The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season as of 9-30-18. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .561, or about 3.19 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 9-30-18
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2018 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 5 - 0 | 0.887 | 46 |
2 | 4 | Notre Dame | 5 - 0 | 0.876 | 4 |
3 | 2 | Georgia | 5 - 0 | 0.873 | 44 |
4 | 3 | Clemson | 5 - 0 | 0.870 | 32 |
5 | 6 | Ohio St. | 5 - 0 | 0.868 | 33 |
6 | 9 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 0 | 0.850 | 11 |
7 | 5 | Oklahoma | 5 - 0 | 0.841 | 29 |
8 | 11 | Michigan | 4 - 1 | 0.827 | 10 |
9 | 17 | Kentucky | 5 - 0 | 0.823 | 37 |
10 | 12 | Washington | 4 - 1 | 0.817 | 19 |
11 | 14 | Auburn | 4 - 1 | 0.797 | 25 |
12 | 16 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.788 | 45 |
13 | 7 | Penn State | 4 - 1 | 0.784 | 41 |
14 | 8 | Stanford | 4 - 1 | 0.775 | 9 |
15 | 15 | Wisconsin | 3 - 1 | 0.762 | 66 |
16 | 30 | Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.758 | 57 |
17 | 27 | West Virginia | 4 - 0 | 0.755 | 86 |
18 | 13 | Michigan St. | 3 - 1 | 0.753 | 14 |
19 | 19 | Central Florida | 4 - 0 | 0.751 | 122 |
20 | 18 | Boise State | 3 - 1 | 0.748 | 39 |
21 | 10 | Duke | 4 - 1 | 0.743 | 30 |
22 | 23 | Texas | 4 - 1 | 0.731 | 16 |
23 | 32 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 0 | 0.725 | 104 |
24 | 25 | Syracuse | 4 - 1 | 0.716 | 59 |
25 | 36 | Cincinnati | 5 - 0 | 0.713 | 121 |
26 | 21 | Iowa | 3 - 1 | 0.710 | 67 |
27 | 22 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 2 | 0.709 | 48 |
28 | 28 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 1 | 0.699 | 96 |
29 | 20 | South Carolina | 2 - 2 | 0.694 | 2 |
30 | 49 | Virginia Tech | 3 - 1 | 0.688 | 78 |
31 | 24 | North Texas | 4 - 1 | 0.686 | 107 |
32 | 42 | Texas Christian | 3 - 2 | 0.679 | 13 |
33 | 33 | Boston College | 4 - 1 | 0.676 | 98 |
34 | 29 | Missouri | 3 - 1 | 0.675 | 58 |
35 | 43 | Fresno St. | 3 - 1 | 0.675 | 92 |
36 | 56 | Army | 3 - 2 | 0.673 | 7 |
37 | 37 | Arizona St. | 3 - 2 | 0.661 | 18 |
38 | 40 | Indiana | 4 - 1 | 0.660 | 36 |
39 | 26 | Texas Tech | 3 - 2 | 0.660 | 24 |
40 | 31 | Maryland | 3 - 1 | 0.659 | 31 |
41 | 34 | Texas A&M | 3 - 2 | 0.658 | 42 |
42 | 54 | Oregon | 4 - 1 | 0.654 | 112 |
43 | 39 | Southern California | 3 - 2 | 0.653 | 8 |
44 | 55 | Washington St. | 4 - 1 | 0.646 | 105 |
45 | 58 | Colorado | 4 - 0 | 0.641 | 127 |
46 | 45 | Minnesota | 3 - 1 | 0.627 | 76 |
47 | 41 | San Diego St. | 3 - 1 | 0.622 | 53 |
48 | 66 | Louisiana Tech | 3 - 1 | 0.621 | 54 |
49 | 51 | South Florida | 4 - 0 | 0.618 | 120 |
50 | 60 | Troy | 4 - 1 | 0.616 | 106 |
51 | 63 | Appalachian St. | 3 - 1 | 0.609 | 115 |
52 | 48 | Vanderbilt | 3 - 2 | 0.606 | 23 |
53 | 46 | Utah St. | 3 - 1 | 0.606 | 119 |
54 | 44 | Utah | 2 - 2 | 0.595 | 43 |
55 | 38 | Buffalo | 4 - 1 | 0.594 | 108 |
56 | 65 | Wake Forest | 3 - 2 | 0.587 | 64 |
57 | 47 | Virginia | 3 - 2 | 0.587 | 61 |
58 | 35 | California | 3 - 1 | 0.583 | 95 |
59 | 52 | Mississippi | 3 - 2 | 0.579 | 15 |
60 | 50 | Brigham Young | 3 - 2 | 0.572 | 17 |
61 | 53 | Northwestern | 1 - 3 | 0.568 | 6 |
62 | 61 | Houston | 3 - 1 | 0.567 | 110 |
63 | 69 | Western Michigan | 3 - 2 | 0.565 | 65 |
64 | 67 | Purdue | 2 - 3 | 0.563 | 20 |
65 | 57 | Iowa St. | 1 - 3 | 0.557 | 3 |
66 | 78 | Georgia Southern | 3 - 1 | 0.554 | 90 |
67 | 62 | Toledo | 2 - 2 | 0.544 | 62 |
68 | 75 | Florida International | 3 - 2 | 0.537 | 97 |
69 | 77 | Florida St. | 3 - 2 | 0.534 | 69 |
70 | 59 | Memphis | 3 - 2 | 0.534 | 123 |
71 | 64 | Baylor | 3 - 2 | 0.529 | 68 |
72 | 74 | Marshall | 3 - 1 | 0.521 | 114 |
73 | 84 | AL-Birmingham | 3 - 1 | 0.521 | 125 |
74 | 80 | Hawaii | 5 - 1 | 0.518 | 128 |
75 | 81 | Georgia Tech | 2 - 3 | 0.516 | 80 |
76 | 68 | Akron | 2 - 1 | 0.513 | 75 |
77 | 70 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 2 | 0.487 | 81 |
78 | 82 | Coastal Carolina | 3 - 2 | 0.479 | 72 |
79 | 86 | Nevada | 3 - 2 | 0.477 | 103 |
80 | 72 | Arizona | 2 - 3 | 0.474 | 89 |
81 | 71 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 3 | 0.471 | 70 |
82 | 83 | Navy | 2 - 2 | 0.470 | 99 |
83 | 104 | Tulane | 2 - 3 | 0.469 | 38 |
84 | 73 | Temple | 2 - 3 | 0.469 | 73 |
85 | 90 | Ohio | 2 - 2 | 0.465 | 101 |
86 | 96 | Southern Methodist | 2 - 3 | 0.463 | 21 |
87 | 87 | Tennessee | 2 - 3 | 0.463 | 56 |
88 | 91 | Southern Mississippi | 2 - 2 | 0.461 | 118 |
89 | 89 | Middle Tennessee | 2 - 2 | 0.457 | 49 |
90 | 76 | Florida Atlantic | 2 - 3 | 0.446 | 47 |
91 | 95 | Kansas St. | 2 - 3 | 0.427 | 55 |
92 | 79 | Louisville | 2 - 3 | 0.424 | 63 |
93 | 92 | Illinois | 2 - 2 | 0.423 | 83 |
94 | 106 | Northern Illinois | 2 - 3 | 0.422 | 35 |
95 | 109 | Ball St. | 2 - 3 | 0.415 | 87 |
96 | 88 | Kansas | 2 - 3 | 0.414 | 109 |
97 | 85 | Pittsburgh | 2 - 3 | 0.413 | 50 |
98 | 98 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 2 | 0.405 | 124 |
99 | 93 | Wyoming | 2 - 3 | 0.398 | 79 |
100 | 116 | Liberty | 2 - 2 | 0.397 | 85 |
101 | 101 | Arkansas | 1 - 4 | 0.386 | 28 |
102 | 94 | Air Force | 1 - 3 | 0.383 | 102 |
103 | 97 | North Carolina | 1 - 3 | 0.381 | 22 |
104 | 99 | Nebraska | 0 - 4 | 0.375 | 5 |
105 | 103 | New Mexico | 2 - 2 | 0.372 | 111 |
106 | 100 | UCLA | 0 - 4 | 0.365 | 1 |
107 | 105 | Tulsa | 1 - 3 | 0.364 | 74 |
108 | 112 | East Carolina | 2 - 2 | 0.361 | 117 |
109 | 108 | Miami, Ohio | 1 - 4 | 0.352 | 52 |
110 | 107 | Massachusetts | 2 - 4 | 0.350 | 94 |
111 | 102 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 3 | 0.336 | 91 |
112 | 125 | Georgia St. | 2 - 3 | 0.325 | 100 |
113 | 113 | Oregon St. | 1 - 4 | 0.319 | 26 |
114 | 110 | Old Dominion | 1 - 4 | 0.317 | 88 |
115 | 119 | Louisiana | 1 - 3 | 0.308 | 34 |
116 | 121 | Central Michigan | 1 - 4 | 0.307 | 40 |
117 | 111 | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | 0.294 | 116 |
118 | 115 | Rutgers | 1 - 4 | 0.294 | 27 |
119 | 117 | Western Kentucky | 1 - 4 | 0.290 | 93 |
120 | 114 | South Alabama | 1 - 4 | 0.282 | 51 |
121 | 120 | Connecticut | 1 - 4 | 0.271 | 12 |
122 | 124 | Colorado St. | 1 - 4 | 0.268 | 77 |
123 | 118 | Kent St. | 1 - 4 | 0.268 | 60 |
124 | 123 | Texas-San Antonio | 2 - 3 | 0.253 | 126 |
125 | 126 | Rice | 1 - 4 | 0.240 | 84 |
126 | 122 | Bowling Green | 1 - 4 | 0.236 | 82 |
127 | 128 | San Jose St. | 0 - 4 | 0.217 | 71 |
128 | 127 | New Mexico St. | 1 - 4 | 0.198 | 113 |
129 | 129 | Texas St. | 1 - 3 | 0.195 | 130 |
130 | 130 | Wild Card U. | 7 - 92 | 0.142 | 0 |
131 | 131 | Texas-El Paso | 0 - 5 | 0.083 | 129 |
2018 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2018 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 33-5 | .697 |
Big Ten | 27-13 | .634 |
Big Twelve | 21-7 | .629 |
ACC | 33-12 | .618 |
Pac-12 | 23-11 | .599 |
Independents | 15-13 | .511 |
AAC | 24-16 | .504 |
Mountain West | 23-20 | .474 |
MAC | 17-27 | .429 |
Sun Belt | 16-16 | .419 |
Conference USA | 21-28 | .409 |