These are the ARGH system predictions for the 2017-2018 bowl season. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!
Revised 12-26-17
12/16
Arkansas State 5 over Middle Tennessee State; total 58
Marshall pick 'em over Colorado State; total 53
Troy 6 over North Texas; total 62
Boise State 5 over Oregon; total 62
Western Kentucky 2 over Georgia State; total 45
12/19
FLORIDA ATLANTIC 16 over Akron; total 60
12/20
SOUTHERN METHODIST 13 over Louisiana Tech; total 70
12/21
Temple pick 'em over Florida International; total 50
12/22
Ohio 9 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 63
Central Michigan 1 over Wyoming; total 43
12/23
San Diego State 4 over Army; total 45
South Florida 5 over Texas Tech; total 63
Toledo 12 over Appalachian State; total 64
12/24
Fresno State 3 over Houston; total 38
12/26
Duke 1 over Northern Illinois; total 45
Kansas State pick 'em over UCLA; total 67
West Virginia 1 over Utah; total 60
12/27
Florida State 9 over Southern Mississippi; total 50
Iowa 3 over Boston College; total 45
Texas 3 over Missouri; total 63
Purdue 5 over Arizona; total 63
12/28
Michigan State 2 over Washington State; total 46
Virginia Tech 5 over Oklahoma State; total 61
Texas Christian 1 over Stanford; total 45
NAVY 5 over Virginia; total 50
12/29
North Carolina State 6 over Arizona State; total 62
Northwestern 12 over Kentucky; total 52
Ohio State 10 over Southern California; total 67
Wake Forest 8 over Texas A&M; total 65
Utah State 9 over New Mexico State; total 62
12/30
MEMPHIS 7 over Iowa State; total 69
Mississippi State pick 'em over Louisville; total 64
Penn State 4 over Washington; total 53
Wisconsin 6 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 46
1/1
Central Florida 2 over Auburn; total 67
Clemson 2 over Alabama; total 46
Georgia 7 over Oklahoma; total 60
Michigan 4 over South Carolina; total 39
Notre Dame 7 over Louisiana State; total 49
ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with my pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.
ARGH Picks this week are:
| 2017 Results (includes late picks posted on Facebook): | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last Week | Overall | |||
| Straight-up | 1-0 | 1.000 | 541-196 | .734 |
| Against the spread | 1-0 | 1.000 | 358-360-18 | .499 |
| Over-under | 0-1 | .000 | 348-384-4 | .476 |
| ARGH Picks | 0-0 | NA | 49-47-3 | .510 |
Retrodictive standings measure how the ratings explain the games that have already happened.
| ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
|---|---|
| Record | 595-142 |
| Percentage | .80733 |
| Bias toward home team | 0.21947 |
| Mean error | 10.6971 |
| Mean square error | 184.026 |
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