 8 over Central Michigan; total 61
12/27
UCLA 8 over Baylor; total 79
Cincinnati 14 over Duke; total 60
San Jose State 7 over Bowling Green State; total 40
12/28
Texas Tech 10 over Minnesota; total 56
Louisiana-Monroe 6 over Ohio; total 63
Rutgers 5 over Virginia Tech; total 37
12/29
Rice 1 over Air Force; total 60
Texas Christian pick 'em over Michigan State; total 34
Arizona State 7 over Navy; total 52
Oregon State 8 over Texas; total 57
West Virginia 2 over Syracuse; total 76
12/31
Southern California 14 over Georgia Tech; total 67
Tulsa 1 over Iowa State; total 45
Louisiana State 6 over Clemson; total 59
VANDERBILT 13 over North Carolina State; total 48
1/1
South Carolina 4 over Michigan; total 46
Georgia 7 over Nebraska; total 64
Florida State 5 over Northern Illinois; total 59
Northwestern 3 over Mississippi State; total 55
Oklahoma State 15 over Purdue; total 73
Stanford 9 over Wisconsin; total 42
1/2
Florida 16 over Louisville; total 43
1/3
Oregon 4 over Kansas State; total 72
1/4
Texas A&M pick 'em over Oklahoma; total 70
1/5
Mississippi 1 over Pittsburgh; total 54
1/6
Arkansas State 1 over Kent; total 65
1/7
Notre Dame 3 over Alabama; total 36
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2012 Results (includes late picks posted on Twitter): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 1-0 | 1.000 | 526-173 | .753 |
| Against the spread | 0-1 | .000 | 382-307-10 | .554 |
| Over-under | 1-0 | 1.000 | 341-349-7 | .494 |
| ARGH Picks | 0-1 | .000 | 44-35 | .557 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 602-97 |
| Percentage | .86123 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.11731 |
| Mean error | 10.2411 |
| Mean square error | 171.035 |
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