The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of November 26, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.19 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 11-27-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 12 - 0 | 0.957 | 13 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 11 - 1 | 0.929 | 4 |
3 | 3 | Michigan | 10 - 2 | 0.901 | 9 |
4 | 4 | Clemson | 11 - 1 | 0.893 | 35 |
5 | 5 | Washington | 11 - 1 | 0.880 | 57 |
6 | 6 | Wisconsin | 10 - 2 | 0.869 | 8 |
7 | 7 | Western Michigan | 12 - 0 | 0.849 | 122 |
8 | 8 | Colorado | 10 - 2 | 0.839 | 26 |
9 | 11 | Penn State | 10 - 2 | 0.824 | 21 |
10 | 9 | Auburn | 8 - 4 | 0.804 | 16 |
11 | 13 | Southern California | 9 - 3 | 0.799 | 5 |
12 | 16 | Louisiana St. | 7 - 4 | 0.791 | 2 |
13 | 15 | Oklahoma | 9 - 2 | 0.783 | 38 |
14 | 10 | Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.777 | 28 |
15 | 22 | Florida St. | 9 - 3 | 0.776 | 19 |
16 | 12 | Louisville | 9 - 3 | 0.771 | 59 |
17 | 14 | Boise State | 10 - 2 | 0.754 | 70 |
18 | 21 | Stanford | 9 - 3 | 0.753 | 23 |
19 | 27 | West Virginia | 9 - 2 | 0.738 | 60 |
20 | 17 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.737 | 27 |
21 | 25 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 4 | 0.732 | 55 |
22 | 26 | Virginia Tech | 9 - 3 | 0.732 | 66 |
23 | 24 | Oklahoma St. | 9 - 2 | 0.725 | 77 |
24 | 20 | Tennessee | 8 - 4 | 0.722 | 11 |
25 | 23 | Washington St. | 8 - 4 | 0.719 | 40 |
26 | 19 | Houston | 9 - 3 | 0.719 | 79 |
27 | 18 | Nebraska | 9 - 3 | 0.716 | 33 |
28 | 33 | Navy | 9 - 2 | 0.715 | 71 |
29 | 40 | Iowa | 8 - 4 | 0.714 | 46 |
30 | 30 | South Florida | 10 - 2 | 0.712 | 83 |
31 | 29 | Temple | 9 - 3 | 0.707 | 95 |
32 | 36 | Western Kentucky | 9 - 3 | 0.699 | 110 |
33 | 37 | Appalachian St. | 9 - 3 | 0.695 | 93 |
34 | 39 | Troy | 9 - 2 | 0.687 | 113 |
35 | 31 | Minnesota | 8 - 4 | 0.683 | 48 |
36 | 34 | Utah | 8 - 4 | 0.674 | 47 |
37 | 38 | Pittsburgh | 8 - 4 | 0.669 | 42 |
38 | 43 | Brigham Young | 8 - 4 | 0.662 | 78 |
39 | 42 | Tulsa | 9 - 3 | 0.660 | 81 |
40 | 47 | Memphis | 8 - 4 | 0.656 | 74 |
41 | 32 | North Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.653 | 62 |
42 | 35 | Toledo | 9 - 3 | 0.641 | 112 |
43 | 48 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.640 | 49 |
44 | 44 | Kansas St. | 7 - 4 | 0.639 | 67 |
45 | 28 | San Diego St. | 9 - 3 | 0.630 | 124 |
46 | 41 | Arkansas | 7 - 5 | 0.629 | 17 |
47 | 52 | Air Force | 9 - 3 | 0.619 | 97 |
48 | 51 | Northwestern | 6 - 6 | 0.615 | 25 |
49 | 45 | Georgia | 7 - 5 | 0.607 | 31 |
50 | 56 | Kentucky | 7 - 5 | 0.600 | 34 |
51 | 57 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 6 | 0.593 | 22 |
52 | 60 | Colorado St. | 7 - 5 | 0.588 | 64 |
53 | 46 | Mississippi | 5 - 7 | 0.582 | 1 |
54 | 58 | Texas Christian | 6 - 5 | 0.578 | 63 |
55 | 62 | North Carolina St. | 6 - 6 | 0.575 | 44 |
56 | 49 | Wyoming | 8 - 4 | 0.574 | 76 |
57 | 50 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.563 | 118 |
58 | 61 | Old Dominion | 9 - 3 | 0.558 | 123 |
59 | 53 | Central Florida | 6 - 6 | 0.548 | 69 |
60 | 59 | Indiana | 6 - 6 | 0.543 | 37 |
61 | 73 | Mississippi St. | 5 - 7 | 0.536 | 20 |
62 | 68 | Maryland | 6 - 6 | 0.526 | 36 |
63 | 70 | California | 5 - 7 | 0.526 | 14 |
64 | 54 | Baylor | 6 - 5 | 0.525 | 84 |
65 | 75 | New Mexico | 8 - 4 | 0.521 | 114 |
66 | 65 | Notre Dame | 4 - 8 | 0.519 | 32 |
67 | 55 | UCLA | 4 - 8 | 0.510 | 6 |
68 | 77 | Missouri | 4 - 8 | 0.501 | 24 |
69 | 72 | Middle Tennessee | 8 - 4 | 0.497 | 120 |
70 | 64 | Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.495 | 50 |
71 | 74 | Army | 6 - 5 | 0.487 | 126 |
72 | 66 | Oregon | 4 - 8 | 0.485 | 7 |
73 | 63 | Arizona St. | 5 - 7 | 0.485 | 30 |
74 | 67 | South Carolina | 6 - 6 | 0.484 | 41 |
75 | 81 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.484 | 54 |
76 | 80 | Oregon St. | 4 - 8 | 0.483 | 12 |
77 | 76 | Ohio | 8 - 4 | 0.482 | 128 |
78 | 79 | Idaho | 7 - 4 | 0.477 | 89 |
79 | 69 | Arkansas St. | 6 - 5 | 0.474 | 109 |
80 | 71 | Wake Forest | 6 - 6 | 0.470 | 61 |
81 | 84 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 5 | 0.466 | 102 |
82 | 87 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 6 | 0.446 | 105 |
83 | 78 | Michigan St. | 3 - 9 | 0.445 | 10 |
84 | 86 | Texas-San Antonio | 6 - 6 | 0.434 | 106 |
85 | 88 | Boston College | 6 - 6 | 0.425 | 68 |
86 | 85 | Duke | 4 - 8 | 0.424 | 39 |
87 | 83 | Central Michigan | 6 - 6 | 0.421 | 101 |
88 | 82 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.419 | 51 |
89 | 91 | Northern Illinois | 5 - 7 | 0.398 | 96 |
90 | 89 | Georgia Southern | 4 - 7 | 0.390 | 87 |
91 | 93 | Syracuse | 4 - 8 | 0.387 | 29 |
92 | 90 | South Alabama | 5 - 6 | 0.374 | 115 |
93 | 92 | Iowa St. | 3 - 9 | 0.372 | 53 |
94 | 100 | Tulane | 4 - 8 | 0.370 | 73 |
95 | 98 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 6 | 0.369 | 121 |
96 | 102 | LA-Lafayette | 5 - 6 | 0.366 | 103 |
97 | 107 | Arizona | 3 - 9 | 0.363 | 15 |
98 | 96 | Illinois | 3 - 9 | 0.346 | 18 |
99 | 104 | Hawaii | 6 - 7 | 0.342 | 91 |
100 | 99 | Utah St. | 3 - 9 | 0.341 | 58 |
101 | 97 | Akron | 5 - 7 | 0.340 | 100 |
102 | 103 | Cincinnati | 4 - 8 | 0.333 | 65 |
103 | 101 | East Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.322 | 56 |
104 | 95 | North Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.322 | 99 |
105 | 94 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 8 | 0.317 | 98 |
106 | 105 | Purdue | 3 - 9 | 0.317 | 43 |
107 | 108 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 7 | 0.301 | 80 |
108 | 106 | Ball St. | 4 - 8 | 0.300 | 117 |
109 | 109 | Georgia St. | 3 - 8 | 0.296 | 90 |
110 | 119 | Nevada | 5 - 7 | 0.294 | 127 |
111 | 111 | San Jose St. | 4 - 8 | 0.293 | 88 |
112 | 114 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 8 | 0.270 | 72 |
113 | 118 | Bowling Green | 4 - 8 | 0.268 | 92 |
114 | 112 | Charlotte | 4 - 8 | 0.266 | 111 |
115 | 110 | Virginia | 2 - 10 | 0.265 | 52 |
116 | 115 | Florida International | 4 - 8 | 0.262 | 108 |
117 | 116 | Kent | 3 - 9 | 0.252 | 94 |
118 | 117 | Rutgers | 2 - 10 | 0.251 | 3 |
119 | 113 | Marshall | 3 - 9 | 0.248 | 104 |
120 | 121 | Kansas | 2 - 10 | 0.238 | 45 |
121 | 125 | Texas-El Paso | 4 - 8 | 0.237 | 125 |
122 | 122 | Massachusetts | 2 - 10 | 0.227 | 75 |
123 | 123 | Rice | 3 - 9 | 0.225 | 107 |
124 | 120 | Connecticut | 3 - 9 | 0.215 | 82 |
125 | 124 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 9 | 0.206 | 116 |
126 | 126 | Texas St. | 2 - 9 | 0.165 | 86 |
127 | 127 | Fresno St. | 1 - 11 | 0.154 | 85 |
128 | 128 | Buffalo | 2 - 10 | 0.130 | 119 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 103 | 0.111 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 42-12 | .666 |
Pac-12 | 26-10 | .626 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .620 |
ACC | 42-14 | .601 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .558 |
AAC | 31-16 | .531 |
Independents | 18-25 | .474 |
Mountain West | 26-23 | .455 |
MAC | 23-25 | .410 |
Sun Belt | 18-26 | .409 |
Conference USA | 20-32 | .382 |