ARGH 2017 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2017 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Liberty.

The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.15 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.

Revised 11-20-17, slight changes to the ratings (but not ranks) for Central Florida and Temple, and flipflopped Texas A&M and Northern Illinois. Other extremely minor changes to ratings possible.

This WeekLast Week Team 2017 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 11 - 0 0.947 60
2 2 Wisconsin 11 - 0 0.936 34
3 3 Clemson 10 - 1 0.907 21
4 4 Miami, Florida 10 - 0 0.900 31
5 5 Georgia 10 - 1 0.897 32
6 6 Penn State 9 - 2 0.876 15
7 8 Notre Dame 9 - 2 0.874 6
8 7 Ohio St. 9 - 2 0.866 22
9 9 Central Florida 10 - 0 0.864 101
10 10 Auburn 9 - 2 0.847 46
11 11 Oklahoma 10 - 1 0.846 53
12 13 Texas Christian 9 - 2 0.844 47
13 12 Washington 9 - 2 0.835 68
14 15 Southern California 10 - 2 0.802 17
15 14 Michigan 8 - 3 0.791 16
16 17 Virginia Tech 8 - 3 0.790 54
17 19 Mississippi St. 8 - 3 0.775 37
18 20 Stanford 8 - 3 0.774 29
19 25 Northwestern 8 - 3 0.771 14
20 21 Washington St. 9 - 2 0.760 58
21 24 Boise State 9 - 2 0.753 73
22 23 Michigan St. 8 - 3 0.750 4
23 18 Iowa 6 - 5 0.747 1
24 16 Oklahoma St. 8 - 3 0.747 40
25 28 Wake Forest 7 - 4 0.744 11
26 26 Louisiana St. 8 - 3 0.736 51
27 27 Memphis 9 - 1 0.731 86
28 22 North Carolina St. 7 - 4 0.731 9
29 29 San Diego St. 9 - 2 0.719 87
30 30 Iowa St. 7 - 4 0.706 45
31 39 Louisville 7 - 4 0.703 35
32 31 South Carolina 8 - 3 0.695 59
33 36 Boston College 6 - 5 0.694 5
34 32 South Florida 9 - 1 0.692 125
35 33 Toledo 9 - 2 0.686 96
36 42 Texas 6 - 5 0.676 33
37 40 Florida Atlantic 8 - 3 0.671 88
38 43 Fresno St. 8 - 3 0.667 93
39 47 Purdue 5 - 6 0.667 8
40 55 Florida St. 4 - 6 0.652 2
41 35 West Virginia 7 - 4 0.645 61
42 44 Texas A&M 7 - 4 0.642 55
43 46 Northern Illinois 8 - 3 0.642 102
44 34 Georgia Tech 5 - 5 0.637 20
45 53 Oregon 6 - 5 0.634 28
46 45 Navy 6 - 4 0.621 42
47 37 Arizona 7 - 4 0.618 75
48 38 Army 8 - 3 0.616 105
49 41 Ohio 8 - 3 0.610 114
50 48 Troy 8 - 2 0.608 121
51 54 Arizona St. 6 - 5 0.604 26
52 62 Missouri 6 - 5 0.596 67
53 68 Duke 5 - 6 0.594 39
54 50 Kentucky 7 - 4 0.588 56
55 69 Indiana 5 - 6 0.583 30
56 57 UCLA 5 - 6 0.582 10
57 51 Wyoming 7 - 4 0.582 91
58 61 Utah 5 - 6 0.572 50
59 67 Kansas St. 6 - 5 0.572 76
60 49 Houston 6 - 4 0.565 84
61 56 Southern Methodist 6 - 5 0.564 70
62 66 North Texas 8 - 3 0.563 97
63 52 Minnesota 5 - 6 0.561 44
64 65 Virginia 6 - 5 0.560 41
65 60 Texas Tech 5 - 6 0.554 48
66 63 California 5 - 6 0.540 38
67 58 Marshall 7 - 4 0.537 113
68 59 Syracuse 4 - 7 0.532 13
69 76 Florida 4 - 6 0.532 12
70 64 Maryland 4 - 7 0.532 3
71 73 Nebraska 4 - 7 0.524 7
72 71 Colorado St. 7 - 5 0.522 100
73 79 Utah St. 6 - 5 0.516 89
74 70 Western Michigan 6 - 5 0.514 99
75 75 Central Michigan 7 - 4 0.504 103
76 74 Colorado 5 - 6 0.501 64
77 78 Arkansas St. 6 - 3 0.490 130
78 72 Mississippi 5 - 6 0.485 62
79 87 Akron 6 - 5 0.475 79
80 84 Southern Mississippi 7 - 4 0.466 124
81 92 Texas-San Antonio 6 - 4 0.462 127
82 80 Arkansas 4 - 7 0.459 25
83 82 Pittsburgh 4 - 7 0.456 43
84 86 Appalachian St. 6 - 4 0.453 123
85 91 Tulane 5 - 6 0.452 78
86 81 Air Force 4 - 7 0.443 66
87 77 Rutgers 4 - 7 0.440 18
88 90 Eastern Michigan 4 - 7 0.439 83
89 98 North Carolina 3 - 8 0.437 27
90 83 Tennessee 4 - 7 0.434 23
91 93 Buffalo 5 - 6 0.426 104
92 85 Temple 5 - 6 0.415 74
93 89 AL-Birmingham 7 - 4 0.408 128
94 88 Vanderbilt 4 - 7 0.402 52
95 95 Louisiana Tech 5 - 6 0.396 107
96 94 Florida International 6 - 4 0.385 108
97 100 Nevada-Las Vegas 5 - 6 0.367 106
98 99 Georgia St. 6 - 3 0.356 126
99 97 Miami, Ohio 4 - 7 0.355 98
100 96 Middle Tennessee 5 - 6 0.347 112
101 105 Western Kentucky 6 - 5 0.346 129
102 106 LA-Monroe 4 - 6 0.328 109
103 104 Tulsa 2 - 9 0.328 57
104 107 Nevada 2 - 9 0.316 63
105 103 New Mexico St. 4 - 6 0.310 116
106 112 Massachusetts 4 - 7 0.307 119
107 111 Old Dominion 5 - 6 0.295 110
108 101 Cincinnati 3 - 8 0.293 71
109 113 LA-Lafayette 5 - 5 0.291 122
110 110 Connecticut 3 - 8 0.289 65
111 108 Brigham Young 3 - 9 0.282 69
112 109 New Mexico 3 - 8 0.280 82
113 114 Illinois 2 - 9 0.275 24
114 117 Baylor 1 - 10 0.265 49
115 120 East Carolina 3 - 8 0.259 80
116 102 South Alabama 4 - 7 0.259 115
117 116 Hawaii 3 - 8 0.248 94
118 119 Bowling Green 2 - 9 0.239 77
119 118 Oregon St. 1 - 10 0.233 19
120 115 Idaho 3 - 7 0.232 117
121 122 Kansas 1 - 10 0.180 36
122 121 Liberty 6 - 5 0.179 0
123 123 Kent 2 - 9 0.167 72
124 131 Georgia Southern 1 - 9 0.161 95
125 127 Coastal Carolina 2 - 9 0.157 120
126 124 Ball St. 2 - 9 0.156 92
127 125 Texas St. 2 - 9 0.144 118
128 128 Wild Card U. 13 - 94 0.129 0
129 126 Rice 1 - 10 0.124 90
130 130 San Jose St. 1 - 11 0.104 81
131 129 Charlotte 1 - 10 0.097 111
132 132 Texas-El Paso 0 - 11 0.065 85

2017 conference power ratings:

Conference2017 Record Power Rating
ACC 35-14 .667
Big Ten 32-10 .666
SEC 44-7 .645
Pac-12 27-8 .621
Big Twelve 20-10 .603
Independents 23-20 .520
AAC 25-18 .506
Mountain West 21-27.460
MAC 21-27 .434
Conference USA 23-31.369
Sun Belt 13-32 .316

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