The following are the preseason ARGH power ratings for the 2017 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Liberty.
The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.17 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
Click here to send me feedback.
ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 8-10-17
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 14 - 1 | 0.891 | 0 |
2 | 3 | Ohio St. | 11 - 2 | 0.861 | 0 |
3 | 2 | Clemson | 14 - 1 | 0.837 | 0 |
4 | 6 | Wisconsin | 11 - 3 | 0.829 | 0 |
5 | 7 | Oklahoma | 11 - 2 | 0.807 | 0 |
6 | 11 | Penn State | 11 - 3 | 0.802 | 0 |
7 | 10 | Florida St. | 10 - 3 | 0.799 | 0 |
8 | 4 | Washington | 12 - 2 | 0.797 | 0 |
9 | 13 | Auburn | 8 - 5 | 0.782 | 0 |
10 | 18 | Stanford | 10 - 3 | 0.782 | 0 |
11 | 12 | Southern California | 10 - 3 | 0.764 | 0 |
12 | 8 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 4 | 0.749 | 0 |
13 | 44 | Georgia | 8 - 5 | 0.743 | 0 |
14 | 14 | Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.725 | 0 |
15 | 29 | Washington St. | 8 - 5 | 0.720 | 0 |
16 | 15 | Miami, Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.713 | 0 |
17 | 5 | Michigan | 10 - 3 | 0.704 | 0 |
18 | 21 | Tennessee | 9 - 4 | 0.701 | 0 |
19 | 17 | Louisville | 9 - 4 | 0.692 | 0 |
20 | 43 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 6 | 0.685 | 0 |
21 | 53 | Kentucky | 7 - 6 | 0.680 | 0 |
22 | 28 | South Florida | 11 - 2 | 0.676 | 0 |
23 | 20 | Oklahoma St. | 10 - 3 | 0.675 | 0 |
24 | 46 | Northwestern | 7 - 6 | 0.673 | 0 |
25 | 27 | Kansas St. | 9 - 4 | 0.667 | 0 |
26 | 58 | Texas Christian | 6 - 7 | 0.664 | 0 |
27 | 16 | Colorado | 10 - 4 | 0.661 | 0 |
28 | 25 | Texas A&M | 8 - 5 | 0.660 | 0 |
29 | 19 | Virginia Tech | 10 - 4 | 0.640 | 0 |
30 | 88 | Syracuse | 4 - 8 | 0.639 | 0 |
31 | 38 | Iowa | 8 - 5 | 0.636 | 0 |
32 | 35 | Nebraska | 9 - 4 | 0.635 | 0 |
33 | 33 | Georgia Tech | 9 - 4 | 0.634 | 0 |
34 | 56 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 7 | 0.631 | 0 |
35 | 39 | Brigham Young | 9 - 4 | 0.631 | 0 |
36 | 49 | Memphis | 8 - 5 | 0.622 | 0 |
37 | 50 | Arkansas | 7 - 6 | 0.621 | 0 |
38 | 24 | Appalachian St. | 10 - 3 | 0.614 | 0 |
39 | 69 | Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.610 | 0 |
40 | 36 | Houston | 9 - 4 | 0.608 | 0 |
41 | 64 | Notre Dame | 4 - 8 | 0.607 | 0 |
42 | 78 | Oregon | 4 - 8 | 0.605 | 0 |
43 | 42 | North Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.600 | 0 |
44 | 34 | Utah | 9 - 4 | 0.597 | 0 |
45 | 9 | Western Michigan | 13 - 1 | 0.586 | 0 |
46 | 73 | Missouri | 4 - 8 | 0.585 | 0 |
47 | 23 | Western Kentucky | 11 - 3 | 0.583 | 0 |
48 | 61 | Mississippi St. | 6 - 7 | 0.581 | 0 |
49 | 70 | UCLA | 4 - 8 | 0.578 | 0 |
50 | 31 | Minnesota | 9 - 4 | 0.573 | 0 |
51 | 68 | Indiana | 6 - 7 | 0.571 | 0 |
52 | 47 | Toledo | 9 - 4 | 0.570 | 0 |
53 | 32 | San Diego St. | 11 - 3 | 0.568 | 0 |
54 | 74 | South Carolina | 6 - 7 | 0.567 | 0 |
55 | 51 | Mississippi | 5 - 7 | 0.566 | 0 |
56 | 22 | West Virginia | 10 - 3 | 0.564 | 0 |
57 | 37 | Troy | 10 - 3 | 0.561 | 0 |
58 | 26 | Boise State | 10 - 3 | 0.560 | 0 |
59 | 40 | Pittsburgh | 8 - 5 | 0.558 | 0 |
60 | 62 | Wake Forest | 7 - 6 | 0.554 | 0 |
61 | 57 | Colorado St. | 7 - 6 | 0.536 | 0 |
62 | 63 | California | 5 - 7 | 0.529 | 0 |
63 | 96 | Arizona | 3 - 9 | 0.528 | 0 |
64 | 41 | Tulsa | 10 - 3 | 0.525 | 0 |
65 | 54 | Baylor | 7 - 6 | 0.522 | 0 |
66 | 77 | Arizona St. | 5 - 7 | 0.517 | 0 |
67 | 79 | Oregon St. | 4 - 8 | 0.515 | 0 |
68 | 83 | Duke | 4 - 8 | 0.513 | 0 |
69 | 76 | Boston College | 7 - 6 | 0.512 | 0 |
70 | 48 | Navy | 9 - 5 | 0.509 | 0 |
71 | 75 | Maryland | 6 - 7 | 0.507 | 0 |
72 | 71 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.495 | 0 |
73 | 59 | Army | 8 - 5 | 0.491 | 0 |
74 | 60 | Wyoming | 8 - 6 | 0.480 | 0 |
75 | 30 | Temple | 10 - 4 | 0.476 | 0 |
76 | 52 | Old Dominion | 10 - 3 | 0.455 | 0 |
77 | 82 | Middle Tennessee | 8 - 5 | 0.454 | 0 |
78 | 89 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.452 | 0 |
79 | 72 | Central Florida | 6 - 7 | 0.445 | 0 |
80 | 92 | Iowa St. | 3 - 9 | 0.433 | 0 |
81 | 67 | New Mexico | 9 - 4 | 0.432 | 0 |
82 | 84 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.431 | 0 |
83 | 55 | Louisiana Tech | 9 - 5 | 0.426 | 0 |
84 | 45 | Air Force | 10 - 3 | 0.424 | 0 |
85 | 87 | Texas-San Antonio | 6 - 7 | 0.421 | 0 |
86 | 66 | Arkansas St. | 8 - 5 | 0.410 | 0 |
87 | 98 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 7 | 0.403 | 0 |
88 | 97 | Tulane | 4 - 8 | 0.402 | 0 |
89 | 86 | Michigan St. | 3 - 9 | 0.401 | 0 |
90 | 81 | Ohio | 8 - 6 | 0.396 | 0 |
91 | 65 | Idaho | 9 - 4 | 0.392 | 0 |
92 | 93 | Central Michigan | 6 - 7 | 0.392 | 0 |
93 | 101 | Akron | 5 - 7 | 0.387 | 0 |
94 | 106 | Purdue | 3 - 9 | 0.380 | 0 |
95 | 80 | Southern Mississippi | 7 - 6 | 0.380 | 0 |
96 | 99 | Utah St. | 3 - 9 | 0.377 | 0 |
97 | 113 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 9 | 0.376 | 0 |
98 | 111 | Georgia St. | 3 - 9 | 0.371 | 0 |
99 | 112 | Virginia | 2 - 10 | 0.367 | 0 |
100 | 95 | Hawaii | 7 - 7 | 0.364 | 0 |
101 | 121 | Rutgers | 2 - 10 | 0.360 | 0 |
102 | 110 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 8 | 0.357 | 0 |
103 | 85 | Georgia Southern | 5 - 7 | 0.356 | 0 |
104 | 116 | Bowling Green | 4 - 8 | 0.354 | 0 |
105 | 102 | Cincinnati | 4 - 8 | 0.354 | 0 |
106 | 100 | Illinois | 3 - 9 | 0.353 | 0 |
107 | 91 | Northern Illinois | 5 - 7 | 0.349 | 0 |
108 | 90 | LA-Lafayette | 6 - 7 | 0.340 | 0 |
109 | 123 | Massachusetts | 2 - 10 | 0.339 | 0 |
110 | 94 | South Alabama | 6 - 7 | 0.338 | 0 |
111 | 115 | Florida International | 4 - 8 | 0.330 | 0 |
112 | 117 | Marshall | 3 - 9 | 0.329 | 0 |
113 | 108 | San Jose St. | 4 - 8 | 0.326 | 0 |
114 | 105 | East Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.323 | 0 |
115 | 124 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 9 | 0.306 | 0 |
116 | 103 | North Texas | 5 - 8 | 0.302 | 0 |
117 | 119 | Kent | 3 - 9 | 0.292 | 0 |
118 | 127 | Fresno St. | 1 - 11 | 0.281 | 0 |
119 | 109 | Ball St. | 4 - 8 | 0.277 | 0 |
120 | 104 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 8 | 0.269 | 0 |
121 | 107 | Nevada | 5 - 7 | 0.268 | 0 |
122 | 125 | Connecticut | 3 - 9 | 0.268 | 0 |
123 | 114 | Charlotte | 4 - 8 | 0.267 | 0 |
124 | 122 | Rice | 3 - 9 | 0.262 | 0 |
125 | 120 | Texas-El Paso | 4 - 8 | 0.257 | 0 |
126 | 118 | Kansas | 2 - 10 | 0.257 | 0 |
127 | 128 | Buffalo | 2 - 10 | 0.239 | 0 |
128 | 126 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.214 | 0 |
129 | 0 | Coastal Carolina | 10 - 2 | 0.208 | 0 |
130 | 0 | Liberty | 6 - 5 | 0.198 | 0 |
131 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 103 | 0.180 | 0 |
132 | 0 | AL-Birmingham | 0 - 0 | 0.160 | 0 |
2017 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 48-19 | .677 |
Pac-12 | 29-13 | .633 |
ACC | 51-17 | .624 |
Big Ten | 35-17 | .592 |
Big Twelve | 23-13 | .569 |
Independents | 21-25 | .517 |
AAC | 33-22 | .472 |
Mountain West | 30-26 | .407 |
MAC | 23-31 | .390 |
Sun Belt | 22-28 | .378 |
Conference USA | 24-35 | .352 |