ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11.

The estimated home field advantage is .558, or about 3.21 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 11-1-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 6 - 0 0.921 0
2 2 Clemson 7 - 0 0.896 0
3 4 Ohio St. 2 - 0 0.879 0
4 3 Brigham Young 7 - 0 0.874 0
5 6 Georgia 4 - 1 0.868 0
6 7 Notre Dame 6 - 0 0.851 0
7 10 Cincinnati 5 - 0 0.841 0
8 8 Marshall 5 - 0 0.823 0
9 9 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.805 0
10 19 Coastal Carolina 6 - 0 0.793 0
11 5 Oklahoma St. 4 - 1 0.779 0
12 13 Florida 3 - 1 0.778 0
13 14 Indiana 2 - 0 0.763 0
14 29 Northwestern 2 - 0 0.742 0
15 11 Southern California 0 - 0 0.738 0
16 25 Auburn 4 - 2 0.738 0
17 15 Texas A&M 4 - 1 0.734 0
18 18 Miami, Florida 5 - 1 0.730 0
19 27 Oklahoma 4 - 2 0.711 0
20 20 Louisiana 5 - 1 0.709 0
21 17 Oregon 0 - 0 0.708 0
22 30 Purdue 2 - 0 0.696 0
23 22 California 0 - 0 0.691 0
24 32 Boise State 2 - 0 0.686 0
25 43 Texas 4 - 2 0.683 0
26 28 Iowa St. 4 - 2 0.682 0
27 34 Virginia Tech 4 - 2 0.675 0
28 23 Stanford 0 - 0 0.673 0
29 12 Penn State 0 - 2 0.669 0
30 24 Appalachian St. 4 - 1 0.657 0
31 21 North Carolina 4 - 2 0.653 0
32 49 Wake Forest 4 - 2 0.648 0
33 48 Central Florida 4 - 2 0.643 0
34 36 Southern Methodist 6 - 1 0.642 0
35 35 Army 6 - 1 0.638 0
36 56 West Virginia 4 - 2 0.638 0
37 16 Michigan 1 - 1 0.622 0
38 42 Tulsa 3 - 1 0.621 0
39 38 Arizona St. 0 - 0 0.619 0
40 40 Utah 0 - 0 0.616 0
41 66 San Diego St. 2 - 0 0.606 0
42 26 Kansas St. 4 - 2 0.603 0
43 50 North Carolina St. 4 - 2 0.598 0
44 44 Kentucky 2 - 4 0.595 0
45 62 Florida Atlantic 2 - 1 0.581 0
46 45 Tennessee 2 - 3 0.578 0
47 31 Iowa 0 - 2 0.577 0
48 52 Nebraska 0 - 1 0.575 0
49 68 Nevada 2 - 0 0.575 0
50 51 Washington 0 - 0 0.567 0
51 54 Arkansas 2 - 3 0.562 0
52 55 Liberty 6 - 0 0.562 0
53 64 Mississippi 2 - 4 0.557 0
54 59 Boston College 4 - 3 0.556 0
55 53 South Carolina 2 - 3 0.556 0
56 57 Buffalo 0 - 0 0.555 0
57 58 Washington St. 0 - 0 0.553 0
58 33 Memphis 3 - 2 0.549 0
59 46 AL-Birmingham 4 - 3 0.534 0
60 39 Louisiana St. 2 - 3 0.533 0
61 60 Colorado 0 - 0 0.533 0
62 41 Houston 2 - 2 0.528 0
63 47 Missouri 2 - 3 0.527 0
64 70 Georgia Southern 4 - 2 0.520 0
65 77 Texas Christian 2 - 3 0.519 0
66 82 Virginia 2 - 4 0.506 0
67 96 San Jose St. 2 - 0 0.500 0
68 80 Rutgers 1 - 1 0.492 0
69 89 Wyoming 1 - 1 0.492 0
70 37 Minnesota 0 - 2 0.484 0
71 87 Troy 4 - 2 0.481 0
72 69 Pittsburgh 3 - 4 0.480 0
73 71 Miami, Ohio 0 - 0 0.473 0
74 72 Arizona 0 - 0 0.468 0
75 85 Maryland 1 - 1 0.459 0
76 67 Baylor 1 - 3 0.459 0
77 76 UCLA 0 - 0 0.455 0
78 102 Michigan St. 1 - 1 0.454 0
79 61 Illinois 0 - 2 0.450 0
80 88 Tulane 3 - 4 0.438 0
81 65 Air Force 1 - 2 0.434 0
82 81 Ohio 0 - 0 0.428 0
83 91 Louisiana Tech 4 - 3 0.426 0
84 79 Louisville 2 - 5 0.418 0
85 86 Oregon St. 0 - 0 0.417 0
86 78 Texas Tech 2 - 4 0.408 0
87 90 Northern Illinois 0 - 0 0.404 0
88 92 Ball St. 0 - 0 0.400 0
89 105 Duke 2 - 5 0.400 0
90 63 Arkansas St. 3 - 4 0.399 0
91 73 Georgia St. 2 - 3 0.397 0
92 93 Toledo 0 - 0 0.396 0
93 75 Mississippi St. 1 - 4 0.391 0
94 84 Texas-San Antonio 4 - 4 0.382 0
95 94 Hawaii 1 - 1 0.373 0
96 74 Charlotte 2 - 3 0.368 0
97 100 Western Michigan 0 - 0 0.365 0
98 101 Kent St. 0 - 0 0.365 0
99 109 Fresno St. 1 - 1 0.358 0
100 98 Florida St. 2 - 4 0.337 0
101 103 South Alabama 3 - 3 0.334 0
102 83 Utah St. 0 - 2 0.329 0
103 97 Navy 3 - 4 0.324 0
104 99 Colorado St. 0 - 1 0.323 0
105 110 Eastern Michigan 0 - 0 0.302 0
106 107 Rice 1 - 1 0.301 0
107 112 Central Michigan 0 - 0 0.300 0
108 104 Georgia Tech 2 - 5 0.298 0
109 108 East Carolina 1 - 4 0.282 0
110 95 Temple 1 - 3 0.256 0
111 111 Western Kentucky 2 - 5 0.252 0
112 119 New Mexico 0 - 1 0.250 0
113 115 North Texas 2 - 3 0.247 0
114 114 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 2 0.246 0
115 117 Texas St. 1 - 7 0.244 0
116 116 Texas-El Paso 3 - 3 0.243 0
117 113 Syracuse 1 - 6 0.240 0
118 106 Vanderbilt 0 - 4 0.230 0
119 120 Bowling Green 0 - 0 0.228 0
120 118 Southern Mississippi 1 - 5 0.198 0
121 121 South Florida 1 - 5 0.194 0
122 122 Middle Tennessee 2 - 5 0.186 0
123 124 Massachusetts 0 - 1 0.184 0
124 123 Kansas 0 - 6 0.168 0
125 125 Florida International 0 - 3 0.165 0
126 127 Akron 0 - 0 0.142 0
127 126 Wild Card U. 1 - 27 0.111 0
128 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 7 0.083 0

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .619
SEC 0-0 .612
Pac-12 0-0 .586
Big Twelve 5-3 .565
Independents 19-2 .564
ACC 9-2 .552
AAC 10-6 .484
Sun Belt 14-12 .462
Mountain West 1-0.431
MAC 0-0 .363
Conference USA 12-19.362

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