ARGH 2012 Power Ratings

The following are the initial ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.

The estimated home field advantage is .567, or about 3.72 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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This Week	Last Week	Team	2012 Record	Power Rating
1	1	Alabama	2 - 0	0.895
2	3	Louisiana St.	2 - 0	0.873
3	2	Oklahoma	2 - 0	0.832
4	4	Southern California	2 - 0	0.831
5	10	South Carolina	2 - 0	0.798
6	14	Notre Dame	2 - 0	0.796
7	7	Stanford	2 - 0	0.794
8	21	Michigan St.	2 - 0	0.792
9	12	Georgia	2 - 0	0.790
10	16	Florida	2 - 0	0.783
11	6	Oregon	2 - 0	0.763
12	15	Texas	2 - 0	0.760
13	22	Clemson	2 - 0	0.760
14	23	Ohio St.	2 - 0	0.757
15	11	Florida St.	2 - 0	0.752
16	18	West Virginia	1 - 0	0.745
17	17	Tennessee	2 - 0	0.743
18	9	Nebraska	1 - 1	0.742
19	26	Kansas St.	2 - 0	0.740
20	20	Virginia Tech	2 - 0	0.738
21	5	Oklahoma St.	1 - 1	0.738
22	13	Michigan	1 - 1	0.726
23	24	Baylor	1 - 0	0.726
24	25	Texas Christian	1 - 0	0.708
25	35	Mississippi St.	2 - 0	0.691
26	8	Auburn	0 - 2	0.682
27	30	Boise State	0 - 1	0.678
28	42	Iowa St.	2 - 0	0.676
29	27	Missouri	1 - 1	0.672
30	45	UCLA	2 - 0	0.667
31	28	Texas A&M	0 - 1	0.667
32	33	Texas Tech	2 - 0	0.665
33	19	Arkansas	1 - 1	0.653
34	41	South Florida	2 - 0	0.643
35	32	Brigham Young	2 - 0	0.640
36	29	Utah	1 - 1	0.635
37	40	Louisville	2 - 0	0.633
38	39	Rutgers	2 - 0	0.629
39	34	North Carolina St.	1 - 1	0.614
40	43	Cincinnati	1 - 0	0.607
41	31	Wisconsin	1 - 1	0.605
42	44	Georgia Tech	1 - 1	0.603
43	36	Iowa	1 - 1	0.595
44	38	Washington	1 - 1	0.592
45	63	Northwestern	2 - 0	0.592
46	54	Purdue	1 - 1	0.578
47	70	Arizona	2 - 0	0.575
48	53	Tulsa	1 - 1	0.573
49	55	Oregon St.	1 - 0	0.568
50	58	Ohio	2 - 0	0.568
51	37	Vanderbilt	0 - 2	0.564
52	47	North Carolina	1 - 1	0.556
53	56	Connecticut	1 - 1	0.555
54	66	Arizona St.	2 - 0	0.553
55	60	Virginia	2 - 0	0.553
56	48	Nevada	1 - 1	0.552
57	57	Northern Illinois	1 - 1	0.549
58	46	Miami, Florida	1 - 1	0.541
59	59	Louisiana Tech	1 - 0	0.541
60	79	San Diego St.	1 - 1	0.537
61	50	California	1 - 1	0.531
62	67	Central Florida	1 - 1	0.514
63	72	Mississippi	2 - 0	0.510
64	61	Southern Mississippi	0 - 1	0.506
65	89	Utah St.	2 - 0	0.503
66	73	Maryland	2 - 0	0.501
67	49	Illinois	1 - 1	0.501
68	80	LA-Lafayette	2 - 0	0.500
69	68	Syracuse	0 - 2	0.495
70	76	Kentucky	1 - 1	0.495
71	64	Boston College	1 - 1	0.488
72	77	Wake Forest	2 - 0	0.487
73	52	Penn State	0 - 2	0.487
74	51	Houston	0 - 2	0.483
75	91	Toledo	1 - 1	0.475
76	85	Western Kentucky	1 - 1	0.473
77	69	Marshall	1 - 1	0.470
78	83	Minnesota	2 - 0	0.468
79	82	Southern Methodist	1 - 1	0.463
80	75	Duke	1 - 1	0.461
81	78	Bowling Green	1 - 1	0.458
82	65	Miami, Ohio	1 - 1	0.456
83	71	Florida International	1 - 1	0.448
84	84	Western Michigan	1 - 1	0.445
85	95	Indiana	2 - 0	0.444
86	86	East Carolina	1 - 1	0.427
87	81	Arkansas St.	1 - 1	0.423
88	93	Ball St.	1 - 1	0.422
89	96	North Texas	1 - 1	0.421
90	99	Air Force	1 - 1	0.418
91	92	Navy	0 - 1	0.416
92	74	Kent	1 - 1	0.415
93	90	Central Michigan	1 - 1	0.413
94	62	Pittsburgh	0 - 2	0.412
95	87	Temple	1 - 1	0.408
96	97	Fresno St.	1 - 1	0.397
97	88	Wyoming	0 - 2	0.393
98	94	Army	0 - 1	0.383
99	105	LA-Monroe	1 - 0	0.378
100	103	Rice	1 - 1	0.377
101	108	San Jose St.	1 - 1	0.374
102	98	Kansas	1 - 1	0.356
103	102	Washington St.	1 - 1	0.337
104	110	Buffalo	1 - 1	0.329
105	106	Troy St.	1 - 1	0.315
106	100	Texas-El Paso	0 - 2	0.303
107	116	Texas-San Antonio	2 - 0	0.291
108	107	Hawaii	0 - 1	0.288
109	109	Texas St.	1 - 1	0.287
110	112	New Mexico St.	1 - 1	0.273
111	104	Eastern Michigan	0 - 2	0.269
112	101	Colorado	0 - 2	0.267
113	117	New Mexico	1 - 1	0.267
114	115	South Alabama	1 - 1	0.259
115	120	Middle Tennessee St.	1 - 1	0.228
116	111	Colorado St.	1 - 1	0.215
117	119	AL-Birmingham	0 - 1	0.209
118	118	Tulane	0 - 2	0.207
119	114	Florida Atlantic	1 - 1	0.207
120	113	Nevada-Las Vegas	0 - 2	0.205
121	122	Memphis	0 - 2	0.186
122	121	Idaho	0 - 2	0.174
123	124	Wild Card U.	9 - 53	0.169
124	123	Massachusetts	0 - 2	0.158
125	125	Akron	0 - 2	0.156
126	126	Georgia St.	0 - 2	0.087

2012 conference power ratings:

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