ARGH 2016 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .551, or about 2.66 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 7-20-16

This Week	Last Week	Team	2015 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	1	Alabama	14 - 1	0.869	0
2	13	Louisiana St.	9 - 3	0.857	0
3	3	Clemson	14 - 1	0.845	0
4	17	Tennessee	9 - 4	0.828	0
5	4	Oklahoma	11 - 2	0.823	0
6	2	Ohio St.	12 - 1	0.798	0
7	8	Mississippi	10 - 3	0.768	0
8	6	Michigan	10 - 3	0.764	0
9	32	Oklahoma St.	10 - 3	0.763	0
10	5	Stanford	12 - 2	0.761	0
11	28	Washington	7 - 6	0.757	0
12	14	Florida St.	10 - 3	0.747	0
13	10	Notre Dame	10 - 3	0.733	0
14	46	Pittsburgh	8 - 5	0.733	0
15	7	Michigan St.	12 - 2	0.733	0
16	21	Georgia	10 - 3	0.732	0
17	23	Florida	10 - 4	0.732	0
18	43	Louisville	8 - 5	0.728	0
19	24	Southern California	8 - 6	0.720	0
20	44	Auburn	7 - 6	0.710	0
21	9	Houston	13 - 1	0.710	0
22	12	Iowa	12 - 2	0.709	0
23	37	UCLA	8 - 5	0.708	0
24	27	Arkansas	8 - 5	0.704	0
25	16	Utah	10 - 3	0.701	0
26	19	Mississippi St.	9 - 4	0.693	0
27	20	North Carolina	11 - 3	0.690	0
28	53	Miami, Florida	8 - 5	0.679	0
29	29	Northwestern	10 - 3	0.679	0
30	11	Wisconsin	10 - 3	0.673	0
31	49	Nebraska	6 - 7	0.668	0
32	22	Baylor	10 - 3	0.663	0
33	35	Brigham Young	9 - 4	0.661	0
34	45	Washington St.	9 - 4	0.660	0
35	30	Oregon	9 - 4	0.658	0
36	40	Boise State	9 - 4	0.655	0
37	15	Texas Christian	11 - 2	0.650	0
38	48	Penn State	7 - 6	0.648	0
39	41	Temple	10 - 4	0.644	0
40	42	West Virginia	8 - 5	0.641	0
41	70	Texas	5 - 7	0.625	0
42	36	Memphis	9 - 4	0.623	0
43	38	Texas A&M	8 - 5	0.620	0
44	63	Minnesota	6 - 7	0.616	0
45	62	Arizona	7 - 6	0.613	0
46	31	Appalachian St.	11 - 2	0.610	0
47	47	South Florida	8 - 5	0.599	0
48	54	North Carolina St.	7 - 6	0.594	0
49	34	California	8 - 5	0.572	0
50	71	Georgia Tech	3 - 9	0.571	0
51	51	Western Michigan	8 - 5	0.567	0
52	33	San Diego St.	11 - 3	0.565	0
53	55	Virginia Tech	7 - 6	0.564	0
54	56	Arizona St.	6 - 7	0.557	0
55	91	Colorado	4 - 9	0.556	0
56	72	Kansas St.	6 - 7	0.553	0
57	65	Cincinnati	7 - 6	0.549	0
58	76	Missouri	5 - 7	0.549	0
59	80	Boston College	3 - 9	0.547	0
60	58	Texas Tech	7 - 6	0.547	0
61	57	Duke	8 - 5	0.543	0
62	79	Syracuse	4 - 8	0.540	0
63	52	Marshall	10 - 3	0.539	0
64	26	Western Kentucky	12 - 2	0.535	0
65	25	Toledo	10 - 2	0.528	0
66	50	Georgia Southern	9 - 4	0.518	0
67	69	Central Michigan	7 - 6	0.518	0
68	66	Indiana	6 - 7	0.514	0
69	18	Navy	11 - 2	0.509	0
70	83	Maryland	3 - 9	0.505	0
71	95	Wake Forest	3 - 9	0.501	0
72	99	Purdue	2 - 10	0.495	0
73	74	Utah St.	6 - 7	0.494	0
74	68	Northern Illinois	8 - 6	0.494	0
75	60	Air Force	8 - 6	0.488	0
76	59	Southern Mississippi	9 - 5	0.476	0
77	84	Kentucky	5 - 7	0.472	0
78	82	Virginia	4 - 8	0.471	0
79	89	Connecticut	6 - 7	0.468	0
80	67	Illinois	5 - 7	0.462	0
81	90	Rutgers	4 - 8	0.461	0
82	85	Vanderbilt	4 - 8	0.460	0
83	102	Oregon St.	2 - 10	0.460	0
84	92	Nevada	7 - 6	0.455	0
85	86	New Mexico	7 - 6	0.454	0
86	88	San Jose St.	6 - 7	0.453	0
87	39	Bowling Green	10 - 4	0.449	0
88	93	South Carolina	3 - 9	0.445	0
89	87	Tulsa	6 - 7	0.442	0
90	81	Colorado St.	7 - 6	0.440	0
91	64	Arkansas St.	9 - 4	0.435	0
92	73	Middle Tennessee St.	7 - 6	0.432	0
93	61	Louisiana Tech	9 - 4	0.407	0
94	94	Iowa St.	3 - 9	0.398	0
95	78	East Carolina	5 - 7	0.388	0
96	96	Troy St.	4 - 8	0.379	0
97	110	Old Dominion	5 - 7	0.367	0
98	75	Ohio	8 - 5	0.360	0
99	118	Kent	3 - 9	0.347	0
100	103	Florida International	5 - 7	0.341	0
101	106	Ball St.	3 - 9	0.330	0
102	104	Idaho	4 - 8	0.321	0
103	111	Southern Methodist	2 - 10	0.315	0
104	107	Fresno St.	3 - 9	0.313	0
105	105	LA-Lafayette	4 - 8	0.298	0
106	101	Nevada-Las Vegas	3 - 9	0.297	0
107	109	Rice	5 - 7	0.296	0
108	108	Florida Atlantic	3 - 9	0.295	0
109	98	Georgia St.	6 - 7	0.293	0
110	120	Army	2 - 10	0.290	0
111	119	Miami, Ohio	3 - 9	0.288	0
112	122	Wyoming	2 - 10	0.285	0
113	77	Akron	8 - 5	0.285	0
114	97	Buffalo	5 - 7	0.277	0
115	100	South Alabama	5 - 7	0.268	0
116	114	Texas-El Paso	5 - 7	0.251	0
117	128	Kansas	0 - 12	0.248	0
118	125	Charlotte	2 - 10	0.247	0
119	117	Texas-San Antonio	3 - 9	0.244	0
120	129	Central Florida	0 - 12	0.243	0
121	124	Eastern Michigan	1 - 11	0.242	0
122	113	Texas St.	3 - 9	0.226	0
123	121	Hawaii	3 - 10	0.225	0
124	116	Tulane	3 - 9	0.212	0
125	112	Massachusetts	3 - 9	0.210	0
126	115	New Mexico St.	3 - 9	0.192	0
127	123	LA-Monroe	2 - 11	0.182	0
128	127	Wild Card U.	9 - 96	0.163	0
129	126	North Texas	1 - 11	0.154	0

2015 conference power ratings:

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