The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2017 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Liberty.
The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.15 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 11-20-17, slight changes to the ratings (but not ranks) for Central Florida and Temple, and flipflopped Texas A&M and Northern Illinois. Other extremely minor changes to ratings possible.
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2017 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 11 - 0 | 0.947 | 60 |
2 | 2 | Wisconsin | 11 - 0 | 0.936 | 34 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 10 - 1 | 0.907 | 21 |
4 | 4 | Miami, Florida | 10 - 0 | 0.900 | 31 |
5 | 5 | Georgia | 10 - 1 | 0.897 | 32 |
6 | 6 | Penn State | 9 - 2 | 0.876 | 15 |
7 | 8 | Notre Dame | 9 - 2 | 0.874 | 6 |
8 | 7 | Ohio St. | 9 - 2 | 0.866 | 22 |
9 | 9 | Central Florida | 10 - 0 | 0.864 | 101 |
10 | 10 | Auburn | 9 - 2 | 0.847 | 46 |
11 | 11 | Oklahoma | 10 - 1 | 0.846 | 53 |
12 | 13 | Texas Christian | 9 - 2 | 0.844 | 47 |
13 | 12 | Washington | 9 - 2 | 0.835 | 68 |
14 | 15 | Southern California | 10 - 2 | 0.802 | 17 |
15 | 14 | Michigan | 8 - 3 | 0.791 | 16 |
16 | 17 | Virginia Tech | 8 - 3 | 0.790 | 54 |
17 | 19 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 3 | 0.775 | 37 |
18 | 20 | Stanford | 8 - 3 | 0.774 | 29 |
19 | 25 | Northwestern | 8 - 3 | 0.771 | 14 |
20 | 21 | Washington St. | 9 - 2 | 0.760 | 58 |
21 | 24 | Boise State | 9 - 2 | 0.753 | 73 |
22 | 23 | Michigan St. | 8 - 3 | 0.750 | 4 |
23 | 18 | Iowa | 6 - 5 | 0.747 | 1 |
24 | 16 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 3 | 0.747 | 40 |
25 | 28 | Wake Forest | 7 - 4 | 0.744 | 11 |
26 | 26 | Louisiana St. | 8 - 3 | 0.736 | 51 |
27 | 27 | Memphis | 9 - 1 | 0.731 | 86 |
28 | 22 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 4 | 0.731 | 9 |
29 | 29 | San Diego St. | 9 - 2 | 0.719 | 87 |
30 | 30 | Iowa St. | 7 - 4 | 0.706 | 45 |
31 | 39 | Louisville | 7 - 4 | 0.703 | 35 |
32 | 31 | South Carolina | 8 - 3 | 0.695 | 59 |
33 | 36 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.694 | 5 |
34 | 32 | South Florida | 9 - 1 | 0.692 | 125 |
35 | 33 | Toledo | 9 - 2 | 0.686 | 96 |
36 | 42 | Texas | 6 - 5 | 0.676 | 33 |
37 | 40 | Florida Atlantic | 8 - 3 | 0.671 | 88 |
38 | 43 | Fresno St. | 8 - 3 | 0.667 | 93 |
39 | 47 | Purdue | 5 - 6 | 0.667 | 8 |
40 | 55 | Florida St. | 4 - 6 | 0.652 | 2 |
41 | 35 | West Virginia | 7 - 4 | 0.645 | 61 |
42 | 44 | Texas A&M | 7 - 4 | 0.642 | 55 |
43 | 46 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 3 | 0.642 | 102 |
44 | 34 | Georgia Tech | 5 - 5 | 0.637 | 20 |
45 | 53 | Oregon | 6 - 5 | 0.634 | 28 |
46 | 45 | Navy | 6 - 4 | 0.621 | 42 |
47 | 37 | Arizona | 7 - 4 | 0.618 | 75 |
48 | 38 | Army | 8 - 3 | 0.616 | 105 |
49 | 41 | Ohio | 8 - 3 | 0.610 | 114 |
50 | 48 | Troy | 8 - 2 | 0.608 | 121 |
51 | 54 | Arizona St. | 6 - 5 | 0.604 | 26 |
52 | 62 | Missouri | 6 - 5 | 0.596 | 67 |
53 | 68 | Duke | 5 - 6 | 0.594 | 39 |
54 | 50 | Kentucky | 7 - 4 | 0.588 | 56 |
55 | 69 | Indiana | 5 - 6 | 0.583 | 30 |
56 | 57 | UCLA | 5 - 6 | 0.582 | 10 |
57 | 51 | Wyoming | 7 - 4 | 0.582 | 91 |
58 | 61 | Utah | 5 - 6 | 0.572 | 50 |
59 | 67 | Kansas St. | 6 - 5 | 0.572 | 76 |
60 | 49 | Houston | 6 - 4 | 0.565 | 84 |
61 | 56 | Southern Methodist | 6 - 5 | 0.564 | 70 |
62 | 66 | North Texas | 8 - 3 | 0.563 | 97 |
63 | 52 | Minnesota | 5 - 6 | 0.561 | 44 |
64 | 65 | Virginia | 6 - 5 | 0.560 | 41 |
65 | 60 | Texas Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.554 | 48 |
66 | 63 | California | 5 - 6 | 0.540 | 38 |
67 | 58 | Marshall | 7 - 4 | 0.537 | 113 |
68 | 59 | Syracuse | 4 - 7 | 0.532 | 13 |
69 | 76 | Florida | 4 - 6 | 0.532 | 12 |
70 | 64 | Maryland | 4 - 7 | 0.532 | 3 |
71 | 73 | Nebraska | 4 - 7 | 0.524 | 7 |
72 | 71 | Colorado St. | 7 - 5 | 0.522 | 100 |
73 | 79 | Utah St. | 6 - 5 | 0.516 | 89 |
74 | 70 | Western Michigan | 6 - 5 | 0.514 | 99 |
75 | 75 | Central Michigan | 7 - 4 | 0.504 | 103 |
76 | 74 | Colorado | 5 - 6 | 0.501 | 64 |
77 | 78 | Arkansas St. | 6 - 3 | 0.490 | 130 |
78 | 72 | Mississippi | 5 - 6 | 0.485 | 62 |
79 | 87 | Akron | 6 - 5 | 0.475 | 79 |
80 | 84 | Southern Mississippi | 7 - 4 | 0.466 | 124 |
81 | 92 | Texas-San Antonio | 6 - 4 | 0.462 | 127 |
82 | 80 | Arkansas | 4 - 7 | 0.459 | 25 |
83 | 82 | Pittsburgh | 4 - 7 | 0.456 | 43 |
84 | 86 | Appalachian St. | 6 - 4 | 0.453 | 123 |
85 | 91 | Tulane | 5 - 6 | 0.452 | 78 |
86 | 81 | Air Force | 4 - 7 | 0.443 | 66 |
87 | 77 | Rutgers | 4 - 7 | 0.440 | 18 |
88 | 90 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 7 | 0.439 | 83 |
89 | 98 | North Carolina | 3 - 8 | 0.437 | 27 |
90 | 83 | Tennessee | 4 - 7 | 0.434 | 23 |
91 | 93 | Buffalo | 5 - 6 | 0.426 | 104 |
92 | 85 | Temple | 5 - 6 | 0.415 | 74 |
93 | 89 | AL-Birmingham | 7 - 4 | 0.408 | 128 |
94 | 88 | Vanderbilt | 4 - 7 | 0.402 | 52 |
95 | 95 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.396 | 107 |
96 | 94 | Florida International | 6 - 4 | 0.385 | 108 |
97 | 100 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 5 - 6 | 0.367 | 106 |
98 | 99 | Georgia St. | 6 - 3 | 0.356 | 126 |
99 | 97 | Miami, Ohio | 4 - 7 | 0.355 | 98 |
100 | 96 | Middle Tennessee | 5 - 6 | 0.347 | 112 |
101 | 105 | Western Kentucky | 6 - 5 | 0.346 | 129 |
102 | 106 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 6 | 0.328 | 109 |
103 | 104 | Tulsa | 2 - 9 | 0.328 | 57 |
104 | 107 | Nevada | 2 - 9 | 0.316 | 63 |
105 | 103 | New Mexico St. | 4 - 6 | 0.310 | 116 |
106 | 112 | Massachusetts | 4 - 7 | 0.307 | 119 |
107 | 111 | Old Dominion | 5 - 6 | 0.295 | 110 |
108 | 101 | Cincinnati | 3 - 8 | 0.293 | 71 |
109 | 113 | LA-Lafayette | 5 - 5 | 0.291 | 122 |
110 | 110 | Connecticut | 3 - 8 | 0.289 | 65 |
111 | 108 | Brigham Young | 3 - 9 | 0.282 | 69 |
112 | 109 | New Mexico | 3 - 8 | 0.280 | 82 |
113 | 114 | Illinois | 2 - 9 | 0.275 | 24 |
114 | 117 | Baylor | 1 - 10 | 0.265 | 49 |
115 | 120 | East Carolina | 3 - 8 | 0.259 | 80 |
116 | 102 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.259 | 115 |
117 | 116 | Hawaii | 3 - 8 | 0.248 | 94 |
118 | 119 | Bowling Green | 2 - 9 | 0.239 | 77 |
119 | 118 | Oregon St. | 1 - 10 | 0.233 | 19 |
120 | 115 | Idaho | 3 - 7 | 0.232 | 117 |
121 | 122 | Kansas | 1 - 10 | 0.180 | 36 |
122 | 121 | Liberty | 6 - 5 | 0.179 | 0 |
123 | 123 | Kent | 2 - 9 | 0.167 | 72 |
124 | 131 | Georgia Southern | 1 - 9 | 0.161 | 95 |
125 | 127 | Coastal Carolina | 2 - 9 | 0.157 | 120 |
126 | 124 | Ball St. | 2 - 9 | 0.156 | 92 |
127 | 125 | Texas St. | 2 - 9 | 0.144 | 118 |
128 | 128 | Wild Card U. | 13 - 94 | 0.129 | 0 |
129 | 126 | Rice | 1 - 10 | 0.124 | 90 |
130 | 130 | San Jose St. | 1 - 11 | 0.104 | 81 |
131 | 129 | Charlotte | 1 - 10 | 0.097 | 111 |
132 | 132 | Texas-El Paso | 0 - 11 | 0.065 | 85 |
2017 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2017 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
ACC | 35-14 | .667 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .666 |
SEC | 44-7 | .645 |
Pac-12 | 27-8 | .621 |
Big Twelve | 20-10 | .603 |
Independents | 23-20 | .520 |
AAC | 25-18 | .506 |
Mountain West | 21-27 | .460 |
MAC | 21-27 | .434 |
Conference USA | 23-31 | .369 |
Sun Belt | 13-32 | .316 |