The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of October 2, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.08 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-2-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 5 - 0 | 0.901 | 24 |
2 | 5 | Michigan | 5 - 0 | 0.896 | 18 |
3 | 2 | Clemson | 5 - 0 | 0.888 | 10 |
4 | 4 | Ohio St. | 4 - 0 | 0.860 | 55 |
5 | 3 | Tennessee | 5 - 0 | 0.854 | 5 |
6 | 9 | Texas A&M | 5 - 0 | 0.852 | 20 |
7 | 11 | Washington | 5 - 0 | 0.847 | 75 |
8 | 8 | Houston | 5 - 0 | 0.840 | 91 |
9 | 10 | Wisconsin | 4 - 1 | 0.815 | 6 |
10 | 7 | Louisville | 4 - 1 | 0.800 | 23 |
11 | 17 | Western Michigan | 5 - 0 | 0.799 | 62 |
12 | 16 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 0 | 0.799 | 80 |
13 | 12 | Nebraska | 5 - 0 | 0.790 | 74 |
14 | 15 | Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.769 | 47 |
15 | 6 | Stanford | 3 - 1 | 0.757 | 2 |
16 | 19 | Boise State | 4 - 0 | 0.753 | 77 |
17 | 24 | Louisiana St. | 3 - 2 | 0.749 | 16 |
18 | 23 | Auburn | 3 - 2 | 0.741 | 11 |
19 | 13 | Baylor | 5 - 0 | 0.739 | 122 |
20 | 21 | West Virginia | 4 - 0 | 0.736 | 49 |
21 | 28 | Colorado | 4 - 1 | 0.719 | 56 |
22 | 32 | North Carolina | 4 - 1 | 0.712 | 32 |
23 | 20 | Arkansas | 4 - 1 | 0.711 | 48 |
24 | 25 | Mississippi | 3 - 2 | 0.709 | 15 |
25 | 27 | UCLA | 3 - 2 | 0.709 | 4 |
26 | 26 | Oklahoma | 2 - 2 | 0.693 | 8 |
27 | 18 | Florida St. | 3 - 2 | 0.691 | 9 |
28 | 22 | Virginia Tech | 3 - 1 | 0.689 | 46 |
29 | 14 | Utah | 4 - 1 | 0.683 | 68 |
30 | 52 | Maryland | 4 - 0 | 0.683 | 116 |
31 | 43 | Troy | 4 - 1 | 0.679 | 65 |
32 | 49 | Air Force | 4 - 0 | 0.670 | 113 |
33 | 39 | South Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.666 | 98 |
34 | 38 | Oklahoma St. | 3 - 2 | 0.654 | 45 |
35 | 34 | Georgia | 3 - 2 | 0.645 | 7 |
36 | 46 | Southern California | 2 - 3 | 0.643 | 1 |
37 | 30 | Memphis | 3 - 1 | 0.640 | 115 |
38 | 58 | North Carolina St. | 3 - 1 | 0.637 | 95 |
39 | 50 | Pittsburgh | 3 - 2 | 0.634 | 34 |
40 | 31 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 2 | 0.630 | 28 |
41 | 54 | Appalachian St. | 3 - 2 | 0.626 | 22 |
42 | 37 | Kansas St. | 2 - 2 | 0.622 | 50 |
43 | 61 | Penn State | 3 - 2 | 0.619 | 14 |
44 | 55 | Western Kentucky | 4 - 1 | 0.619 | 114 |
45 | 53 | Georgia Southern | 3 - 1 | 0.616 | 87 |
46 | 33 | Arizona St. | 4 - 1 | 0.615 | 73 |
47 | 48 | Southern Mississippi | 4 - 1 | 0.612 | 121 |
48 | 29 | Wake Forest | 4 - 1 | 0.612 | 67 |
49 | 63 | California | 3 - 2 | 0.604 | 27 |
50 | 57 | Brigham Young | 2 - 3 | 0.604 | 3 |
51 | 45 | Missouri | 2 - 3 | 0.597 | 25 |
52 | 62 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 2 | 0.594 | 41 |
53 | 36 | Minnesota | 3 - 1 | 0.592 | 99 |
54 | 66 | Indiana | 3 - 1 | 0.590 | 72 |
55 | 44 | Toledo | 3 - 1 | 0.585 | 120 |
56 | 35 | Michigan St. | 2 - 2 | 0.583 | 33 |
57 | 47 | Navy | 3 - 1 | 0.581 | 92 |
58 | 65 | Texas Tech | 3 - 1 | 0.576 | 112 |
59 | 42 | Texas Christian | 3 - 2 | 0.575 | 90 |
60 | 67 | Washington St. | 2 - 2 | 0.574 | 78 |
61 | 40 | San Diego St. | 3 - 1 | 0.567 | 109 |
62 | 72 | Middle Tennessee | 4 - 1 | 0.564 | 124 |
63 | 69 | Temple | 3 - 2 | 0.554 | 119 |
64 | 51 | Texas | 2 - 2 | 0.552 | 43 |
65 | 56 | Central Michigan | 3 - 2 | 0.547 | 63 |
66 | 90 | Central Florida | 3 - 2 | 0.545 | 54 |
67 | 64 | Tulsa | 3 - 1 | 0.533 | 104 |
68 | 41 | Iowa | 3 - 2 | 0.533 | 127 |
69 | 60 | Oregon | 2 - 3 | 0.532 | 37 |
70 | 75 | Northwestern | 2 - 3 | 0.528 | 35 |
71 | 74 | Boston College | 3 - 2 | 0.528 | 107 |
72 | 71 | Arizona | 2 - 3 | 0.518 | 31 |
73 | 70 | Notre Dame | 2 - 3 | 0.517 | 69 |
74 | 73 | Army | 3 - 1 | 0.504 | 125 |
75 | 81 | Akron | 3 - 2 | 0.497 | 57 |
76 | 87 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 1 | 0.495 | 118 |
77 | 59 | Cincinnati | 3 - 2 | 0.489 | 96 |
78 | 80 | Kentucky | 2 - 3 | 0.482 | 17 |
79 | 96 | Old Dominion | 3 - 2 | 0.481 | 108 |
80 | 85 | Ohio | 3 - 2 | 0.475 | 110 |
81 | 84 | South Carolina | 2 - 3 | 0.466 | 21 |
82 | 93 | Tulane | 3 - 2 | 0.463 | 111 |
83 | 99 | Wyoming | 3 - 2 | 0.461 | 93 |
84 | 88 | Utah St. | 2 - 3 | 0.457 | 58 |
85 | 101 | South Alabama | 3 - 2 | 0.456 | 82 |
86 | 89 | Illinois | 1 - 3 | 0.456 | 19 |
87 | 68 | Duke | 2 - 3 | 0.450 | 85 |
88 | 95 | Louisiana Tech | 2 - 3 | 0.446 | 88 |
89 | 79 | Marshall | 1 - 3 | 0.443 | 51 |
90 | 78 | Syracuse | 2 - 3 | 0.435 | 44 |
91 | 83 | East Carolina | 2 - 3 | 0.432 | 52 |
92 | 91 | Vanderbilt | 1 - 4 | 0.430 | 13 |
93 | 82 | Rutgers | 2 - 3 | 0.422 | 30 |
94 | 77 | Ball St. | 3 - 2 | 0.420 | 123 |
95 | 104 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 3 | 0.403 | 100 |
96 | 103 | Virginia | 2 - 3 | 0.403 | 86 |
97 | 86 | Oregon St. | 1 - 3 | 0.402 | 29 |
98 | 94 | Connecticut | 2 - 3 | 0.393 | 66 |
99 | 98 | New Mexico | 2 - 2 | 0.391 | 128 |
100 | 76 | Purdue | 2 - 2 | 0.390 | 102 |
101 | 105 | Texas St. | 2 - 2 | 0.377 | 40 |
102 | 92 | Colorado St. | 2 - 3 | 0.373 | 94 |
103 | 117 | Hawaii | 2 - 3 | 0.356 | 42 |
104 | 102 | LA-Lafayette | 2 - 3 | 0.342 | 103 |
105 | 106 | Idaho | 2 - 3 | 0.337 | 36 |
106 | 100 | Southern Methodist | 2 - 3 | 0.335 | 71 |
107 | 122 | Northern Illinois | 1 - 4 | 0.315 | 79 |
108 | 97 | Nevada | 2 - 3 | 0.302 | 126 |
109 | 111 | Iowa St. | 1 - 4 | 0.302 | 81 |
110 | 109 | North Texas | 2 - 3 | 0.298 | 106 |
111 | 125 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 3 | 0.293 | 97 |
112 | 113 | LA-Monroe | 1 - 3 | 0.292 | 26 |
113 | 115 | Texas-San Antonio | 1 - 3 | 0.288 | 101 |
114 | 110 | Kansas | 1 - 3 | 0.287 | 70 |
115 | 114 | Kent | 1 - 4 | 0.286 | 64 |
116 | 108 | Fresno St. | 1 - 4 | 0.281 | 59 |
117 | 119 | Massachusetts | 1 - 4 | 0.278 | 53 |
118 | 107 | San Jose St. | 1 - 4 | 0.278 | 105 |
119 | 116 | Georgia St. | 0 - 4 | 0.272 | 12 |
120 | 112 | Bowling Green | 1 - 4 | 0.268 | 38 |
121 | 118 | Charlotte | 1 - 4 | 0.249 | 60 |
122 | 120 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 4 | 0.245 | 84 |
123 | 123 | Arkansas St. | 0 - 4 | 0.244 | 61 |
124 | 128 | Florida International | 1 - 4 | 0.233 | 89 |
125 | 121 | Buffalo | 1 - 3 | 0.213 | 117 |
126 | 124 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 4 | 0.206 | 76 |
127 | 127 | Rice | 0 - 5 | 0.206 | 39 |
128 | 126 | Miami, Ohio | 0 - 5 | 0.192 | 83 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 87 | 0.154 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 24-7 | .679 |
ACC | 25-10 | .636 |
Pac-12 | 23-9 | .634 |
Big Ten | 30-8 | .626 |
Big Twelve | 15-11 | .574 |
AAC | 22-10 | .539 |
Independents | 8-7 | .475 |
Mountain West | 21-16 | .441 |
MAC | 18-19 | .424 |
Sun Belt | 12-17 | .412 |
Conference USA | 14-24 | .376 |