The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of October 23, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .556, or about 3.04 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-16-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 8 - 0 | 0.944 | 6 |
2 | 2 | Michigan | 7 - 0 | 0.932 | 21 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 7 - 0 | 0.913 | 18 |
4 | 4 | Ohio St. | 6 - 1 | 0.871 | 24 |
5 | 6 | Washington | 7 - 0 | 0.870 | 107 |
6 | 7 | Western Michigan | 8 - 0 | 0.851 | 88 |
7 | 5 | Texas A&M | 6 - 1 | 0.844 | 9 |
8 | 9 | Louisville | 6 - 1 | 0.842 | 30 |
9 | 10 | Boise State | 7 - 0 | 0.829 | 51 |
10 | 14 | Auburn | 5 - 2 | 0.822 | 14 |
11 | 8 | Nebraska | 7 - 0 | 0.821 | 84 |
12 | 12 | West Virginia | 6 - 0 | 0.818 | 58 |
13 | 15 | Wisconsin | 5 - 2 | 0.807 | 5 |
14 | 11 | Florida | 5 - 1 | 0.807 | 49 |
15 | 18 | Colorado | 6 - 2 | 0.796 | 20 |
16 | 17 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 2 | 0.789 | 25 |
17 | 16 | Tennessee | 5 - 2 | 0.783 | 1 |
18 | 19 | Baylor | 6 - 0 | 0.774 | 122 |
19 | 35 | Penn State | 5 - 2 | 0.739 | 4 |
20 | 20 | Florida St. | 5 - 2 | 0.738 | 13 |
21 | 30 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 2 | 0.738 | 45 |
22 | 24 | Utah | 7 - 1 | 0.731 | 70 |
23 | 23 | Southern California | 4 - 3 | 0.723 | 2 |
24 | 29 | Troy | 6 - 1 | 0.719 | 94 |
25 | 28 | Washington St. | 5 - 2 | 0.715 | 42 |
26 | 22 | Oklahoma | 5 - 2 | 0.714 | 22 |
27 | 13 | Houston | 6 - 2 | 0.712 | 87 |
28 | 32 | North Carolina | 6 - 2 | 0.703 | 31 |
29 | 21 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 3 | 0.701 | 39 |
30 | 39 | Toledo | 6 - 1 | 0.680 | 120 |
31 | 38 | Appalachian St. | 5 - 2 | 0.671 | 52 |
32 | 44 | Navy | 5 - 1 | 0.663 | 77 |
33 | 26 | South Florida | 6 - 2 | 0.659 | 92 |
34 | 41 | Minnesota | 5 - 2 | 0.658 | 61 |
35 | 36 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 2 | 0.657 | 53 |
36 | 31 | Mississippi | 3 - 4 | 0.655 | 7 |
37 | 34 | Stanford | 4 - 3 | 0.653 | 3 |
38 | 27 | Memphis | 5 - 2 | 0.652 | 101 |
39 | 47 | San Diego St. | 6 - 1 | 0.648 | 125 |
40 | 48 | Maryland | 5 - 2 | 0.646 | 82 |
41 | 25 | Arkansas | 5 - 3 | 0.646 | 15 |
42 | 43 | Oklahoma St. | 5 - 2 | 0.640 | 102 |
43 | 40 | Brigham Young | 4 - 4 | 0.638 | 11 |
44 | 58 | Temple | 5 - 3 | 0.632 | 65 |
45 | 37 | Wake Forest | 5 - 2 | 0.629 | 55 |
46 | 33 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 3 | 0.620 | 34 |
47 | 46 | Georgia Tech | 4 - 3 | 0.618 | 35 |
48 | 42 | Arizona St. | 5 - 3 | 0.617 | 26 |
49 | 50 | Kansas St. | 4 - 3 | 0.613 | 54 |
50 | 52 | Northwestern | 4 - 3 | 0.607 | 41 |
51 | 63 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 3 | 0.607 | 75 |
52 | 49 | Iowa | 5 - 3 | 0.601 | 95 |
53 | 61 | Middle Tennessee | 5 - 2 | 0.601 | 99 |
54 | 59 | California | 4 - 3 | 0.589 | 33 |
55 | 45 | UCLA | 3 - 5 | 0.589 | 10 |
56 | 51 | Georgia | 4 - 3 | 0.580 | 32 |
57 | 60 | Tulsa | 5 - 2 | 0.576 | 98 |
58 | 67 | Central Florida | 4 - 3 | 0.570 | 63 |
59 | 53 | Texas Christian | 4 - 3 | 0.552 | 74 |
60 | 62 | Wyoming | 5 - 2 | 0.550 | 93 |
61 | 55 | Missouri | 2 - 5 | 0.542 | 16 |
62 | 73 | Kentucky | 4 - 3 | 0.537 | 28 |
63 | 54 | Central Michigan | 5 - 3 | 0.532 | 83 |
64 | 75 | Vanderbilt | 4 - 4 | 0.528 | 37 |
65 | 72 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 3 | 0.526 | 116 |
66 | 56 | Air Force | 4 - 3 | 0.522 | 100 |
67 | 64 | Texas Tech | 3 - 4 | 0.519 | 47 |
68 | 70 | Georgia Southern | 4 - 3 | 0.518 | 109 |
69 | 74 | Southern Mississippi | 4 - 3 | 0.517 | 97 |
70 | 57 | Indiana | 3 - 4 | 0.516 | 27 |
71 | 69 | Eastern Michigan | 5 - 3 | 0.514 | 80 |
72 | 82 | Colorado St. | 4 - 4 | 0.513 | 43 |
73 | 79 | Akron | 5 - 3 | 0.502 | 81 |
74 | 66 | Texas | 3 - 4 | 0.500 | 60 |
75 | 78 | Syracuse | 4 - 4 | 0.490 | 40 |
76 | 68 | Army | 4 - 3 | 0.486 | 127 |
77 | 76 | Duke | 3 - 4 | 0.486 | 57 |
78 | 71 | Oregon | 2 - 5 | 0.485 | 17 |
79 | 65 | Old Dominion | 4 - 3 | 0.474 | 103 |
80 | 80 | Oregon St. | 2 - 5 | 0.466 | 8 |
81 | 77 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 5 | 0.466 | 29 |
82 | 89 | Utah St. | 3 - 4 | 0.457 | 73 |
83 | 94 | New Mexico | 4 - 3 | 0.454 | 119 |
84 | 88 | Cincinnati | 4 - 3 | 0.449 | 114 |
85 | 106 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 4 | 0.448 | 38 |
86 | 84 | Illinois | 2 - 5 | 0.447 | 19 |
87 | 103 | North Texas | 4 - 3 | 0.444 | 96 |
88 | 81 | Notre Dame | 2 - 5 | 0.443 | 64 |
89 | 90 | Ohio | 5 - 3 | 0.436 | 124 |
90 | 87 | Arizona | 2 - 5 | 0.430 | 23 |
91 | 96 | South Carolina | 3 - 4 | 0.424 | 48 |
92 | 83 | Tulane | 3 - 4 | 0.421 | 85 |
93 | 95 | Texas-San Antonio | 4 - 3 | 0.420 | 118 |
94 | 85 | Michigan St. | 2 - 5 | 0.413 | 36 |
95 | 92 | Idaho | 4 - 4 | 0.401 | 56 |
96 | 86 | Boston College | 3 - 4 | 0.400 | 86 |
97 | 104 | Hawaii | 4 - 4 | 0.393 | 90 |
98 | 100 | Purdue | 3 - 4 | 0.388 | 72 |
99 | 91 | Connecticut | 3 - 5 | 0.385 | 59 |
100 | 101 | South Alabama | 3 - 4 | 0.383 | 91 |
101 | 93 | East Carolina | 2 - 5 | 0.376 | 44 |
102 | 97 | Ball St. | 4 - 4 | 0.369 | 123 |
103 | 98 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 3 - 5 | 0.368 | 104 |
104 | 108 | Georgia St. | 2 - 5 | 0.354 | 62 |
105 | 99 | Virginia | 2 - 5 | 0.350 | 67 |
106 | 111 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 4 | 0.349 | 111 |
107 | 105 | Rutgers | 2 - 6 | 0.341 | 12 |
108 | 109 | Northern Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.334 | 79 |
109 | 102 | Marshall | 2 - 5 | 0.333 | 105 |
110 | 107 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 4 | 0.333 | 66 |
111 | 120 | Charlotte | 3 - 5 | 0.283 | 110 |
112 | 113 | Kent | 2 - 6 | 0.273 | 113 |
113 | 114 | Iowa St. | 1 - 6 | 0.266 | 68 |
114 | 110 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 5 | 0.264 | 71 |
115 | 118 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 5 | 0.254 | 89 |
116 | 115 | Florida International | 3 - 5 | 0.247 | 121 |
117 | 124 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 6 | 0.246 | 115 |
118 | 116 | Nevada | 3 - 5 | 0.244 | 128 |
119 | 126 | Rice | 1 - 6 | 0.239 | 76 |
120 | 117 | Kansas | 1 - 6 | 0.236 | 46 |
121 | 119 | San Jose St. | 2 - 6 | 0.232 | 106 |
122 | 112 | Texas St. | 2 - 5 | 0.231 | 108 |
123 | 122 | Fresno St. | 1 - 7 | 0.212 | 69 |
124 | 123 | Massachusetts | 1 - 7 | 0.201 | 78 |
125 | 121 | Bowling Green | 1 - 7 | 0.199 | 50 |
126 | 125 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 6 | 0.180 | 117 |
127 | 127 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 6 | 0.162 | 112 |
128 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 91 | 0.130 | 0 |
129 | 128 | Buffalo | 1 - 6 | 0.113 | 126 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 31-9 | .669 |
Pac-12 | 24-10 | .639 |
ACC | 36-10 | .635 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .628 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .563 |
AAC | 29-14 | .545 |
Mountain West | 24-22 | .452 |
Independents | 11-19 | .442 |
MAC | 23-25 | .421 |
Sun Belt | 16-23 | .407 |
Conference USA | 19-30 | .387 |