ARGH 2012 Power Ratings

The following are the initial ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.

The estimated home field advantage is .568, or about 3.86 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

Please note that I cannot comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

Click here to send me feedback.

My Twitter Page, where I may post early ratings as well as a few random opinions.
This WeekLast Week Team 2011 Record Power Rating
1 2 Alabama 12 - 1 0.900
2 1 Louisiana St. 13 - 1 0.887
3 4 Oklahoma 10 - 3 0.883
4 3 Oklahoma St. 12 - 1 0.835
5 12 Southern California 10 - 2 0.834
6 32 Auburn 8 - 5 0.823
7 7 Stanford 11 - 2 0.812
8 5 Michigan 11 - 2 0.811
9 23 Florida St. 9 - 4 0.804
10 6 Oregon 12 - 2 0.795
11 16 Georgia 10 - 4 0.792
12 8 Arkansas 11 - 2 0.783
13 26 Nebraska 9 - 4 0.776
14 10 South Carolina 11 - 2 0.775
15 17 Texas 8 - 5 0.767
16 22 Notre Dame 8 - 5 0.766
17 31 Florida 7 - 6 0.762
18 24 West Virginia 10 - 3 0.755
19 21 Virginia Tech 11 - 3 0.748
20 50 Tennessee 5 - 7 0.741
21 13 Kansas St. 10 - 3 0.740
22 20 Missouri 8 - 5 0.738
23 18 Michigan St. 11 - 3 0.735
24 15 Baylor 10 - 3 0.731
25 39 Ohio St. 6 - 7 0.730
26 25 Texas Christian 11 - 2 0.726
27 30 Clemson 10 - 4 0.721
28 9 Boise State 12 - 1 0.705
29 45 Utah 8 - 5 0.704
30 11 Wisconsin 11 - 3 0.701
31 19 Texas A&M 7 - 6 0.692
32 48 Texas Tech 5 - 7 0.647
33 56 North Carolina St. 8 - 5 0.645
34 38 Brigham Young 10 - 3 0.636
35 36 Vanderbilt 6 - 7 0.635
36 34 Mississippi St. 7 - 6 0.631
37 55 South Florida 5 - 7 0.626
38 14 Houston 13 - 1 0.621
39 33 Rutgers 9 - 4 0.617
40 54 Washington 7 - 6 0.603
41 44 Georgia Tech 8 - 5 0.601
42 41 Iowa 7 - 6 0.600
43 52 Louisville 7 - 6 0.599
44 27 Cincinnati 10 - 3 0.596
45 28 Penn State 9 - 4 0.589
46 42 California 7 - 6 0.586
47 37 Iowa St. 6 - 7 0.584
48 43 North Carolina 7 - 6 0.578
49 57 Pittsburgh 6 - 7 0.578
50 35 Tulsa 8 - 5 0.574
51 61 UCLA 6 - 8 0.574
52 46 Miami, Florida 6 - 6 0.560
53 53 Illinois 7 - 6 0.546
54 83 Oregon St. 3 - 9 0.544
55 47 Northern Illinois 11 - 3 0.543
56 71 Nevada 7 - 6 0.543
57 63 Purdue 7 - 6 0.543
58 70 Connecticut 5 - 7 0.526
59 60 Louisiana Tech 8 - 5 0.514
60 29 Southern Mississippi 12 - 2 0.510
61 62 Virginia 8 - 5 0.506
62 86 Boston College 4 - 8 0.501
63 73 Syracuse 5 - 7 0.498
64 85 Florida International 8 - 5 0.494
65 93 Miami, Ohio 4 - 8 0.491
66 65 Ohio 10 - 4 0.487
67 68 Marshall 7 - 6 0.473
68 77 Kentucky 5 - 7 0.467
69 51 Arizona St. 6 - 7 0.466
70 76 Central Florida 5 - 7 0.464
71 101 Maryland 2 - 10 0.463
72 64 Northwestern 6 - 7 0.458
73 72 San Diego St. 8 - 5 0.455
74 94 Mississippi 2 - 10 0.455
75 66 Wake Forest 6 - 7 0.451
76 91 Kent 5 - 7 0.450
77 69 Western Michigan 7 - 6 0.447
78 89 Bowling Green 5 - 7 0.445
79 67 Arizona 4 - 8 0.444
80 58 Southern Methodist 8 - 5 0.434
81 40 Toledo 9 - 4 0.427
82 74 LA-Lafayette 9 - 4 0.426
83 59 Arkansas St. 10 - 3 0.422
84 79 Wyoming 8 - 5 0.419
85 92 Minnesota 3 - 9 0.418
86 99 Duke 3 - 9 0.411
87 87 East Carolina 5 - 7 0.409
88 75 Navy 5 - 7 0.409
89 90 Western Kentucky 7 - 5 0.408
90 49 Temple 9 - 4 0.407
91 106 Central Michigan 3 - 9 0.400
92 102 Army 3 - 9 0.391
93 80 Utah St. 7 - 6 0.389
94 81 Ball St. 6 - 6 0.380
95 100 Colorado 3 - 10 0.364
96 109 Indiana 1 - 11 0.351
97 95 North Texas 5 - 7 0.350
98 96 Eastern Michigan 6 - 6 0.340
99 88 Rice 4 - 8 0.340
100 98 Texas-El Paso 5 - 7 0.338
101 84 Washington St. 4 - 8 0.336
102 104 Fresno St. 4 - 9 0.332
103 82 Kansas 2 - 10 0.330
104 78 Air Force 7 - 6 0.329
105 103 LA-Monroe 4 - 8 0.320
106 110 Troy St. 3 - 9 0.284
107 105 Hawaii 6 - 7 0.261
108 97 San Jose St. 5 - 7 0.246
109 107 Buffalo 3 - 9 0.231
110 115 South Alabama 6 - 4 0.224
111 114 Nevada-Las Vegas 2 - 10 0.221
112 120 Texas St. 6 - 6 0.205
113 111 AL-Birmingham 3 - 9 0.202
114 118 Tulane 2 - 11 0.196
115 113 Idaho 2 - 10 0.195
116 112 Colorado St. 3 - 9 0.184
117 116 Middle Tennessee St. 2 - 10 0.181
118 NA Texas-San Antonio 4 - 6 0.180
119 108 New Mexico St. 4 - 9 0.180
120 121 Florida Atlantic 1 - 11 0.172
121 117 Wild Card U. 17 - 103 0.167
122 119 Memphis 2 - 10 0.167
123 124 Massachusetts 5 - 6 0.158
124 122 New Mexico 1 - 11 0.147
125 123 Akron 1 - 11 0.110
126 NA Georgia St. 3 - 8 0.055

2011 conference power ratings:

Conference2012 Record Power Rating
SEC 0-0 .720
Big Twelve 0-0 .700
Big Ten 0-0 .605
Pac-12 0-0 .589
ACC 0-0 .582
Big East 0-0 .556
Independents 0-0 .550
Conference USA 0-0.394
MAC 0-0 .378
Mountain West 0-0.360
Sun Belt 0-0 .328
WAC 0-0 .273

Return to ARGH main page