The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of November 19, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .558, or about 3.08 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 11-20-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 11 - 0 | 0.953 | 20 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 10 - 1 | 0.922 | 15 |
3 | 3 | Michigan | 10 - 1 | 0.917 | 33 |
4 | 4 | Clemson | 10 - 1 | 0.881 | 31 |
5 | 7 | Washington | 10 - 1 | 0.863 | 66 |
6 | 5 | Wisconsin | 9 - 2 | 0.859 | 13 |
7 | 8 | Western Michigan | 11 - 0 | 0.843 | 126 |
8 | 10 | Colorado | 9 - 2 | 0.833 | 28 |
9 | 9 | Auburn | 8 - 3 | 0.820 | 32 |
10 | 15 | Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.817 | 35 |
11 | 12 | Penn State | 9 - 2 | 0.810 | 16 |
12 | 6 | Louisville | 9 - 2 | 0.810 | 59 |
13 | 13 | Southern California | 8 - 3 | 0.796 | 2 |
14 | 14 | Boise State | 10 - 1 | 0.787 | 82 |
15 | 19 | Oklahoma | 9 - 2 | 0.784 | 37 |
16 | 11 | Louisiana St. | 6 - 4 | 0.775 | 9 |
17 | 16 | Texas A&M | 8 - 3 | 0.775 | 30 |
18 | 23 | Nebraska | 9 - 2 | 0.762 | 36 |
19 | 27 | Houston | 9 - 2 | 0.758 | 85 |
20 | 20 | Tennessee | 8 - 3 | 0.758 | 12 |
21 | 22 | Stanford | 8 - 3 | 0.754 | 7 |
22 | 21 | Florida St. | 8 - 3 | 0.752 | 25 |
23 | 17 | Washington St. | 8 - 3 | 0.748 | 44 |
24 | 30 | Oklahoma St. | 9 - 2 | 0.728 | 74 |
25 | 29 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.722 | 47 |
26 | 28 | Virginia Tech | 8 - 3 | 0.721 | 52 |
27 | 18 | West Virginia | 8 - 2 | 0.715 | 55 |
28 | 24 | San Diego St. | 9 - 2 | 0.698 | 128 |
29 | 34 | Temple | 8 - 3 | 0.694 | 93 |
30 | 32 | South Florida | 9 - 2 | 0.693 | 90 |
31 | 40 | Minnesota | 8 - 3 | 0.689 | 64 |
32 | 31 | North Carolina | 8 - 3 | 0.688 | 62 |
33 | 39 | Navy | 8 - 2 | 0.684 | 71 |
34 | 26 | Utah | 8 - 3 | 0.682 | 57 |
35 | 38 | Toledo | 9 - 2 | 0.679 | 120 |
36 | 36 | Western Kentucky | 8 - 3 | 0.675 | 103 |
37 | 35 | Appalachian St. | 8 - 3 | 0.673 | 94 |
38 | 42 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 4 | 0.671 | 29 |
39 | 25 | Troy | 8 - 2 | 0.669 | 104 |
40 | 44 | Iowa | 7 - 4 | 0.669 | 45 |
41 | 37 | Arkansas | 7 - 4 | 0.666 | 11 |
42 | 43 | Tulsa | 8 - 3 | 0.664 | 72 |
43 | 41 | Brigham Young | 7 - 4 | 0.654 | 67 |
44 | 50 | Kansas St. | 6 - 4 | 0.642 | 51 |
45 | 46 | Georgia | 7 - 4 | 0.634 | 27 |
46 | 33 | Mississippi | 5 - 6 | 0.634 | 1 |
47 | 49 | Memphis | 7 - 4 | 0.631 | 83 |
48 | 47 | Georgia Tech | 7 - 4 | 0.619 | 46 |
49 | 55 | Wyoming | 8 - 3 | 0.614 | 78 |
50 | 51 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 3 | 0.599 | 121 |
51 | 45 | Northwestern | 5 - 6 | 0.599 | 14 |
52 | 58 | Air Force | 8 - 3 | 0.576 | 111 |
53 | 48 | Central Florida | 6 - 5 | 0.572 | 79 |
54 | 52 | Baylor | 6 - 4 | 0.571 | 84 |
55 | 53 | UCLA | 4 - 7 | 0.561 | 3 |
56 | 61 | Kentucky | 6 - 5 | 0.559 | 39 |
57 | 73 | Vanderbilt | 5 - 6 | 0.557 | 23 |
58 | 54 | Texas Christian | 5 - 5 | 0.551 | 58 |
59 | 63 | Indiana | 5 - 6 | 0.547 | 22 |
60 | 70 | Colorado St. | 6 - 5 | 0.543 | 70 |
61 | 60 | Old Dominion | 8 - 3 | 0.541 | 122 |
62 | 56 | North Carolina St. | 5 - 6 | 0.539 | 42 |
63 | 59 | Arizona St. | 5 - 6 | 0.528 | 21 |
64 | 57 | Texas | 5 - 6 | 0.524 | 49 |
65 | 62 | Notre Dame | 4 - 7 | 0.524 | 41 |
66 | 76 | Oregon | 4 - 7 | 0.523 | 4 |
67 | 69 | South Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.520 | 53 |
68 | 65 | Maryland | 5 - 6 | 0.519 | 18 |
69 | 85 | Arkansas St. | 6 - 4 | 0.514 | 102 |
70 | 66 | California | 4 - 7 | 0.506 | 5 |
71 | 64 | Wake Forest | 6 - 5 | 0.501 | 56 |
72 | 78 | Middle Tennessee | 7 - 4 | 0.496 | 113 |
73 | 67 | Mississippi St. | 4 - 7 | 0.491 | 17 |
74 | 83 | Army | 6 - 5 | 0.487 | 127 |
75 | 72 | New Mexico | 7 - 4 | 0.475 | 119 |
76 | 71 | Ohio | 7 - 4 | 0.472 | 125 |
77 | 75 | Missouri | 3 - 8 | 0.470 | 24 |
78 | 82 | Michigan St. | 3 - 8 | 0.462 | 26 |
79 | 79 | Idaho | 6 - 4 | 0.460 | 87 |
80 | 88 | Oregon St. | 3 - 8 | 0.457 | 8 |
81 | 68 | Texas Tech | 4 - 7 | 0.454 | 48 |
82 | 81 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 6 | 0.451 | 54 |
83 | 86 | Central Michigan | 6 - 5 | 0.450 | 101 |
84 | 77 | Eastern Michigan | 6 - 5 | 0.447 | 100 |
85 | 74 | Duke | 4 - 7 | 0.444 | 38 |
86 | 80 | Texas-San Antonio | 5 - 6 | 0.416 | 99 |
87 | 84 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 6 | 0.405 | 109 |
88 | 91 | Boston College | 5 - 6 | 0.398 | 69 |
89 | 87 | Georgia Southern | 4 - 7 | 0.393 | 91 |
90 | 92 | South Alabama | 5 - 5 | 0.392 | 114 |
91 | 100 | Northern Illinois | 4 - 7 | 0.391 | 89 |
92 | 110 | Iowa St. | 3 - 8 | 0.390 | 61 |
93 | 89 | Syracuse | 4 - 7 | 0.384 | 34 |
94 | 94 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 7 | 0.375 | 92 |
95 | 103 | North Texas | 5 - 6 | 0.369 | 96 |
96 | 90 | Illinois | 3 - 8 | 0.366 | 19 |
97 | 96 | Akron | 5 - 6 | 0.356 | 106 |
98 | 99 | Miami, Ohio | 5 - 6 | 0.356 | 117 |
99 | 93 | Utah St. | 3 - 8 | 0.353 | 65 |
100 | 97 | Tulane | 3 - 8 | 0.340 | 60 |
101 | 95 | East Carolina | 3 - 8 | 0.337 | 63 |
102 | 102 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 6 | 0.336 | 105 |
103 | 98 | Cincinnati | 4 - 7 | 0.329 | 75 |
104 | 105 | Hawaii | 5 - 7 | 0.327 | 86 |
105 | 108 | Purdue | 3 - 8 | 0.319 | 40 |
106 | 107 | Ball St. | 4 - 7 | 0.316 | 112 |
107 | 101 | Arizona | 2 - 9 | 0.314 | 10 |
108 | 111 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 7 | 0.302 | 80 |
109 | 116 | Georgia St. | 3 - 8 | 0.298 | 95 |
110 | 109 | Virginia | 2 - 9 | 0.297 | 50 |
111 | 114 | San Jose St. | 3 - 8 | 0.285 | 77 |
112 | 112 | Charlotte | 4 - 7 | 0.282 | 110 |
113 | 106 | Marshall | 3 - 8 | 0.280 | 107 |
114 | 119 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 7 | 0.275 | 88 |
115 | 118 | Florida International | 4 - 7 | 0.270 | 108 |
116 | 104 | Kent | 3 - 8 | 0.269 | 97 |
117 | 115 | Rutgers | 2 - 9 | 0.264 | 6 |
118 | 121 | Bowling Green | 3 - 8 | 0.259 | 81 |
119 | 120 | Nevada | 4 - 7 | 0.256 | 124 |
120 | 113 | Connecticut | 3 - 8 | 0.245 | 76 |
121 | 125 | Kansas | 2 - 9 | 0.240 | 43 |
122 | 117 | Massachusetts | 2 - 9 | 0.236 | 68 |
123 | 124 | Rice | 3 - 8 | 0.223 | 115 |
124 | 122 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 8 | 0.207 | 116 |
125 | 126 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 8 | 0.200 | 123 |
126 | 123 | Texas St. | 2 - 8 | 0.174 | 98 |
127 | 127 | Fresno St. | 1 - 10 | 0.170 | 73 |
128 | 128 | Buffalo | 2 - 9 | 0.137 | 118 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 103 | 0.114 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 41-9 | .674 |
Pac-12 | 24-10 | .630 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .622 |
ACC | 39-13 | .602 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .560 |
AAC | 31-16 | .533 |
Independents | 17-23 | .475 |
Mountain West | 25-22 | .455 |
MAC | 23-25 | .415 |
Sun Belt | 18-26 | .408 |
Conference USA | 20-31 | .382 |