The following are the pre-season ARGH power ratings for the 2015 season. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.37 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 8-28-15
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2014 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ohio St. | 14 - 1 | 0.893 | 0 |
2 | 11 | UCLA | 10 - 3 | 0.862 | 0 |
3 | 6 | Mississippi | 9 - 4 | 0.838 | 0 |
4 | 4 | Texas Christian | 12 - 1 | 0.824 | 0 |
5 | 2 | Alabama | 12 - 2 | 0.820 | 0 |
6 | 3 | Oregon | 13 - 2 | 0.817 | 0 |
7 | 21 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 5 | 0.806 | 0 |
8 | 8 | Michigan St. | 11 - 2 | 0.805 | 0 |
9 | 20 | Southern California | 9 - 4 | 0.798 | 0 |
10 | 12 | Baylor | 11 - 2 | 0.794 | 0 |
11 | 5 | Georgia | 10 - 3 | 0.789 | 0 |
12 | 7 | Florida St. | 13 - 1 | 0.787 | 0 |
13 | 18 | Arkansas | 7 - 6 | 0.780 | 0 |
14 | 10 | Georgia Tech | 11 - 3 | 0.778 | 0 |
15 | 17 | Auburn | 8 - 5 | 0.769 | 0 |
16 | 22 | Arizona St. | 10 - 3 | 0.767 | 0 |
17 | 16 | Missouri | 11 - 3 | 0.764 | 0 |
18 | 26 | Utah | 9 - 4 | 0.749 | 0 |
19 | 24 | Stanford | 8 - 5 | 0.744 | 0 |
20 | 23 | Arizona | 10 - 4 | 0.739 | 0 |
21 | 34 | Tennessee | 7 - 6 | 0.737 | 0 |
22 | 42 | Virginia Tech | 7 - 6 | 0.734 | 0 |
23 | 33 | Notre Dame | 8 - 5 | 0.731 | 0 |
24 | 19 | Boise State | 12 - 2 | 0.725 | 0 |
25 | 28 | Texas A&M | 8 - 5 | 0.703 | 0 |
26 | 15 | Wisconsin | 11 - 3 | 0.695 | 0 |
27 | 31 | Oklahoma | 8 - 5 | 0.692 | 0 |
28 | 9 | Mississippi St. | 10 - 3 | 0.688 | 0 |
29 | 68 | North Carolina | 6 - 7 | 0.675 | 0 |
30 | 53 | Penn State | 7 - 6 | 0.667 | 0 |
31 | 36 | Minnesota | 8 - 5 | 0.662 | 0 |
32 | 32 | Nebraska | 9 - 4 | 0.662 | 0 |
33 | 27 | Louisville | 9 - 4 | 0.660 | 0 |
34 | 13 | Clemson | 10 - 3 | 0.655 | 0 |
35 | 38 | West Virginia | 7 - 6 | 0.650 | 0 |
36 | 25 | Kansas St. | 9 - 4 | 0.649 | 0 |
37 | 60 | California | 5 - 7 | 0.644 | 0 |
38 | 40 | South Carolina | 7 - 6 | 0.637 | 0 |
39 | 59 | Texas | 6 - 7 | 0.625 | 0 |
40 | 47 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 5 | 0.625 | 0 |
41 | 101 | Vanderbilt | 3 - 9 | 0.618 | 0 |
42 | 71 | Temple | 6 - 6 | 0.618 | 0 |
43 | 41 | Miami, Florida | 6 - 7 | 0.613 | 0 |
44 | 30 | Florida | 7 - 5 | 0.612 | 0 |
45 | 66 | Kentucky | 5 - 7 | 0.611 | 0 |
46 | 45 | Brigham Young | 8 - 5 | 0.599 | 0 |
47 | 49 | Cincinnati | 9 - 4 | 0.599 | 0 |
48 | 62 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 6 | 0.582 | 0 |
49 | 63 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 7 | 0.575 | 0 |
50 | 29 | Memphis | 10 - 3 | 0.573 | 0 |
51 | 14 | Marshall | 13 - 1 | 0.571 | 0 |
52 | 86 | Texas Tech | 4 - 8 | 0.570 | 0 |
53 | 37 | Duke | 9 - 4 | 0.562 | 0 |
54 | 44 | Utah St. | 10 - 4 | 0.558 | 0 |
55 | 67 | Western Kentucky | 8 - 5 | 0.544 | 0 |
56 | 48 | Washington | 8 - 6 | 0.542 | 0 |
57 | 78 | Illinois | 6 - 7 | 0.533 | 0 |
58 | 81 | Washington St. | 3 - 9 | 0.532 | 0 |
59 | 85 | Appalachian St. | 7 - 5 | 0.522 | 0 |
60 | 51 | Central Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.519 | 0 |
61 | 55 | Northern Illinois | 11 - 3 | 0.516 | 0 |
62 | 39 | Louisiana Tech | 9 - 5 | 0.509 | 0 |
63 | 95 | Purdue | 3 - 9 | 0.501 | 0 |
64 | 80 | Middle Tennessee St. | 6 - 6 | 0.500 | 0 |
65 | 74 | Western Michigan | 8 - 5 | 0.499 | 0 |
66 | 92 | Colorado | 2 - 10 | 0.498 | 0 |
67 | 46 | Boston College | 7 - 6 | 0.495 | 0 |
68 | 88 | Indiana | 4 - 8 | 0.493 | 0 |
69 | 76 | Northwestern | 5 - 7 | 0.492 | 0 |
70 | 50 | Georgia Southern | 9 - 3 | 0.492 | 0 |
71 | 69 | Michigan | 5 - 7 | 0.489 | 0 |
72 | 82 | Arkansas St. | 7 - 6 | 0.484 | 0 |
73 | 52 | Rutgers | 8 - 5 | 0.484 | 0 |
74 | 35 | Colorado St. | 10 - 3 | 0.480 | 0 |
75 | 65 | Iowa | 7 - 6 | 0.476 | 0 |
76 | 56 | Maryland | 7 - 6 | 0.474 | 0 |
77 | 54 | Navy | 8 - 5 | 0.470 | 0 |
78 | 70 | Toledo | 9 - 4 | 0.470 | 0 |
79 | 57 | Virginia | 5 - 7 | 0.459 | 0 |
80 | 106 | Wake Forest | 3 - 9 | 0.451 | 0 |
81 | 89 | Bowling Green | 8 - 6 | 0.447 | 0 |
82 | 61 | Houston | 8 - 5 | 0.447 | 0 |
83 | 77 | San Diego St. | 7 - 6 | 0.423 | 0 |
84 | 98 | Ohio | 6 - 6 | 0.416 | 0 |
85 | 94 | Syracuse | 3 - 9 | 0.413 | 0 |
86 | 114 | Tulane | 3 - 9 | 0.412 | 0 |
87 | 100 | Ball St. | 5 - 7 | 0.409 | 0 |
88 | 113 | San Jose St. | 3 - 9 | 0.409 | 0 |
89 | 58 | East Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.409 | 0 |
90 | 73 | Rice | 8 - 5 | 0.409 | 0 |
91 | 87 | Fresno St. | 6 - 8 | 0.408 | 0 |
92 | 72 | Nevada | 7 - 6 | 0.399 | 0 |
93 | 96 | New Mexico | 4 - 8 | 0.386 | 0 |
94 | 112 | Iowa St. | 2 - 10 | 0.381 | 0 |
95 | 79 | Oregon St. | 5 - 7 | 0.375 | 0 |
96 | 111 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 9 | 0.369 | 0 |
97 | 84 | Texas St. | 7 - 5 | 0.363 | 0 |
98 | 43 | Air Force | 10 - 3 | 0.359 | 0 |
99 | 64 | LA-Lafayette | 9 - 4 | 0.358 | 0 |
100 | 99 | Florida International | 4 - 8 | 0.357 | 0 |
101 | 90 | Old Dominion | 6 - 6 | 0.350 | 0 |
102 | 117 | Massachusetts | 3 - 9 | 0.344 | 0 |
103 | 108 | North Texas | 4 - 8 | 0.303 | 0 |
104 | 122 | Kent | 2 - 9 | 0.295 | 0 |
105 | 102 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 8 | 0.294 | 0 |
106 | 83 | Texas-El Paso | 7 - 6 | 0.293 | 0 |
107 | 115 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 9 | 0.293 | 0 |
108 | 109 | Hawaii | 4 - 9 | 0.293 | 0 |
109 | 118 | Tulsa | 2 - 10 | 0.283 | 0 |
110 | 103 | Akron | 5 - 7 | 0.282 | 0 |
111 | 91 | Central Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.275 | 0 |
112 | 97 | Wyoming | 4 - 8 | 0.262 | 0 |
113 | 119 | Troy St. | 3 - 9 | 0.252 | 0 |
114 | 107 | South Florida | 4 - 8 | 0.252 | 0 |
115 | 105 | Kansas | 3 - 9 | 0.239 | 0 |
116 | 124 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 10 | 0.238 | 0 |
117 | 126 | Georgia St. | 1 - 11 | 0.228 | 0 |
118 | 123 | Connecticut | 2 - 10 | 0.223 | 0 |
119 | 129 | Southern Methodist | 1 - 11 | 0.222 | 0 |
120 | 93 | South Alabama | 6 - 7 | 0.217 | 0 |
121 | 104 | Buffalo | 5 - 6 | 0.217 | 0 |
122 | 120 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 11 | 0.216 | 0 |
123 | 116 | Army | 4 - 8 | 0.191 | 0 |
124 | 125 | Idaho | 1 - 10 | 0.190 | 0 |
125 | 128 | Wild Card U. | 8 - 100 | 0.189 | 0 |
126 | 121 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 10 | 0.184 | 0 |
127 | 127 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 10 | 0.175 | 0 |
128 | 110 | Texas-San Antonio | 4 - 8 | 0.161 | 0 |
129 | 0 | Charlotte | 5 - 6 | 0.083 | 0 |
2015 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2014 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 55-12 | .727 |
Pac-12 | 37-9 | .672 |
ACC | 46-21 | .606 |
Big Twelve | 24-13 | .601 |
Big Ten | 48-19 | .595 |
Independents | 25-22 | .507 |
AAC | 18-31 | .419 |
Mountain West | 30-28 | .410 |
Conference USA | 28-29 | .365 |
MAC | 21-36 | .348 |
Sun Belt | 12-34 | .331 |