ARGH 2017 Power Ratings

The following are the preseason ARGH power ratings for the 2017 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Liberty.

The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.20 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 9-5-17

This WeekLast Week Team 2017 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 1 - 0 0.887 0
2 2 Ohio St. 1 - 0 0.854 0
3 3 Clemson 1 - 0 0.824 0
4 4 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.820 0
5 6 Penn State 1 - 0 0.799 0
6 5 Oklahoma 1 - 0 0.795 0
7 8 Washington 1 - 0 0.788 0
8 9 Auburn 1 - 0 0.778 0
9 10 Stanford 1 - 0 0.776 0
10 11 Southern California 1 - 0 0.768 0
11 7 Florida St. 0 - 1 0.759 0
12 13 Georgia 1 - 0 0.758 0
13 12 Louisiana St. 1 - 0 0.755 0
14 17 Michigan 1 - 0 0.730 0
15 18 Tennessee 1 - 0 0.712 0
16 15 Washington St. 1 - 0 0.700 0
17 23 Oklahoma St. 1 - 0 0.694 0
18 14 Florida 0 - 1 0.691 0
19 16 Miami, Florida 1 - 0 0.691 0
20 19 Louisville 1 - 0 0.690 0
21 27 Colorado 1 - 0 0.685 0
22 21 Kentucky 1 - 0 0.684 0
23 24 Northwestern 1 - 0 0.667 0
24 29 Virginia Tech 1 - 0 0.660 0
25 31 Iowa 1 - 0 0.659 0
26 34 Vanderbilt 1 - 0 0.658 0
27 20 North Carolina St. 0 - 1 0.654 0
28 22 South Florida 2 - 0 0.653 0
29 26 Texas Christian 1 - 0 0.650 0
30 25 Kansas St. 1 - 0 0.649 0
31 32 Nebraska 1 - 0 0.640 0
32 28 Texas A&M 0 - 1 0.636 0
33 41 Notre Dame 1 - 0 0.631 0
34 30 Syracuse 1 - 0 0.627 0
35 36 Memphis 1 - 0 0.625 0
36 33 Georgia Tech 0 - 1 0.618 0
37 37 Arkansas 1 - 0 0.612 0
38 40 Houston 0 - 0 0.608 0
39 54 South Carolina 1 - 0 0.604 0
40 49 UCLA 1 - 0 0.603 0
41 42 Oregon 1 - 0 0.597 0
42 38 Appalachian St. 0 - 1 0.595 0
43 58 Boise State 1 - 0 0.593 0
44 44 Utah 1 - 0 0.587 0
45 50 Minnesota 1 - 0 0.580 0
46 39 Texas 0 - 1 0.579 0
47 48 Mississippi St. 1 - 0 0.578 0
48 45 Western Michigan 0 - 1 0.578 0
49 55 Mississippi 1 - 0 0.577 0
50 46 Missouri 1 - 0 0.572 0
51 43 North Carolina 0 - 1 0.572 0
52 47 Western Kentucky 1 - 0 0.572 0
53 61 Colorado St. 1 - 1 0.568 0
54 52 Toledo 1 - 0 0.566 0
55 51 Indiana 0 - 1 0.562 0
56 62 California 1 - 0 0.562 0
57 53 San Diego St. 1 - 0 0.561 0
58 60 Wake Forest 1 - 0 0.554 0
59 56 West Virginia 0 - 1 0.553 0
60 71 Maryland 1 - 0 0.547 0
61 59 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 0.544 0
62 57 Troy 0 - 1 0.540 0
63 35 Brigham Young 1 - 1 0.539 0
64 70 Navy 1 - 0 0.533 0
65 66 Arizona St. 1 - 0 0.530 0
66 69 Boston College 1 - 0 0.529 0
67 63 Arizona 1 - 0 0.528 0
68 68 Duke 1 - 0 0.519 0
69 64 Tulsa 0 - 1 0.513 0
70 72 Texas Tech 1 - 0 0.504 0
71 73 Army 1 - 0 0.501 0
72 65 Baylor 0 - 1 0.483 0
73 79 Central Florida 1 - 0 0.477 0
74 78 Southern Methodist 1 - 0 0.467 0
75 74 Wyoming 0 - 1 0.466 0
76 76 Old Dominion 1 - 0 0.462 0
77 75 Temple 0 - 1 0.462 0
78 82 Eastern Michigan 1 - 0 0.459 0
79 67 Oregon St. 1 - 1 0.455 0
80 81 New Mexico 1 - 0 0.447 0
81 84 Air Force 1 - 0 0.444 0
82 80 Iowa St. 1 - 0 0.444 0
83 83 Louisiana Tech 1 - 0 0.440 0
84 89 Michigan St. 1 - 0 0.439 0
85 77 Middle Tennessee 0 - 1 0.439 0
86 100 Hawaii 2 - 0 0.425 0
87 88 Tulane 1 - 0 0.423 0
88 85 Texas-San Antonio 0 - 0 0.421 0
89 90 Ohio 1 - 0 0.420 0
90 86 Arkansas St. 0 - 1 0.418 0
91 91 Idaho 1 - 0 0.416 0
92 92 Central Michigan 1 - 0 0.400 0
93 93 Akron 0 - 1 0.395 0
94 94 Purdue 0 - 1 0.394 0
95 99 Virginia 1 - 0 0.393 0
96 87 Miami, Ohio 0 - 1 0.389 0
97 96 Utah St. 0 - 1 0.388 0
98 95 Southern Mississippi 0 - 1 0.387 0
99 106 Illinois 1 - 0 0.378 0
100 105 Cincinnati 1 - 0 0.378 0
101 97 New Mexico St. 0 - 1 0.377 0
102 101 Rutgers 0 - 1 0.371 0
103 102 LA-Monroe 0 - 1 0.369 0
104 112 Marshall 1 - 0 0.369 0
105 103 Georgia Southern 0 - 1 0.365 0
106 108 LA-Lafayette 1 - 0 0.356 0
107 107 Northern Illinois 0 - 1 0.350 0
108 113 San Jose St. 1 - 1 0.349 0
109 116 North Texas 1 - 0 0.341 0
110 110 South Alabama 0 - 1 0.340 0
111 104 Bowling Green 0 - 1 0.336 0
112 98 Georgia St. 0 - 1 0.334 0
113 118 Fresno St. 1 - 0 0.325 0
114 111 Florida International 0 - 1 0.320 0
115 117 Kent 0 - 1 0.311 0
116 126 Kansas 1 - 0 0.303 0
117 115 Florida Atlantic 0 - 1 0.302 0
118 122 Connecticut 1 - 0 0.302 0
119 114 East Carolina 0 - 1 0.291 0
120 121 Nevada 0 - 1 0.288 0
121 109 Massachusetts 0 - 2 0.282 0
122 124 Rice 0 - 1 0.279 0
123 119 Ball St. 0 - 1 0.279 0
124 125 Texas-El Paso 0 - 1 0.278 0
125 123 Charlotte 0 - 1 0.265 0
126 128 Texas St. 1 - 0 0.263 0
127 120 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 1 0.259 0
128 130 Liberty 1 - 0 0.256 0
129 127 Buffalo 0 - 1 0.250 0
130 129 Coastal Carolina 1 - 0 0.250 0
131 132 AL-Birmingham 1 - 0 0.224 0
132 131 Wild Card U. 3 - 43 0.147 0

2017 conference power ratings:

Conference2016 Record Power Rating
SEC 12-2 .679
Pac-12 12-1 .632
ACC 10-4 .617
Big Ten 10-2 .603
Big Twelve 7-3 .565
Independents 3-3 .488
AAC 9-3 .478
Mountain West 9-6.426
MAC 4-8 .394
Sun Belt 4-8 .385
Conference USA 6-7.364

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