The following are the preseason ARGH power ratings for the 2017 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Liberty.
The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.20 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 9-5-17
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2017 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 1 - 0 | 0.887 | 0 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 1 - 0 | 0.854 | 0 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 1 - 0 | 0.824 | 0 |
4 | 4 | Wisconsin | 1 - 0 | 0.820 | 0 |
5 | 6 | Penn State | 1 - 0 | 0.799 | 0 |
6 | 5 | Oklahoma | 1 - 0 | 0.795 | 0 |
7 | 8 | Washington | 1 - 0 | 0.788 | 0 |
8 | 9 | Auburn | 1 - 0 | 0.778 | 0 |
9 | 10 | Stanford | 1 - 0 | 0.776 | 0 |
10 | 11 | Southern California | 1 - 0 | 0.768 | 0 |
11 | 7 | Florida St. | 0 - 1 | 0.759 | 0 |
12 | 13 | Georgia | 1 - 0 | 0.758 | 0 |
13 | 12 | Louisiana St. | 1 - 0 | 0.755 | 0 |
14 | 17 | Michigan | 1 - 0 | 0.730 | 0 |
15 | 18 | Tennessee | 1 - 0 | 0.712 | 0 |
16 | 15 | Washington St. | 1 - 0 | 0.700 | 0 |
17 | 23 | Oklahoma St. | 1 - 0 | 0.694 | 0 |
18 | 14 | Florida | 0 - 1 | 0.691 | 0 |
19 | 16 | Miami, Florida | 1 - 0 | 0.691 | 0 |
20 | 19 | Louisville | 1 - 0 | 0.690 | 0 |
21 | 27 | Colorado | 1 - 0 | 0.685 | 0 |
22 | 21 | Kentucky | 1 - 0 | 0.684 | 0 |
23 | 24 | Northwestern | 1 - 0 | 0.667 | 0 |
24 | 29 | Virginia Tech | 1 - 0 | 0.660 | 0 |
25 | 31 | Iowa | 1 - 0 | 0.659 | 0 |
26 | 34 | Vanderbilt | 1 - 0 | 0.658 | 0 |
27 | 20 | North Carolina St. | 0 - 1 | 0.654 | 0 |
28 | 22 | South Florida | 2 - 0 | 0.653 | 0 |
29 | 26 | Texas Christian | 1 - 0 | 0.650 | 0 |
30 | 25 | Kansas St. | 1 - 0 | 0.649 | 0 |
31 | 32 | Nebraska | 1 - 0 | 0.640 | 0 |
32 | 28 | Texas A&M | 0 - 1 | 0.636 | 0 |
33 | 41 | Notre Dame | 1 - 0 | 0.631 | 0 |
34 | 30 | Syracuse | 1 - 0 | 0.627 | 0 |
35 | 36 | Memphis | 1 - 0 | 0.625 | 0 |
36 | 33 | Georgia Tech | 0 - 1 | 0.618 | 0 |
37 | 37 | Arkansas | 1 - 0 | 0.612 | 0 |
38 | 40 | Houston | 0 - 0 | 0.608 | 0 |
39 | 54 | South Carolina | 1 - 0 | 0.604 | 0 |
40 | 49 | UCLA | 1 - 0 | 0.603 | 0 |
41 | 42 | Oregon | 1 - 0 | 0.597 | 0 |
42 | 38 | Appalachian St. | 0 - 1 | 0.595 | 0 |
43 | 58 | Boise State | 1 - 0 | 0.593 | 0 |
44 | 44 | Utah | 1 - 0 | 0.587 | 0 |
45 | 50 | Minnesota | 1 - 0 | 0.580 | 0 |
46 | 39 | Texas | 0 - 1 | 0.579 | 0 |
47 | 48 | Mississippi St. | 1 - 0 | 0.578 | 0 |
48 | 45 | Western Michigan | 0 - 1 | 0.578 | 0 |
49 | 55 | Mississippi | 1 - 0 | 0.577 | 0 |
50 | 46 | Missouri | 1 - 0 | 0.572 | 0 |
51 | 43 | North Carolina | 0 - 1 | 0.572 | 0 |
52 | 47 | Western Kentucky | 1 - 0 | 0.572 | 0 |
53 | 61 | Colorado St. | 1 - 1 | 0.568 | 0 |
54 | 52 | Toledo | 1 - 0 | 0.566 | 0 |
55 | 51 | Indiana | 0 - 1 | 0.562 | 0 |
56 | 62 | California | 1 - 0 | 0.562 | 0 |
57 | 53 | San Diego St. | 1 - 0 | 0.561 | 0 |
58 | 60 | Wake Forest | 1 - 0 | 0.554 | 0 |
59 | 56 | West Virginia | 0 - 1 | 0.553 | 0 |
60 | 71 | Maryland | 1 - 0 | 0.547 | 0 |
61 | 59 | Pittsburgh | 1 - 0 | 0.544 | 0 |
62 | 57 | Troy | 0 - 1 | 0.540 | 0 |
63 | 35 | Brigham Young | 1 - 1 | 0.539 | 0 |
64 | 70 | Navy | 1 - 0 | 0.533 | 0 |
65 | 66 | Arizona St. | 1 - 0 | 0.530 | 0 |
66 | 69 | Boston College | 1 - 0 | 0.529 | 0 |
67 | 63 | Arizona | 1 - 0 | 0.528 | 0 |
68 | 68 | Duke | 1 - 0 | 0.519 | 0 |
69 | 64 | Tulsa | 0 - 1 | 0.513 | 0 |
70 | 72 | Texas Tech | 1 - 0 | 0.504 | 0 |
71 | 73 | Army | 1 - 0 | 0.501 | 0 |
72 | 65 | Baylor | 0 - 1 | 0.483 | 0 |
73 | 79 | Central Florida | 1 - 0 | 0.477 | 0 |
74 | 78 | Southern Methodist | 1 - 0 | 0.467 | 0 |
75 | 74 | Wyoming | 0 - 1 | 0.466 | 0 |
76 | 76 | Old Dominion | 1 - 0 | 0.462 | 0 |
77 | 75 | Temple | 0 - 1 | 0.462 | 0 |
78 | 82 | Eastern Michigan | 1 - 0 | 0.459 | 0 |
79 | 67 | Oregon St. | 1 - 1 | 0.455 | 0 |
80 | 81 | New Mexico | 1 - 0 | 0.447 | 0 |
81 | 84 | Air Force | 1 - 0 | 0.444 | 0 |
82 | 80 | Iowa St. | 1 - 0 | 0.444 | 0 |
83 | 83 | Louisiana Tech | 1 - 0 | 0.440 | 0 |
84 | 89 | Michigan St. | 1 - 0 | 0.439 | 0 |
85 | 77 | Middle Tennessee | 0 - 1 | 0.439 | 0 |
86 | 100 | Hawaii | 2 - 0 | 0.425 | 0 |
87 | 88 | Tulane | 1 - 0 | 0.423 | 0 |
88 | 85 | Texas-San Antonio | 0 - 0 | 0.421 | 0 |
89 | 90 | Ohio | 1 - 0 | 0.420 | 0 |
90 | 86 | Arkansas St. | 0 - 1 | 0.418 | 0 |
91 | 91 | Idaho | 1 - 0 | 0.416 | 0 |
92 | 92 | Central Michigan | 1 - 0 | 0.400 | 0 |
93 | 93 | Akron | 0 - 1 | 0.395 | 0 |
94 | 94 | Purdue | 0 - 1 | 0.394 | 0 |
95 | 99 | Virginia | 1 - 0 | 0.393 | 0 |
96 | 87 | Miami, Ohio | 0 - 1 | 0.389 | 0 |
97 | 96 | Utah St. | 0 - 1 | 0.388 | 0 |
98 | 95 | Southern Mississippi | 0 - 1 | 0.387 | 0 |
99 | 106 | Illinois | 1 - 0 | 0.378 | 0 |
100 | 105 | Cincinnati | 1 - 0 | 0.378 | 0 |
101 | 97 | New Mexico St. | 0 - 1 | 0.377 | 0 |
102 | 101 | Rutgers | 0 - 1 | 0.371 | 0 |
103 | 102 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 1 | 0.369 | 0 |
104 | 112 | Marshall | 1 - 0 | 0.369 | 0 |
105 | 103 | Georgia Southern | 0 - 1 | 0.365 | 0 |
106 | 108 | LA-Lafayette | 1 - 0 | 0.356 | 0 |
107 | 107 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 1 | 0.350 | 0 |
108 | 113 | San Jose St. | 1 - 1 | 0.349 | 0 |
109 | 116 | North Texas | 1 - 0 | 0.341 | 0 |
110 | 110 | South Alabama | 0 - 1 | 0.340 | 0 |
111 | 104 | Bowling Green | 0 - 1 | 0.336 | 0 |
112 | 98 | Georgia St. | 0 - 1 | 0.334 | 0 |
113 | 118 | Fresno St. | 1 - 0 | 0.325 | 0 |
114 | 111 | Florida International | 0 - 1 | 0.320 | 0 |
115 | 117 | Kent | 0 - 1 | 0.311 | 0 |
116 | 126 | Kansas | 1 - 0 | 0.303 | 0 |
117 | 115 | Florida Atlantic | 0 - 1 | 0.302 | 0 |
118 | 122 | Connecticut | 1 - 0 | 0.302 | 0 |
119 | 114 | East Carolina | 0 - 1 | 0.291 | 0 |
120 | 121 | Nevada | 0 - 1 | 0.288 | 0 |
121 | 109 | Massachusetts | 0 - 2 | 0.282 | 0 |
122 | 124 | Rice | 0 - 1 | 0.279 | 0 |
123 | 119 | Ball St. | 0 - 1 | 0.279 | 0 |
124 | 125 | Texas-El Paso | 0 - 1 | 0.278 | 0 |
125 | 123 | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | 0.265 | 0 |
126 | 128 | Texas St. | 1 - 0 | 0.263 | 0 |
127 | 120 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 1 | 0.259 | 0 |
128 | 130 | Liberty | 1 - 0 | 0.256 | 0 |
129 | 127 | Buffalo | 0 - 1 | 0.250 | 0 |
130 | 129 | Coastal Carolina | 1 - 0 | 0.250 | 0 |
131 | 132 | AL-Birmingham | 1 - 0 | 0.224 | 0 |
132 | 131 | Wild Card U. | 3 - 43 | 0.147 | 0 |
2017 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 12-2 | .679 |
Pac-12 | 12-1 | .632 |
ACC | 10-4 | .617 |
Big Ten | 10-2 | .603 |
Big Twelve | 7-3 | .565 |
Independents | 3-3 | .488 |
AAC | 9-3 | .478 |
Mountain West | 9-6 | .426 |
MAC | 4-8 | .394 |
Sun Belt | 4-8 | .385 |
Conference USA | 6-7 | .364 |