The following are the initial ARGH power ratings for the 2013 season. Teams included are the 125 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus three teams that will be starting FBS play in 2014.
The estimated home field advantage is .579, or about 4.21 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2012 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 13 - 1 | 0.900 |
2 | 3 | Oregon | 12 - 1 | 0.839 |
3 | 2 | Notre Dame | 12 - 1 | 0.838 |
4 | 8 | Georgia | 12 - 2 | 0.825 |
5 | 24 | Texas | 9 - 4 | 0.816 |
6 | 6 | Stanford | 12 - 2 | 0.804 |
7 | 5 | Texas A&M | 11 - 2 | 0.800 |
8 | 15 | Oregon St. | 9 - 4 | 0.797 |
9 | 7 | Ohio St. | 12 - 0 | 0.793 |
10 | 4 | Florida | 11 - 2 | 0.792 |
11 | 11 | South Carolina | 11 - 2 | 0.785 |
12 | 12 | Louisiana St. | 10 - 3 | 0.775 |
13 | 19 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 5 | 0.760 |
14 | 13 | Oklahoma | 10 - 3 | 0.750 |
15 | 50 | Washington | 7 - 6 | 0.746 |
16 | 40 | Texas Christian | 7 - 6 | 0.741 |
17 | 31 | Southern California | 7 - 6 | 0.736 |
18 | 14 | Clemson | 11 - 2 | 0.731 |
19 | 22 | Northwestern | 10 - 3 | 0.730 |
20 | 18 | Michigan | 8 - 5 | 0.724 |
21 | 36 | Michigan St. | 7 - 6 | 0.723 |
22 | 9 | Florida St. | 12 - 2 | 0.721 |
23 | 26 | Wisconsin | 8 - 6 | 0.721 |
24 | 17 | Nebraska | 10 - 4 | 0.703 |
25 | 51 | Missouri | 5 - 7 | 0.703 |
26 | 46 | Mississippi | 7 - 6 | 0.701 |
27 | 10 | Kansas St. | 11 - 2 | 0.699 |
28 | 33 | Baylor | 8 - 5 | 0.699 |
29 | 39 | Arizona | 8 - 5 | 0.687 |
30 | 23 | Vanderbilt | 9 - 4 | 0.687 |
31 | 34 | Arizona St. | 8 - 5 | 0.681 |
32 | 28 | UCLA | 9 - 5 | 0.680 |
33 | 56 | Virginia Tech | 7 - 6 | 0.677 |
34 | 32 | Louisville | 11 - 2 | 0.677 |
35 | 30 | Penn State | 8 - 4 | 0.670 |
36 | 55 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 5 | 0.663 |
37 | 43 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 5 | 0.634 |
38 | 16 | Utah St. | 11 - 2 | 0.628 |
39 | 53 | Georgia Tech | 7 - 7 | 0.623 |
40 | 27 | Brigham Young | 8 - 5 | 0.608 |
41 | 21 | Boise State | 11 - 2 | 0.605 |
42 | 29 | Cincinnati | 10 - 3 | 0.605 |
43 | 61 | Bowling Green | 8 - 5 | 0.604 |
44 | 47 | North Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.597 |
45 | 44 | Fresno St. | 9 - 4 | 0.595 |
46 | 42 | Texas Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.594 |
47 | 81 | Indiana | 4 - 8 | 0.589 |
48 | 41 | Rutgers | 9 - 4 | 0.583 |
49 | 35 | Tulsa | 11 - 3 | 0.573 |
50 | 20 | San Jose St. | 11 - 2 | 0.566 |
51 | 85 | Auburn | 3 - 9 | 0.566 |
52 | 52 | West Virginia | 7 - 6 | 0.560 |
53 | 76 | East Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.556 |
54 | 78 | Rice | 7 - 6 | 0.555 |
55 | 62 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 7 | 0.551 |
56 | 54 | Iowa St. | 6 - 7 | 0.550 |
57 | 63 | Utah | 5 - 7 | 0.550 |
58 | 73 | Minnesota | 6 - 7 | 0.549 |
59 | 38 | Central Florida | 10 - 4 | 0.546 |
60 | 65 | LA-Monroe | 8 - 5 | 0.540 |
61 | 60 | Toledo | 9 - 4 | 0.536 |
62 | 58 | San Diego St. | 9 - 4 | 0.533 |
63 | 64 | Tennessee | 5 - 7 | 0.532 |
64 | 45 | Syracuse | 8 - 5 | 0.520 |
65 | 79 | Iowa | 4 - 8 | 0.519 |
66 | 25 | Northern Illinois | 12 - 2 | 0.515 |
67 | 74 | Arkansas | 4 - 8 | 0.501 |
68 | 69 | Navy | 8 - 5 | 0.500 |
69 | 57 | LA-Lafayette | 9 - 4 | 0.498 |
70 | 93 | Wake Forest | 5 - 7 | 0.495 |
71 | 66 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 6 | 0.495 |
72 | 37 | Arkansas St. | 10 - 3 | 0.491 |
73 | 59 | Ball St. | 9 - 4 | 0.489 |
74 | 71 | Duke | 6 - 7 | 0.482 |
75 | 70 | Purdue | 6 - 7 | 0.474 |
76 | 89 | Houston | 5 - 7 | 0.467 |
77 | 75 | Middle Tennessee St. | 8 - 4 | 0.466 |
78 | 97 | Washington St. | 3 - 9 | 0.461 |
79 | 84 | Connecticut | 5 - 7 | 0.456 |
80 | 87 | Marshall | 5 - 7 | 0.450 |
81 | 88 | Virginia | 4 - 8 | 0.449 |
82 | 80 | California | 3 - 9 | 0.442 |
83 | 98 | Buffalo | 4 - 8 | 0.438 |
84 | 95 | North Texas | 4 - 8 | 0.426 |
85 | 83 | Texas-San Antonio | 8 - 4 | 0.423 |
86 | 68 | Ohio | 9 - 4 | 0.407 |
87 | 104 | Boston College | 2 - 10 | 0.401 |
88 | 111 | Illinois | 2 - 10 | 0.401 |
89 | 48 | Kent | 11 - 3 | 0.394 |
90 | 94 | Maryland | 4 - 8 | 0.393 |
91 | 67 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 6 | 0.391 |
92 | 108 | AL-Birmingham | 3 - 9 | 0.390 |
93 | 72 | Western Kentucky | 7 - 6 | 0.382 |
94 | 100 | Kentucky | 2 - 10 | 0.382 |
95 | 77 | Nevada | 7 - 6 | 0.353 |
96 | 0 | Georgia Southern | 10 - 4 | 0.352 |
97 | 90 | Temple | 4 - 7 | 0.348 |
98 | 102 | Wyoming | 4 - 8 | 0.348 |
99 | 110 | Colorado St. | 4 - 8 | 0.343 |
100 | 113 | Hawaii | 3 - 9 | 0.342 |
101 | 92 | South Florida | 3 - 9 | 0.338 |
102 | 99 | Texas St. | 4 - 8 | 0.334 |
103 | 101 | Miami, Ohio | 4 - 8 | 0.334 |
104 | 86 | Central Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.332 |
105 | 105 | Memphis | 4 - 8 | 0.329 |
106 | 109 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 9 | 0.309 |
107 | 49 | Louisiana Tech | 9 - 3 | 0.309 |
108 | 118 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 11 | 0.301 |
109 | 82 | Troy St. | 5 - 7 | 0.294 |
110 | 119 | South Alabama | 2 - 11 | 0.292 |
111 | 96 | Western Michigan | 4 - 8 | 0.292 |
112 | 120 | Colorado | 1 - 11 | 0.289 |
113 | 117 | Tulane | 2 - 10 | 0.281 |
114 | 115 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 10 | 0.266 |
115 | 114 | Army | 2 - 10 | 0.250 |
116 | 91 | Air Force | 6 - 7 | 0.248 |
117 | 112 | Kansas | 1 - 11 | 0.246 |
118 | 116 | Akron | 1 - 11 | 0.235 |
119 | 106 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 9 | 0.221 |
120 | 0 | Appalachian State | 8 - 4 | 0.214 |
121 | 107 | New Mexico | 4 - 9 | 0.210 |
122 | 121 | Wild Card U. | 18 - 97 | 0.209 |
123 | 103 | Florida International | 3 - 9 | 0.203 |
124 | 0 | Old Dominion | 11 - 2 | 0.199 |
125 | 124 | Southern Mississippi | 0 - 12 | 0.177 |
126 | 125 | Massachusetts | 1 - 11 | 0.170 |
127 | 123 | New Mexico St. | 1 - 11 | 0.151 |
128 | 122 | Idaho | 1 - 11 | 0.124 |
129 | 126 | Georgia St. | 1 - 10 | 0.070 |
2013 initial conference power ratings:
Conference | 2013 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 0-0 | .684 |
Pac-12 | 0-0 | .643 |
Big Twelve | 0-0 | .641 |
Big Ten | 0-0 | .633 |
ACC | 0-0 | .550 |
AAC | 0-0 | .484 |
Mountain West | 0-0 | .423 |
Independents | 0-0 | .412 |
MAC | 0-0 | .385 |
Conference USA | 0-0 | .381 |
Sun Belt | 0-0 | .362 |