The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of October 30, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .559, or about 3.11 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-30-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 8 - 0 | 0.945 | 4 |
2 | 2 | Michigan | 8 - 0 | 0.934 | 28 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 8 - 0 | 0.913 | 11 |
4 | 5 | Washington | 8 - 0 | 0.888 | 83 |
5 | 4 | Ohio St. | 7 - 1 | 0.886 | 20 |
6 | 7 | Texas A&M | 7 - 1 | 0.851 | 15 |
7 | 6 | Western Michigan | 8 - 0 | 0.837 | 105 |
8 | 10 | Auburn | 6 - 2 | 0.836 | 12 |
9 | 8 | Louisville | 7 - 1 | 0.831 | 47 |
10 | 14 | Florida | 6 - 1 | 0.828 | 51 |
11 | 13 | Wisconsin | 6 - 2 | 0.825 | 2 |
12 | 15 | Colorado | 6 - 2 | 0.796 | 23 |
13 | 11 | Nebraska | 7 - 1 | 0.794 | 53 |
14 | 16 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 2 | 0.787 | 31 |
15 | 9 | Boise State | 7 - 1 | 0.776 | 52 |
16 | 19 | Penn State | 6 - 2 | 0.766 | 8 |
17 | 21 | Virginia Tech | 6 - 2 | 0.756 | 39 |
18 | 12 | West Virginia | 6 - 1 | 0.750 | 57 |
19 | 17 | Tennessee | 5 - 3 | 0.743 | 1 |
20 | 23 | Southern California | 5 - 3 | 0.736 | 6 |
21 | 26 | Oklahoma | 6 - 2 | 0.728 | 36 |
22 | 24 | Troy | 6 - 1 | 0.722 | 95 |
23 | 27 | Houston | 7 - 2 | 0.721 | 86 |
24 | 25 | Washington St. | 6 - 2 | 0.718 | 49 |
25 | 18 | Baylor | 6 - 1 | 0.715 | 120 |
26 | 20 | Florida St. | 5 - 3 | 0.714 | 9 |
27 | 22 | Utah | 7 - 2 | 0.699 | 54 |
28 | 37 | Stanford | 5 - 3 | 0.693 | 5 |
29 | 31 | Appalachian St. | 6 - 2 | 0.690 | 71 |
30 | 39 | San Diego St. | 7 - 1 | 0.688 | 126 |
31 | 28 | North Carolina | 6 - 2 | 0.687 | 37 |
32 | 34 | Minnesota | 6 - 2 | 0.683 | 69 |
33 | 42 | Oklahoma St. | 6 - 2 | 0.681 | 84 |
34 | 33 | South Florida | 7 - 2 | 0.674 | 85 |
35 | 44 | Temple | 6 - 3 | 0.657 | 73 |
36 | 29 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 4 | 0.652 | 42 |
37 | 41 | Arkansas | 5 - 3 | 0.641 | 16 |
38 | 57 | Tulsa | 6 - 2 | 0.636 | 82 |
39 | 51 | Western Kentucky | 6 - 3 | 0.635 | 94 |
40 | 35 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 3 | 0.633 | 38 |
41 | 36 | Mississippi | 3 - 5 | 0.625 | 3 |
42 | 47 | Georgia Tech | 5 - 3 | 0.625 | 41 |
43 | 43 | Brigham Young | 4 - 4 | 0.616 | 17 |
44 | 49 | Kansas St. | 5 - 3 | 0.614 | 75 |
45 | 50 | Northwestern | 4 - 4 | 0.613 | 21 |
46 | 30 | Toledo | 6 - 2 | 0.612 | 122 |
47 | 32 | Navy | 5 - 2 | 0.610 | 78 |
48 | 52 | Iowa | 5 - 3 | 0.609 | 90 |
49 | 40 | Maryland | 5 - 3 | 0.609 | 76 |
50 | 53 | Middle Tennessee | 6 - 2 | 0.601 | 111 |
51 | 60 | Wyoming | 6 - 2 | 0.599 | 79 |
52 | 62 | Kentucky | 5 - 3 | 0.595 | 26 |
53 | 38 | Memphis | 5 - 3 | 0.576 | 100 |
54 | 48 | Arizona St. | 5 - 4 | 0.576 | 29 |
55 | 46 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 4 | 0.574 | 35 |
56 | 55 | UCLA | 3 - 5 | 0.572 | 13 |
57 | 45 | Wake Forest | 5 - 3 | 0.572 | 67 |
58 | 54 | California | 4 - 4 | 0.571 | 22 |
59 | 65 | Louisiana Tech | 6 - 3 | 0.563 | 118 |
60 | 58 | Central Florida | 4 - 4 | 0.558 | 50 |
61 | 76 | Army | 5 - 3 | 0.556 | 123 |
62 | 70 | Indiana | 4 - 4 | 0.555 | 30 |
63 | 56 | Georgia | 4 - 4 | 0.554 | 25 |
64 | 74 | Texas | 4 - 4 | 0.552 | 44 |
65 | 64 | Vanderbilt | 4 - 4 | 0.541 | 32 |
66 | 67 | Texas Tech | 4 - 4 | 0.540 | 59 |
67 | 69 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 3 | 0.539 | 104 |
68 | 78 | Oregon | 3 - 5 | 0.527 | 18 |
69 | 66 | Air Force | 5 - 3 | 0.519 | 117 |
70 | 59 | Texas Christian | 4 - 4 | 0.510 | 80 |
71 | 72 | Colorado St. | 4 - 4 | 0.507 | 46 |
72 | 91 | South Carolina | 4 - 4 | 0.505 | 33 |
73 | 88 | Notre Dame | 3 - 5 | 0.492 | 55 |
74 | 75 | Syracuse | 4 - 4 | 0.488 | 40 |
75 | 61 | Missouri | 2 - 6 | 0.488 | 24 |
76 | 79 | Old Dominion | 5 - 3 | 0.488 | 112 |
77 | 81 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 5 | 0.485 | 43 |
78 | 89 | Ohio | 6 - 3 | 0.482 | 124 |
79 | 68 | Georgia Southern | 4 - 4 | 0.481 | 87 |
80 | 85 | Southern Methodist | 4 - 4 | 0.477 | 45 |
81 | 77 | Duke | 3 - 5 | 0.475 | 48 |
82 | 83 | New Mexico | 5 - 3 | 0.473 | 121 |
83 | 63 | Central Michigan | 5 - 4 | 0.472 | 103 |
84 | 96 | Boston College | 4 - 4 | 0.471 | 66 |
85 | 93 | Texas-San Antonio | 5 - 3 | 0.458 | 119 |
86 | 80 | Oregon St. | 2 - 6 | 0.451 | 7 |
87 | 71 | Eastern Michigan | 5 - 4 | 0.450 | 102 |
88 | 73 | Akron | 5 - 4 | 0.436 | 99 |
89 | 101 | East Carolina | 3 - 5 | 0.435 | 63 |
90 | 94 | Michigan St. | 2 - 6 | 0.429 | 14 |
91 | 84 | Cincinnati | 4 - 4 | 0.423 | 92 |
92 | 87 | North Texas | 4 - 4 | 0.416 | 91 |
93 | 100 | South Alabama | 4 - 4 | 0.410 | 101 |
94 | 82 | Utah St. | 3 - 5 | 0.409 | 72 |
95 | 86 | Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.402 | 19 |
96 | 95 | Idaho | 4 - 4 | 0.395 | 64 |
97 | 92 | Tulane | 3 - 5 | 0.389 | 93 |
98 | 90 | Arizona | 2 - 6 | 0.389 | 27 |
99 | 110 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 4 | 0.381 | 96 |
100 | 102 | Ball St. | 4 - 4 | 0.364 | 127 |
101 | 97 | Hawaii | 4 - 5 | 0.361 | 98 |
102 | 98 | Purdue | 3 - 5 | 0.357 | 62 |
103 | 107 | Rutgers | 2 - 6 | 0.344 | 10 |
104 | 105 | Virginia | 2 - 6 | 0.343 | 58 |
105 | 106 | LA-Lafayette | 3 - 4 | 0.343 | 110 |
106 | 108 | Northern Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.343 | 77 |
107 | 104 | Georgia St. | 2 - 6 | 0.332 | 68 |
108 | 112 | Kent | 3 - 6 | 0.329 | 97 |
109 | 103 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 3 - 6 | 0.323 | 115 |
110 | 99 | Connecticut | 3 - 6 | 0.317 | 70 |
111 | 117 | Miami, Ohio | 3 - 6 | 0.299 | 109 |
112 | 109 | Marshall | 2 - 6 | 0.297 | 108 |
113 | 111 | Charlotte | 3 - 5 | 0.270 | 113 |
114 | 113 | Iowa St. | 1 - 7 | 0.268 | 60 |
115 | 121 | San Jose St. | 3 - 6 | 0.264 | 107 |
116 | 115 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 6 | 0.261 | 56 |
117 | 118 | Nevada | 3 - 5 | 0.257 | 128 |
118 | 124 | Massachusetts | 2 - 7 | 0.253 | 89 |
119 | 116 | Florida International | 3 - 6 | 0.251 | 116 |
120 | 122 | Texas St. | 2 - 5 | 0.227 | 106 |
121 | 114 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 6 | 0.226 | 81 |
122 | 119 | Rice | 1 - 7 | 0.217 | 65 |
123 | 120 | Kansas | 1 - 7 | 0.209 | 34 |
124 | 123 | Fresno St. | 1 - 8 | 0.199 | 74 |
125 | 125 | Bowling Green | 1 - 7 | 0.194 | 61 |
126 | 129 | Buffalo | 2 - 6 | 0.174 | 125 |
127 | 127 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 7 | 0.169 | 88 |
128 | 126 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 7 | 0.148 | 114 |
129 | 128 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 93 | 0.125 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 33-9 | .673 |
Pac-12 | 24-10 | .635 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .629 |
ACC | 36-12 | .624 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .557 |
AAC | 29-14 | .539 |
Independents | 14-19 | .479 |
Mountain West | 24-22 | .448 |
MAC | 23-25 | .416 |
Sun Belt | 16-24 | .406 |
Conference USA | 19-30 | .389 |