The following are the initial ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.
The estimated home field advantage is .568, or about 3.86 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2011 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Alabama | 12 - 1 | 0.900 |
2 | 1 | Louisiana St. | 13 - 1 | 0.887 |
3 | 4 | Oklahoma | 10 - 3 | 0.883 |
4 | 3 | Oklahoma St. | 12 - 1 | 0.835 |
5 | 12 | Southern California | 10 - 2 | 0.834 |
6 | 32 | Auburn | 8 - 5 | 0.823 |
7 | 7 | Stanford | 11 - 2 | 0.812 |
8 | 5 | Michigan | 11 - 2 | 0.811 |
9 | 23 | Florida St. | 9 - 4 | 0.804 |
10 | 6 | Oregon | 12 - 2 | 0.795 |
11 | 16 | Georgia | 10 - 4 | 0.792 |
12 | 8 | Arkansas | 11 - 2 | 0.783 |
13 | 26 | Nebraska | 9 - 4 | 0.776 |
14 | 10 | South Carolina | 11 - 2 | 0.775 |
15 | 17 | Texas | 8 - 5 | 0.767 |
16 | 22 | Notre Dame | 8 - 5 | 0.766 |
17 | 31 | Florida | 7 - 6 | 0.762 |
18 | 24 | West Virginia | 10 - 3 | 0.755 |
19 | 21 | Virginia Tech | 11 - 3 | 0.748 |
20 | 50 | Tennessee | 5 - 7 | 0.741 |
21 | 13 | Kansas St. | 10 - 3 | 0.740 |
22 | 20 | Missouri | 8 - 5 | 0.738 |
23 | 18 | Michigan St. | 11 - 3 | 0.735 |
24 | 15 | Baylor | 10 - 3 | 0.731 |
25 | 39 | Ohio St. | 6 - 7 | 0.730 |
26 | 25 | Texas Christian | 11 - 2 | 0.726 |
27 | 30 | Clemson | 10 - 4 | 0.721 |
28 | 9 | Boise State | 12 - 1 | 0.705 |
29 | 45 | Utah | 8 - 5 | 0.704 |
30 | 11 | Wisconsin | 11 - 3 | 0.701 |
31 | 19 | Texas A&M | 7 - 6 | 0.692 |
32 | 48 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.647 |
33 | 56 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 5 | 0.645 |
34 | 38 | Brigham Young | 10 - 3 | 0.636 |
35 | 36 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 7 | 0.635 |
36 | 34 | Mississippi St. | 7 - 6 | 0.631 |
37 | 55 | South Florida | 5 - 7 | 0.626 |
38 | 14 | Houston | 13 - 1 | 0.621 |
39 | 33 | Rutgers | 9 - 4 | 0.617 |
40 | 54 | Washington | 7 - 6 | 0.603 |
41 | 44 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.601 |
42 | 41 | Iowa | 7 - 6 | 0.600 |
43 | 52 | Louisville | 7 - 6 | 0.599 |
44 | 27 | Cincinnati | 10 - 3 | 0.596 |
45 | 28 | Penn State | 9 - 4 | 0.589 |
46 | 42 | California | 7 - 6 | 0.586 |
47 | 37 | Iowa St. | 6 - 7 | 0.584 |
48 | 43 | North Carolina | 7 - 6 | 0.578 |
49 | 57 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 7 | 0.578 |
50 | 35 | Tulsa | 8 - 5 | 0.574 |
51 | 61 | UCLA | 6 - 8 | 0.574 |
52 | 46 | Miami, Florida | 6 - 6 | 0.560 |
53 | 53 | Illinois | 7 - 6 | 0.546 |
54 | 83 | Oregon St. | 3 - 9 | 0.544 |
55 | 47 | Northern Illinois | 11 - 3 | 0.543 |
56 | 71 | Nevada | 7 - 6 | 0.543 |
57 | 63 | Purdue | 7 - 6 | 0.543 |
58 | 70 | Connecticut | 5 - 7 | 0.526 |
59 | 60 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.514 |
60 | 29 | Southern Mississippi | 12 - 2 | 0.510 |
61 | 62 | Virginia | 8 - 5 | 0.506 |
62 | 86 | Boston College | 4 - 8 | 0.501 |
63 | 73 | Syracuse | 5 - 7 | 0.498 |
64 | 85 | Florida International | 8 - 5 | 0.494 |
65 | 93 | Miami, Ohio | 4 - 8 | 0.491 |
66 | 65 | Ohio | 10 - 4 | 0.487 |
67 | 68 | Marshall | 7 - 6 | 0.473 |
68 | 77 | Kentucky | 5 - 7 | 0.467 |
69 | 51 | Arizona St. | 6 - 7 | 0.466 |
70 | 76 | Central Florida | 5 - 7 | 0.464 |
71 | 101 | Maryland | 2 - 10 | 0.463 |
72 | 64 | Northwestern | 6 - 7 | 0.458 |
73 | 72 | San Diego St. | 8 - 5 | 0.455 |
74 | 94 | Mississippi | 2 - 10 | 0.455 |
75 | 66 | Wake Forest | 6 - 7 | 0.451 |
76 | 91 | Kent | 5 - 7 | 0.450 |
77 | 69 | Western Michigan | 7 - 6 | 0.447 |
78 | 89 | Bowling Green | 5 - 7 | 0.445 |
79 | 67 | Arizona | 4 - 8 | 0.444 |
80 | 58 | Southern Methodist | 8 - 5 | 0.434 |
81 | 40 | Toledo | 9 - 4 | 0.427 |
82 | 74 | LA-Lafayette | 9 - 4 | 0.426 |
83 | 59 | Arkansas St. | 10 - 3 | 0.422 |
84 | 79 | Wyoming | 8 - 5 | 0.419 |
85 | 92 | Minnesota | 3 - 9 | 0.418 |
86 | 99 | Duke | 3 - 9 | 0.411 |
87 | 87 | East Carolina | 5 - 7 | 0.409 |
88 | 75 | Navy | 5 - 7 | 0.409 |
89 | 90 | Western Kentucky | 7 - 5 | 0.408 |
90 | 49 | Temple | 9 - 4 | 0.407 |
91 | 106 | Central Michigan | 3 - 9 | 0.400 |
92 | 102 | Army | 3 - 9 | 0.391 |
93 | 80 | Utah St. | 7 - 6 | 0.389 |
94 | 81 | Ball St. | 6 - 6 | 0.380 |
95 | 100 | Colorado | 3 - 10 | 0.364 |
96 | 109 | Indiana | 1 - 11 | 0.351 |
97 | 95 | North Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.350 |
98 | 96 | Eastern Michigan | 6 - 6 | 0.340 |
99 | 88 | Rice | 4 - 8 | 0.340 |
100 | 98 | Texas-El Paso | 5 - 7 | 0.338 |
101 | 84 | Washington St. | 4 - 8 | 0.336 |
102 | 104 | Fresno St. | 4 - 9 | 0.332 |
103 | 82 | Kansas | 2 - 10 | 0.330 |
104 | 78 | Air Force | 7 - 6 | 0.329 |
105 | 103 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 8 | 0.320 |
106 | 110 | Troy St. | 3 - 9 | 0.284 |
107 | 105 | Hawaii | 6 - 7 | 0.261 |
108 | 97 | San Jose St. | 5 - 7 | 0.246 |
109 | 107 | Buffalo | 3 - 9 | 0.231 |
110 | 115 | South Alabama | 6 - 4 | 0.224 |
111 | 114 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 10 | 0.221 |
112 | 120 | Texas St. | 6 - 6 | 0.205 |
113 | 111 | AL-Birmingham | 3 - 9 | 0.202 |
114 | 118 | Tulane | 2 - 11 | 0.196 |
115 | 113 | Idaho | 2 - 10 | 0.195 |
116 | 112 | Colorado St. | 3 - 9 | 0.184 |
117 | 116 | Middle Tennessee St. | 2 - 10 | 0.181 |
118 | NA | Texas-San Antonio | 4 - 6 | 0.180 |
119 | 108 | New Mexico St. | 4 - 9 | 0.180 |
120 | 121 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 11 | 0.172 |
121 | 117 | Wild Card U. | 17 - 103 | 0.167 |
122 | 119 | Memphis | 2 - 10 | 0.167 |
123 | 124 | Massachusetts | 5 - 6 | 0.158 |
124 | 122 | New Mexico | 1 - 11 | 0.147 |
125 | 123 | Akron | 1 - 11 | 0.110 |
126 | NA | Georgia St. | 3 - 8 | 0.055 |
2011 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2012 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 0-0 | .720 |
Big Twelve | 0-0 | .700 |
Big Ten | 0-0 | .605 |
Pac-12 | 0-0 | .589 |
ACC | 0-0 | .582 |
Big East | 0-0 | .556 |
Independents | 0-0 | .550 |
Conference USA | 0-0 | .394 |
MAC | 0-0 | .378 |
Mountain West | 0-0 | .360 |
Sun Belt | 0-0 | .328 |
WAC | 0-0 | .273 |