ARGH 2015 Power Ratings

The following are the pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 2015 season. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.37 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 8-28-15

This WeekLast Week Team 2014 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Ohio St. 14 - 1 0.893 0
2 11 UCLA 10 - 3 0.862 0
3 6 Mississippi 9 - 4 0.838 0
4 4 Texas Christian 12 - 1 0.824 0
5 2 Alabama 12 - 2 0.820 0
6 3 Oregon 13 - 2 0.817 0
7 21 Louisiana St. 8 - 5 0.806 0
8 8 Michigan St. 11 - 2 0.805 0
9 20 Southern California 9 - 4 0.798 0
10 12 Baylor 11 - 2 0.794 0
11 5 Georgia 10 - 3 0.789 0
12 7 Florida St. 13 - 1 0.787 0
13 18 Arkansas 7 - 6 0.780 0
14 10 Georgia Tech 11 - 3 0.778 0
15 17 Auburn 8 - 5 0.769 0
16 22 Arizona St. 10 - 3 0.767 0
17 16 Missouri 11 - 3 0.764 0
18 26 Utah 9 - 4 0.749 0
19 24 Stanford 8 - 5 0.744 0
20 23 Arizona 10 - 4 0.739 0
21 34 Tennessee 7 - 6 0.737 0
22 42 Virginia Tech 7 - 6 0.734 0
23 33 Notre Dame 8 - 5 0.731 0
24 19 Boise State 12 - 2 0.725 0
25 28 Texas A&M 8 - 5 0.703 0
26 15 Wisconsin 11 - 3 0.695 0
27 31 Oklahoma 8 - 5 0.692 0
28 9 Mississippi St. 10 - 3 0.688 0
29 68 North Carolina 6 - 7 0.675 0
30 53 Penn State 7 - 6 0.667 0
31 36 Minnesota 8 - 5 0.662 0
32 32 Nebraska 9 - 4 0.662 0
33 27 Louisville 9 - 4 0.660 0
34 13 Clemson 10 - 3 0.655 0
35 38 West Virginia 7 - 6 0.650 0
36 25 Kansas St. 9 - 4 0.649 0
37 60 California 5 - 7 0.644 0
38 40 South Carolina 7 - 6 0.637 0
39 59 Texas 6 - 7 0.625 0
40 47 North Carolina St. 8 - 5 0.625 0
41 101 Vanderbilt 3 - 9 0.618 0
42 71 Temple 6 - 6 0.618 0
43 41 Miami, Florida 6 - 7 0.613 0
44 30 Florida 7 - 5 0.612 0
45 66 Kentucky 5 - 7 0.611 0
46 45 Brigham Young 8 - 5 0.599 0
47 49 Cincinnati 9 - 4 0.599 0
48 62 Oklahoma St. 7 - 6 0.582 0
49 63 Pittsburgh 6 - 7 0.575 0
50 29 Memphis 10 - 3 0.573 0
51 14 Marshall 13 - 1 0.571 0
52 86 Texas Tech 4 - 8 0.570 0
53 37 Duke 9 - 4 0.562 0
54 44 Utah St. 10 - 4 0.558 0
55 67 Western Kentucky 8 - 5 0.544 0
56 48 Washington 8 - 6 0.542 0
57 78 Illinois 6 - 7 0.533 0
58 81 Washington St. 3 - 9 0.532 0
59 85 Appalachian St. 7 - 5 0.522 0
60 51 Central Florida 9 - 4 0.519 0
61 55 Northern Illinois 11 - 3 0.516 0
62 39 Louisiana Tech 9 - 5 0.509 0
63 95 Purdue 3 - 9 0.501 0
64 80 Middle Tennessee St. 6 - 6 0.500 0
65 74 Western Michigan 8 - 5 0.499 0
66 92 Colorado 2 - 10 0.498 0
67 46 Boston College 7 - 6 0.495 0
68 88 Indiana 4 - 8 0.493 0
69 76 Northwestern 5 - 7 0.492 0
70 50 Georgia Southern 9 - 3 0.492 0
71 69 Michigan 5 - 7 0.489 0
72 82 Arkansas St. 7 - 6 0.484 0
73 52 Rutgers 8 - 5 0.484 0
74 35 Colorado St. 10 - 3 0.480 0
75 65 Iowa 7 - 6 0.476 0
76 56 Maryland 7 - 6 0.474 0
77 54 Navy 8 - 5 0.470 0
78 70 Toledo 9 - 4 0.470 0
79 57 Virginia 5 - 7 0.459 0
80 106 Wake Forest 3 - 9 0.451 0
81 89 Bowling Green 8 - 6 0.447 0
82 61 Houston 8 - 5 0.447 0
83 77 San Diego St. 7 - 6 0.423 0
84 98 Ohio 6 - 6 0.416 0
85 94 Syracuse 3 - 9 0.413 0
86 114 Tulane 3 - 9 0.412 0
87 100 Ball St. 5 - 7 0.409 0
88 113 San Jose St. 3 - 9 0.409 0
89 58 East Carolina 8 - 5 0.409 0
90 73 Rice 8 - 5 0.409 0
91 87 Fresno St. 6 - 8 0.408 0
92 72 Nevada 7 - 6 0.399 0
93 96 New Mexico 4 - 8 0.386 0
94 112 Iowa St. 2 - 10 0.381 0
95 79 Oregon St. 5 - 7 0.375 0
96 111 Florida Atlantic 3 - 9 0.369 0
97 84 Texas St. 7 - 5 0.363 0
98 43 Air Force 10 - 3 0.359 0
99 64 LA-Lafayette 9 - 4 0.358 0
100 99 Florida International 4 - 8 0.357 0
101 90 Old Dominion 6 - 6 0.350 0
102 117 Massachusetts 3 - 9 0.344 0
103 108 North Texas 4 - 8 0.303 0
104 122 Kent 2 - 9 0.295 0
105 102 LA-Monroe 4 - 8 0.294 0
106 83 Texas-El Paso 7 - 6 0.293 0
107 115 Southern Mississippi 3 - 9 0.293 0
108 109 Hawaii 4 - 9 0.293 0
109 118 Tulsa 2 - 10 0.283 0
110 103 Akron 5 - 7 0.282 0
111 91 Central Michigan 7 - 6 0.275 0
112 97 Wyoming 4 - 8 0.262 0
113 119 Troy St. 3 - 9 0.252 0
114 107 South Florida 4 - 8 0.252 0
115 105 Kansas 3 - 9 0.239 0
116 124 New Mexico St. 2 - 10 0.238 0
117 126 Georgia St. 1 - 11 0.228 0
118 123 Connecticut 2 - 10 0.223 0
119 129 Southern Methodist 1 - 11 0.222 0
120 93 South Alabama 6 - 7 0.217 0
121 104 Buffalo 5 - 6 0.217 0
122 120 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 11 0.216 0
123 116 Army 4 - 8 0.191 0
124 125 Idaho 1 - 10 0.190 0
125 128 Wild Card U. 8 - 100 0.189 0
126 121 Miami, Ohio 2 - 10 0.184 0
127 127 Eastern Michigan 2 - 10 0.175 0
128 110 Texas-San Antonio 4 - 8 0.161 0
129 0 Charlotte 5 - 6 0.083 0

2015 conference power ratings:

Conference2014 Record Power Rating
SEC 55-12 .727
Pac-12 37-9 .672
ACC 46-21 .606
Big Twelve 24-13 .601
Big Ten 48-19 .595
Independents 25-22 .507
AAC 18-31 .419
Mountain West 30-28.410
Conference USA 28-29.365
MAC 21-36 .348
Sun Belt 12-34 .331

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